Monday - Jan 18, 2021

Home / Commentary / BOLD PREDICTIONS: Week 16


Baker Mayfield will throw for 350 passing yards, three touchdowns and have his best fantasy performance of the season against Cincinnati this week.

My thinking: Up to this point in the season, Baker Mayfield’s best fantasy performance came on the road back in Week 12 against this same Cincinnati defense. Now, Mayfield and the Cleveland offense have the pleasure of going up against this same defense on its home turf in Week 16. Mayfield has averaged just 13.8 fantasy points per game in his last three games but has an excellent opportunity to put up some monster fantasy numbers against a porous Cincinnati defense. Cincinnati’s defense ranks 29th in passing yards allowed per game (282), tied-29th in passing touchdowns allowed this season (28), and 32nd in fantasy points allowed per game (21.2) to opposing quarterbacks. Mayfield is an up-and-coming star in this league and will continue to get better with each passing week. View him as a high-end QB2 with mid-level QB1 weekly upside for the rest of the season.

Marlon Mack will have 150 total yards and two touchdowns against the New York Giants this week.

My thinking: Marlon Mack has had three spectacular performances this season, but also a bunch of subpar performances. Entering Week 16, he has averaged 15.5 points per reception (PPR) league points per game in 10 games, which ranks 14th among running backs. The Indianapolis offense has been playing remarkably well as of late, having won seven of its last eight games. This week Indianapolis is at home to face a New York Giants defense that hasn’t done a good job defending the run this season. New York ranks 25th in rushing yards allowed per game (104), tied-26th in rushing touchdowns allowed this season (12), and 28th in PPR points allowed per game (28.9) to opposing running backs. Expect another one of Mack’s monster performances in what is a favorable matchup for the Indianapolis offense.

Christian McCaffrey will have 10 receptions, 200 total yards and two touchdowns against Atlanta this week.

My thinking: Christian McCaffrey is one of the most valuable fantasy football players out there. He has been an absolute force this season. Entering Week 16, he has averaged a monstrous 25.8 PPR points per game in 14 games and has totaled at least 26 PPR points in six of his last seven games. The loss of Cam Newton shouldn’t concern you, as backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke will look for McCaffrey early and often on checkdowns through the contest against Atlanta this week. Speaking of Atlanta, no team in the NFL has allowed more receptions or receiving yards to opposing running backs than Atlanta, and, if you didn’t know, McCaffrey leads all running backs with 94 receptions and 768 receiving yards. Look for McCaffrey to continue his torrid pace and put up some monster fantasy numbers (once again) in Week 16.

About Evan Reardon

An avid Boston sports fan, Evan has been a Patriots and NFL fan since the 1990's. Fantasy football runs in his family. He grew up in the 90's watching his father and uncles play in a 6-team, Touchdown-only league. He has been playing fantasy football since the early 2000's and has been writing fantasy sports content since 2014.