Week 12 is shaping up more like daily NBA with the changing news daily. We had the Ravens game moved twice because of Covid positive tests. We had Adam Thielen, Larry Fitzgerald and Jonathan Taylor ruled out because of a positive test as well as a number of defenders and linemen from various teams. This has opened up several value plays but we have to check all the news up until kickoff and during game day to catch any other significant news that could impact our lineups.
Taysom Hill was the best value on the board at $4,800 on DK and a must play as a tight end on Fanduel. Although he was the highest owned quarterback on the slate at 15% on DraftKings, he still should have been much higher owned then he was. He finished with 25.42 DraftKings points. The top scoring player at the position was Deshaun Watson with 34.36 DraftKings points. The biggest bust was Matt Ryan scoring just 7.28 DraftKings points.
Mike Glennon – Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $4,800/$383 DPP — FD: $6,200/$517 DPP)
Glennon gets the start this week in the ever rotating Jaguars quarterback carousel. He’s not the strong play that Taysom Hill was last week but he can still provide salary relief so that you can fit in a guy like Dalvin Cook. Glennon hasn’t played a snap since November of 2019 and his last time he played a full game was Week 4 of 2017. Don’t expect Glennon to score 20+ points but he could get you 12-15 and that’s all you need from a sub $5K player. The Browns allow the 13th most fantasy points to the position with 20 fantasy points per game.
Ryan Fitzpatrick – Miami Dolphins (DK: $5,500/$333 DPP — FD: $7,400/$493 DPP)
Fitzmagic is back! Tua Tagovailoa is doubtful as of this writing but I expect them to move forward with Fitzpatrick this week. Last game he started was against the Jets where he had just 18.04 DraftKings points but before that he was 25+ fantasy points in the 4 games prior to that start. The Jets are allowing the 5th most fantasy points to the position at 22.3 fantasy points per game.
Dalvin Cook’s price rose to $9,000 on DraftKings but he was still the highest running back owned at almost 50% on the slate. He finished with 29 DraftKings points which the top scoring at the position. The best value on the slate was Melvin Gordon with 19.4 DraftKings points at $5,100. The biggest bust was Adrian Peterson with 1.8 DraftKings points at 10% ownership.
Nyheim Hines – Indianapolis Colts (DK: $4,600/$406 DPP — FD: $5,700/$475 DPP)
Jonathan Taylor has been ruled out because of COVID-19. Hines and Jordan Wilkins ($4,000) will split the workload. Hines and Wilkins both smashed back in Week 7 against the Lions where Hines caught 5 passes and scored two receiving touchdowns and Wilkins carried the ball 20 times for 89 yards and a score. They face the Titans who allow the 6th most fantasy points to the position with 21 fantasy points allowed per game.
Kareem Hunt – Cleveland Browns (DK: $5,600/$372 DPP — FD: $6,600/$413 DPP)
Nick Chubb is the better running back but he is at $7,100 in a game where Hunt is projected about the same amount of points. Given the matchup and the ownership I will be pivoting to Hunt. The Browns are a touchdown favorite on the road against the Jaguars who allow the 8th most fantasy points to the position with 20.5 fantasy points per game. Hunt has carried the ball at least 13 times all but one game over the last 8 weeks and has seen an average of three targets out of the backfield.