Buckle up for a wild week 4 because we have a ton of games this week that should shootout and produce a lot of fantasy goodness. We will have 8 of the 13 games on the main slate with over 50-point totals with two more at 48.5+. Even though we lost the Titans vs Steelers game due to Covid-19 positives test, we have several fantasy players returning such as Michael Thomas and George Kittle.
You can make an argument for just about any stack, but I expect the Cowboys, Seahawks and Chiefs to be among the highest owned. I would include a bring back stack for all of them because these teams can give up a good amount of points as well. Many will look at the box score of the Chiefs last game but there were at least 3 touchdowns the Ravens should have had that they blew in that game. They could have had close to 40 points, so I like the Patriots as a sneaky stack.
Kyler Murray’s price tag was enticing last week at $6,500 and he was the highest owned quarterback. He finished with a decent 24.7 DraftKings points. However, Russell Wilson at $500 more scored the most points at the position with 39.8 DraftKings points. The biggest bust was Cam Newton who took a back seat to Rex Burkhead and scored just 12.18 DraftKings points. Jared Goff was the best value scoring 31.24 DraftKings points at $5,600.
$DPP Value Plays
Drew Brees– New Orleans Saints (DK: $5,800/$290 DPP — FD: $7,700/$385 DPP)
Brees is clearly on the decline but he is still a viable fantasy quarterback. He has been without Michael Thomas for two games this season. However, he is averaging 21 DraftKings points per game without Thomas and his completion percentage has increased each week. Last week he was at 80% completions on 36 attempts which is just below his 38 attempts per game. His price dropped $4,000 and he faces the Lions who are allowing 21.98 DraftKings points to quarterbacks. Thomas will be out again this week but Brees still remains a decent option at his price.
Baker Mayfield– Cleveland Browns (DK: $5,800/$341 DPP — FD: $7,000/$412 DPP)
Mayfield hasn’t been a great fantasy producer this season, but this is a great matchup for him this week against the Cowboys who are allowing the 3rd most DraftKings points for quarterbacks with 25.18 per game. Pair him with Odell Beckham Jr. who accounts for 28% of the teams’ target share and is just $5,800. The spread in this game is 56 with the Cowboys -4.5 so it should be close.
The running back position last week was tough as 6 of the top 7 running backs owned failed to score 20 points. Miles Sanders was the highest owned at 43% but only scored 14.7 DraftKings points. The biggest bust was Kenyan Drake who was the second highest owned at 27% but scored just 8.9 DraftKings points. Rex Burkhead was the best value scoring 34.8 DraftKings points.
$DPP Value Plays
Darrell Henderson– L.A. Rams (DK: $5,800/$341 DPP — FD: $6,400/$400 DPP)
Henderson should be a very popular play this week coming off 22 DraftKings points and facing the N.Y. Giants. The Giants are easier to score on through passing but they are still allowing 26 DraftKings points per game to the position. Cam Akers is going to be out this week and Malcolm Brown is in the mix but has had a finger injury that factored into his carries last week.
Ronald Jones– Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $4,700/$427 DPP — FD: $5,700/$518 DPP)
We liked Jones the last time Chris Godwin was out. This week Godwin will be out and now Leonard Fournette is also out. Jones does have a low floor but we do not have many running backs in the $4K range. The matchup isn’t the greatest as the Chargers are only allowing 14.97 DraftKings points to running backs. I’m hoping he gets close to the 17 carries in Week 1 with 5 targets, which would put him over the 20-touch mark.