Any fan of the comic genius Bill Murray has undoubtedly seen his wonderful work in the 1991 film “What about Bob?” Now before you turn on me and say, “What about some sleeper defenses?” I will tie this together quickly. Bob, as we all know, had a few problems (he was basically an obsessively compulsive narcissist) that caused him to live in a constant state of panic. As he set off to find his vacationing psychotherapist (played by a more obnoxious than usual Richard Dreyfuss) Bob would repeat one phrase (which is also the name of his psychotherapists new book).
Yes, folks. There it is.
We are coming off our best DraftKings Sleeper Defenses results but they are still not where we want them to be. Or where they will ultimately be. Just as Bob overcame most of his problems by the film’s end, we too shall overcome. Trust me that it will happen a lot faster and we don’t need no stinkin’ Richard Dreyfuss.
Let’s clean up last week shall we?
Cleveland at St. Louis-
2 sacks, 1 DFR, 14-20 pts allowed= 5 pts
The Todd Gurley show kept this defense from creating enough big plays.
Philadelphia at Carolina-
1 sack, 3 INTs, 21-27 pts allowed= 7 pts
Philly needed to have taken one of the picks to the house to pay off for us.
Tampa Bay at Washington-
1 sack, 1 DFR, 1 D/TD, 28-34 pts allowed= 8 pts
Blew a big lead and what was a nice DFS play early on. Too many points allowed.
Miami vs. Houston-
4 sacks, 1 INT, 1 D/TD = 12 pts
This defense is coming on after the coaching change. Racking up sacks and turnovers.
St. Louis vs. Cleveland-
4 sacks, 4 DFR, 1 D/TD, 1-6 pts allowed= 25 pts
Everyone saw this one coming from a mile away. Rams took care of business.
Just as Bob had left his wife for liking…wait for it…Neil Diamond, we are leaving week 7 behind and plowing into week 8.
TENNESSEE at Houston-cost $2500: The Texans got taken to the woodshed last week by the Dolphins and rolled up most of their offensive stats in garbage time. They also lost Arian Foster for the season, which will severely hinder their running game moving forward and force them to pass more. The Titans managed to pick-off Matt Ryan twice last week and while they failed to register a sack, they brought consistent pressure. Tennessee was credited with 15 QB hurries and four hits according to Pro Football Focus. Houston turned the ball over only once last week but did allow four sacks and gave up a D/ST score. The lack of a running game and the pressure the Titans will bring is likely to force Brian Hoyer into an untimely turnover or two or three.
DALLAS vs. Seattle-cost $2700: To say the Seahawks offensive line is struggling would be a massive understatement. Through seven games they have allowed a league-high 31 sacks and only once have they held a defense to less than four sacks in a game. Constantly being pressured has quarterback Russell Wilson turning the ball over at a higher rate than he has in the past. Heading into Week 8, Wilson has thrown eight touchdown passes and turned the ball over seven times. The Dallas defense is primed to get after Wilson this week now that Greg Hardy has returned. In the two games the defense has played with Hardy, they have racked up seven sacks (Hardy has three). In the four games they played without Hardy, they totaled only six. Wilson tossed a pair of picks last week and will be under fire again this week leading to sacks and big plays for the Dallas defense.
KANSAS CITY vs. Detroit (In London)-cost $2800: While the Chiefs defense has been a middle of the pack unit to date, they have a nice matchup this week. The Lions have made much needed changes to their offensive coaching staff after stumbling badly out of the gate. A putrid offensive line hit rock bottom last week against the Vikings allowing seven sacks of quarterback Matthew Stafford. Besides the seven sacks Detroit also allowed they have 16 QB hurries and four hits according to Pro Football Focus. While the Lions didn’t turn the ball over last week, they have coughed it up to opposing defenses 13 times in the last five games. The Chiefs defense has scored a pair of D/ST touchdowns and has ball-hawking rookie CB Marcus Peters in their secondary. Look for a Chiefs defense that’s averaging two sacks per game to easily reach that total this week as well as force a couple of turnovers.
NEW YORK JETS at Oakland-cost $2900: The Raiders are flying high after drubbing the San Diego Chargers last week with a very clean offensive performance. San Diego did not turn the ball over and allowed merely a single sack. Derek Carr tore up the Bolts secondary to the tune of 289 yards and three passing touchdowns. The going gets a lot tougher this week as the Jets come to town. New York has simply shut-down opponents rushing games over the past three weeks allowing an average of only 36 rushing yards. That means Carr will have to attack this defense through the air and risk taking a trip to “Revis Island.” We look for Darrelle Revis to shadow rookie wide receiver Amari Cooper and that severely limits Carr’s options. The Jets defensive front has accounted for five sacks in the last three games and will cause concern for a Raiders offense that gave up four sacks and three turnovers to Denver back in week five.
DENVER vs. Green Bay-cost $2900: Yes, I get that it is the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers coming to town, but we simply do not pass on this bargain. The Broncos defense has been dominant this season having put up 25 sacks as well as 17 turnovers and four D/ST touchdowns. Denver is coming off their bye week and will have DeMarcus Ware back in the lineup. While Rodgers is among the best at protecting the football he certainly is not infallible especially when under consistent pressure. In the last three games, the Packers have allowed eight sacks and turned the ball over three times. Two of those sacks and all three turnovers (including two interceptions) came in a matchup with the St. Louis Rams back in week five. So a stout defensive front and consistent pass rush can rattle Rodgers into turning over the ball. The Broncos are at home and more than capable of creating the pressure to force Rodgers into mistakes. This defense is too hot to not take a flyer on at this bargain price.
There we have it folks.
These are the defenses that should give a nice return on their bargain rates.
We are “baby stepping” our way into some loot this week.
As always…have fun…and good luck!