Monday - Sep 28, 2020

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DFS GEMS: Week 15

Well, the injury bug bit us pretty good in Week 14 but thankfully there were some solid pivot options available. Losing Will Fuller and Le’Veon Bell late in the week (post-publishing) combined with Josh Jacobs being a late scratch, made for some scrambling and adjusting on the fly. It’s always critical to have a backup plan so it’s important to consider two simple things when constructing your lineups.

  1. Keep price pivots in mind
  2. Put questionable players and late-game players in the flex

Doing these two basic things will make your life a whole lot easier in late scratch situations. Having easy options to switch to without having to break up the roster is huge. Placing players that play late or that have the potential of sitting in the flex slot triples your potential options; which really comes into play for the late afternoon games given the already limited roster options.

All in all, we fared well in Week 14 despite the injuries. Let’s jump in and see what Week 15 has in store for us!

As a reminder – the rankings below indicate the corresponding team’s ranking in average DraftKings points allowed per game(YTD) The higher the number, the better the matchup. All info that applies to the recommended player will be displayed in bold.

I play on DraftKings exclusively so most of my takes will be slanted towards their scoring and pricing. The weekly Millionaire Maker contest is also focused on the Sunday daytime slate. For takes and advice regarding primetime and London games hit me on Twitter @DavidO_DFS

 

Quarterbacks

QB – Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DraftKings $6,900, FanDuel $8,200)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE
tb -4 -3.5 25.25 29 3 32 30
det 47.5 47 21.75 25 30 24 17

These two teams will go toe-to-toe each without one of their top two receiving options with Mike Evans and Marvin Jones both landing on injured reserve this week. Despite that fact this game should still go off given the way these two teams stack up. Winston is a good bit more than I’d normally like to spend but I know I want to stack this game and Winston feels considerably safer than David Blough. The 3rd string signal-caller for Detroit has been serviceable and should keep the game competitive throughout keeping Winston throwing late into the contest (especially if he throws a pick as he is apt to do)

QB – Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (DraftKings $6,200, FanDuel $7,700)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE
phi -6 -4.5 22.25 14 8 29 6
wsh 40 40 17.75 19 24 14 24

One might think it best to fade Wentz the week he loses his top wideout but on the contrary, Alshon Jeffery was never the top receiving option in Philly. That title has belonged to Zach Ertz for some time now. The matchup for tight ends vs. Washington is among the best in the league with the Redskins surrendering the 9th most points per game to tight ends on the season and the 5th most over the past 4 contests. Both Ertz and Dallas Goedert are very much in play in this game as is Wentz who is averaging over 26 points per game over the last 2 contests.

QB – Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams (DraftKings $6,100, FanDuel $7,800)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE
lar 47 -1 25 12 11 16 7
dal -4 49 24 13 16 8 23

Recent results suggest Goff might be heating up getting his season back on track. After 3 stinkers in a row from weeks 10-12, he’s put up solid outings of 28 and 18.1 over the last two weeks. This is great timing as the Rams head to Dallas to face the Cowboys whose defense has yielded the 4th most points per game to opposing passers over their last 4 contests. The Cowboys have also given up the 9th most points per game opposing wideouts over their last 4 while the Rams have given up the 12th most over that same span. This game has some serious firepower in it and could easily be the deciding contest on Sunday’s main slate.

QB – Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans (DraftKings $6,800, FanDuel $8,200)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE
hou 47.5 50 23.5 28 28 18 22
ten -1.5 -3 26.5 15 22 17 26

There is going to be tons of value (and ownership) all across this game so I think it makes a lot of sense to have the centerpiece of the Texans’ offense on your roster where you can afford it. Watson isn’t the most expensive passer on the main slate this week but he’s pretty darn close having only a $300 price break off of Patrick Mahomes. If this game goes off as it should, this will prove to be money well spent. Given the way the matchups look on both sides of the ball, I’d say there’s a strong chance this game soars past the implied point total. 

About David Olivarez

David has been writing fantasy football content steadily since 2012 on the web and has been a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association since 2014. He focuses on Daily Fantasy Sports and Trade Analysis. Feel free to ask him questions on Twitter!