Thursday - Jan 24, 2019

Home / Commentary / BOLD PREDICTIONS: Week 8

BOLD PREDICTIONS: Week 8

Carson Wentz will throw for less than 225 passing yards and throw two interceptions against Jacksonville this week.

My thinking: Entering Week 8 as the 14th-best defense/special teams in fantasy points, the Jacksonville defense hasn’t been as stout as it was a year ago, but it’s still one of the premier defenses in the NFL. Jacksonville has allowed just six passing touchdowns in seven games, which is the least amount of passing touchdowns allowed by any team so far this season. Jacksonville have performed much better at home than on the road when it comes to passing yards allowed. In three road games so far, Jacksonville has allowed an average of 240 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks. In four home games, Jacksonville has allowed an average of 157.5 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks. Yes, this game is in London, but technically this is still a home game for Jacksonville, so let’s pretend those numbers hold water in this game. Carson Wentz will have his hands full and is in for a long afternoon across the pond against a Jacksonville team that finds itself somewhat desperate to get back on track after a 3-4 record through its first seven games.

James Conner will have more than 200 total yards and a touchdown against Cleveland this week.

My thinking: Le’Veon Bell? Never heard of him. With Bell neglecting to report to Pittsburgh for what seems like the 20th time this season, the James Conner show will roll on once again against a terrible Cleveland defense this week. Cleveland has allowed an average of 26.9 points per reception (PPR) league fantasy points per game to opposing running backs this season, which ranks 21st in the NFL. Conner has rushed for at least 110 yards, two touchdowns in the last two games and has had at least three receptions, 25 receiving yards in five of six games this year. Except for a few games early in the year, Conner has been a bona fide fantasy stud, having totaled at least 30 PPR fantasy points in three of six games. Theoretically, if Bell sits out the entire year, Conner will undoubtedly go down as the most valuable fantasy running back this season in terms of return on investment/value. He was either drafted in one of the last few rounds of your draft or went undrafted this past summer. He’s been producing at a mid-level RB1 rate, which has been highly beneficial for those who drafted him or picked him up off waivers. Considering he’s been on the field for a massive 85.3 percent of the offensive snaps at running back (compared to 6.1 percent for Stevan Ridley and 0.5 percent for Jaylen Samuels), Conner’s workload as the starting running back for Pittsburgh makes him a Top 10 fantasy running back this week and for as long as Bell does not report to the team.

Raheem Mostert will have more than 100 rushing yards and a touchdown against Arizona this week.

My thinking: I may or may not have picked up Raheem Mostert last week in one of my leagues, and I may or may not be starting him in my flex spot this week. As one of the hottest waiver wire pickups of the week, Raheem Mostert is a sneaky-good start this week against the worst run defense in the NFL. Arizona has surrendered a whopping 959 rushing yards on 210 carries (4.6 yards per carry) in seven games, which ranks dead-last in the NFL. Arizona has also allowed 10 rushing touchdowns in seven games, which also ranks dead-last in the NFL heading into Week 8. In a world where matchups are so important when it comes to choosing which players to start and sit, fantasy owners should take note of how well Mostert has performed the last two weeks and strongly consider starting him (depending on your other options, of course) in what is a highly favorable matchup against a horrendous Arizona defense.

About Evan Reardon

An avid Boston sports fan, Evan has been a Patriots and NFL fan since the 1990's. Fantasy football runs in his family. He grew up in the 90's watching his father and uncles play in a 6-team, Touchdown-only league. He has been playing fantasy football since the early 2000's and has been writing fantasy sports content since 2014.