Monday - Jan 18, 2021

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DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel – Week 8 Value Plays

Happy Halloween! What is scaring you in week 8? Does the potential for the Chiefs slaughtering the Jets make you run away from rostering any of these players? Does the weather in several games make you want to hide? Which players will be a trick and give you a dud this week and which will be a treat and help you win a GPP?

There are several games on the slate that we need to look at with concerns to weather. Normally when the weather is bad with high winds, it favors the run game and the defense as it makes it difficult for teams to pass down-field and kick long field goals. Sneaky plays are slot receivers that may see an increase in volume as teams shorten passes to avoid turning over the ball.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

This is one of those games that was ugly to begin with as the Patriots have been bad lately. Throw in rain and 20 MPH winds and I’m off everyone but the Bills defense.

Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns

The weather in Ohio is bad as the Bengals game is also dealing with weather issues. Very high winds (25-30 MPH) are expected in this game. Give a slight bump for Kareem Hunt and Josh Jacobs in this game.

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

Cold temperatures with winds around 20 MPH. This makes me concerned for using Davante Adams at his price even though he has a dream matchup with all of the cornerbacks out for the Vikings. Jamaal Williams may get more looks in this scenario.

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals

Windy conditions are expected with gusts in the 15-20 MPH range. Derrick Henry should see the ball often.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

There is a chance of rain and the winds will be around 15 MPH. These teams play close and have good defenses — I’m avoiding most players.

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears

Very windy in Chicago with winds expected around 20-25 MPH; cold temperatures as well. I will have a ton of Alvin Kamara shares.

Los Angeles Rams at Miami Dolphins

Some showers expected. It could be rough game for the rookie Tua Tagovailoa in his first start.

Quarterback

The ownership of the quarterbacks was spread out this week as no player went over 20% owned. Kyler Murray at 17% and Justin Herbert at 11% were the highest owned and both posted fantasy points over 40. Herbert edged Murray for the top scorer on the slate with 41.48 DraftKings points to Murray’s 41.1 DraftKings. It was a high scoring week as six quarterbacks went over 30 fantasy points. The best value play was Joe Burrow with 38.64 DraftKings points. The biggest bust was Cam Newton with just 2.82 DraftKings points.

Derek Carr– Las Vegas Raiders (DK: $5,500/$289 DPP — FD: $7,300/$384 DPP)

Carr has been producing steadily over the last 5 games having 20+ fantasy points in 4 of those 5 games and has multiple touchdowns in all of those games. Nelson Agholor has become a primary target as he was targeted 9 times last week and has 14+ fantasy points over his last 3 games. Last week the Browns gave up 406 passing yards and 3 touchdowns to rookie Joe Burrow. On the season the Browns have allowed 22.3 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks and have allowed the second most passing yards through 7 weeks with 288 passing yards per game and have given up the 4th most touchdowns with sixteen.

Jimmy Garoppolo– San Francisco 49ers (DK: $5,400/$338 DPP — FD: $6,600/$413 DPP)

Garoppolo last week was a victim of the run game working too well that he came away with no touchdowns. His 277 passing yards however were the most he has had since Week 14 last year against Seattle. This week he faces Seattle again who are the league’s worst passing defense allowing 316 passing yards per game with 11 touchdowns allowed; they allow the 2nd most fantasy points to the position with 27.8. This is as good a spot as any to stack Garoppolo with George Kittle as the team is having trouble keeping running backs healthy.

Running Back

There was heavy ownership on the Top-4 running backs owned, led by Alvin Kamara who was 50% owned in tournaments. He finished with 22.8 DraftKings points. Jamaal Williams was the second highest owned at 36%. He finished with 21.4 DraftKings points. It was a good play at his price but Jeff Wilson at the same $4,000 finished with 35 DraftKings points and was the top scorer on the slate. The biggest bust was Ezekiel Elliott who scored just 6.1 DraftKings points and was the 2nd most expensive player at the position.

Tevin Coleman– San Francisco 49ers (DK: $4,000/$409 DPP — FD: $5,000/$500 DPP)

Coleman is slated to return from IR this week. With Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson out, it will be Coleman and Jerick McKinnon in the backfield. McKinnon hasn’t carried the ball much over the past three games so that will allow Coleman to run the ball as much as he is able to. The Seahawks defense has been bad against the pass but they allow 94.7 rushing yards per game with 7 touchdowns given up.

DeeJay Dallas– Seattle Seahawks (DK: $4,000/$2000 DPP — FD: $4,600/$1,200 DPP)

After monitoring the Seahawks backfield situation, it might appear that Dallas might be the only healthy running back to suit up on Sunday. The team is dealing with a number of injuries at the position which includes Chris Carson with a sprained foot, Carlos Hyde with a strained hamstring and Travis Homer with a bruised knee. He’s facing the 49ers who have allowed 106.3 rushing yards per game but just 4 touchdowns on the ground.

About Walter Collazo

Writer for Fantasy Sharks since 2006. Member of FSTA. Winner of the 2014 Fantasy Football Article of the Year Online award, awarded by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.