We have finally reached Week 10! While we dodged a bullet this week with teams having to cancel games due to Covid-19 cases, we have some games such as Jacksonville/Green Bay, Houston/Cleveland and Cincinnati/Pittsburgh that will be affected by bad weather. The biggest question we will have to decide with the regards to this weather is if we are willing to play Davante Adams at $9,000 on DraftKings if there are high winds.
There is a lot of value on the slate whether it is Mike Davis, Duke Johnson or Jakeem Grant. The plan should be to mix it up as these players should see high ownership and using all of them will leave your lineup very chalky. I will have a good amount of these guys this week but not all in the same lineup.
It was a week to spend up at quarterback where the Top 4 owned players cost $6,800 or more and were 10+ percent owned. Russell Wilson was the highest owned at 13.5 percent and finished with 29.1 DraftKings points. Josh Allen was the second-highest owned quarterback at 13 percent and scored the second-highest scorer at the position with 39 DraftKings points. Kyler Murray was the top scorer with 41 DraftKings points. It was a good week at the position with not many bad quarterbacks. Derek Carr at 15 DraftKings points was the biggest bust. Drew Lock with 33.22 DraftKings points was the best value.
Daniel Jones, New York Giants (DK: $5,200/$371 DPP — FD: $6,700/$515 DPP)
The first thing I noticed this week was Daniel Jones’ price. He is priced $200 below Tyrod Taylor (who hasn’t seen the field since Week 1) and $100 above Jameis Winston (who played 10 snaps last week for the first time all season). Granted, he hasn’t had a breakout game this season but it is coming. Last year he had five games over 300-yards. He has yet to have one this season but he has been steady with his fantasy production with 17.5 DraftKings per game this season. This week he faces Philadelphia in the second matchup this year where he put up 22.68 DraftKings points even though he threw for under 200-yards. Hopefully this time he won’t land on his face on a long run. Philadelphia is allowing 18.4 fantasy per game this season.
Carson Wentz, Philadelphia (DK: $5,900/$328 DPP — FD: $7,500/$417 DPP)
I’m sticking with this game as Wentz is setup for a bounce back game after putting up just 123 passing yards against the bad Dallas defense. Prior to that game Wentz had put up back-to-back 30-plus fantasy point games including the previous matchup against the Giants where he threw for 359 yards and two scores. Alshon Jeffery will see some action this week as he returns from injury. The Giants are allowing 18.2 fantasy points per game this season.
The majority of the field was on Dalvin Cook as he saw nearly 40 percent ownership. He finished with 42.2 DraftKings points to lead the position. However, Justin Jackson was the third-highest owned running back which probably negated a bunch of Cook lineups. Jackson was hurt on the first drive of the game and left with no fantasy points. Chase Edmonds was the second-highest owned player and put up just 11.8 DraftKings points. The best value was J.D. McKissic at $4,300 scoring 17.2 DraftKings points.
Mike Davis, Carolina (DK: $4,000/$308 DPP — FD: $5,400/$386 DPP)
Davis will be the chalkiest player this week and for good reason. Christian McCaffrey returned last week and looked to resume his old role until he sustained a shoulder injury late in the game. Davis will take over as the starter this week with McCaffrey out but DraftKings somehow dropped his salary from $6,700 in Week 9 to $4,000 this week. People will point that the matchup is tough but Davis in Week 2 against Tampa Bay put up 15.5 DraftKings points as the backup through receiving volume and last week he still managed almost nine fantasy points in a reduced role. Now he’s back as the starter. Tampa Bay is holding fantasy running backs to 15.8 fantasy points per game. I would take that production all day at the price.
Duke Johnson, Houston (DK: $5,000/$385 DPP — FD: $5,800/$527 DPP)
The second top value play at the position is Johnson who will get the start with David Johnson sidelined with an ankle injury. Many will be hesitant of using Duke Johnson this week as they might feel he isn’t going to get the full complement of plays like he did last week when he had to emerge as the lead back. However, Houston is a team that will give touches to the running backs and Duke Johnson should more than make value. Add in the potential of bad weather with high winds expected and you can see how Houston might have to rely more on shorter throws and more runs. Cleveland is allowing 17.9 fantasy points per game.