Friday - May 29, 2020

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DFS GEMS: Week 1

Wide Receivers 

WR Mike Evans, Tampa Bay (DraftKings $7,900; FanDuel $7,900)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
SF 49 50.5 25.25 24 23 25 7
TB -2.5 Pick 25.25 30 28 27 24

Have you ever seen a hype-train quite like Chris Godwin’s was this summer? Seriously, I’ve never seen anything like it. Admittedly, I will have a lot of Godwin exposure this week with a price tag of $6,200 but that hype and his price are actually driving me towards Evans this week. Think about it, people are going to gravitate towards this game and they’ll see their hero, Godwin, coming in at a whopping $1,700 discount compared to Evans. His ownership will be sky-high and people may actually fade Tampa Bay’s WR1 in favor of the cheaper hype-driven Godwin. Give me all the Evans shares, the man is a beast and this game should bear plenty of fruit.

WR Adam Thielen, Minnesota (DraftKings $6,800; FanDuel $7,400)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
ATL 47.5 47.5 21.75 32 29 28 12
MIN -4.5 -4 25.75 3 9 3 13

This game is obviously going to draw plenty of interest in Week 1, as it should. You could and should use Stefon Diggs ($6,700 DK) a good bit too but we’re going to need to see a good practice from him with his balky hamstring. Since we’re expecting Minnesota to use Diggs sparingly if he does go, it’s not hard to see Kirk Cousins clicking with Thielen the way they did in the preseason, which has me all-in on Thielen this week. He could easily be the WR1 overall on the week with a matchup against a high-octane opponent like Atlanta. If you can get that for $6,800 any given week, you need to take that shot. I’m looking forward to this game more than any other match up on the main slate Sunday afternoon.

WR Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams (DraftKings $5,700; FanDuel $6,800)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
LAR -2.5 -3 26.5 17 16 18 26
CAR 51 50 23.5 22 7 26 25

This game is probably my second-most anticipated matchup on the Week 1 main slate and it should produce plenty of fireworks. These Rams wideouts feel almost interchangeable in that any given week any one of them could go off. This week, for the sake of budget, I’m leaning towards Cooper Kupp over Brandin Cooks ($6,500 DK) and Robert Woods ($6,400 DK). I’ll certainly have exposure to all three against Carolina’s 26th-most generous pass defense from a year ago but if we’re going to cram all these studs in our lineups we’ve got to pinch pennies somewhere. This looks like a good spot for that.

WR Curtis Samuel, Carolina (DraftKings $4,200; FanDuel $5,900)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
LAR -2.5 -3 26.5 17 16 18 26
CAR 51 50 23.5 22 7 26 25

Did you know that in 2018 among Top 10 DraftKings wide receivers, 46.8 percent were opponents? With all the firepower the Rams bring in the passing game and that stat in mind this game sure feels like the safe spot to invest! You’ll want to pepper your GPP lineups with plenty of the Rams wideouts as well as Samuel’s counterpart, D.J. Moore ($5,500). Somebody is going to pop off in this contest. I have little doubt about that.

WR Dede Westbrook, Jacksonville (DraftKings $4,800; FanDuel $5,900)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
KC -5.5 -3.5 27.75 28 30 22 32
JAX 52 52 24.25 8 6 2 16

As you can see, Jacksonville was originally set to get smoked by Kansas City this weekend but the line keeps moving. As a result, Jacksonville has a very respectable implied team total. This, of course, is due to Kansas City’s leaky defense. Many will pivot towards Nick Foles in this contest but when the defense has its ears pinned back against an offense that is playing catch up, the passer’s efficiency tends to go down. The smart play here is the WR1 from that team playing a negative game-script and Westbrook is undoubtedly that guy. The matchup is primo and the price gives you a lot of room to invest in some upper-echelon talent elsewhere.

WR Jarvis Landry, Cleveland (DraftKings $5,600; FanDuel $6,300)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
TEN 45 45.5 20 7 3 21 6
CLE -5 -5.5 25.5 21 22 19 28

Many don’t realize this but Landry had more targets in 2018 than Michael Thomas. That’s saying something. Odell Beckham Jr. is in town now but that doesn’t mean Landry automatically goes away. He’s got an excellent skill-set and as you can see from the chart above, wide receiver is the best place to attack this Tennessee defense. At home, teams favored 3.5 or more produced 27.5 percent of all Top 10 DraftKings wideouts in 2018. While that isn’t a massive target to hit, it’s still pretty sizable and a likely outcome in this situation. Landry is flying under the radar from what I’ve seen this week and could be that key differentiator in your Week 1 GPP’s.

About David Olivarez

David has been writing fantasy football content steadily since 2012 on the web and has been a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association since 2014. He focuses on Daily Fantasy Sports and Trade Analysis. Feel free to ask him questions on Twitter!