Friday - Sep 25, 2020

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DFS GEMS: Week 16

With 15 weeks in the books we are nearing the end of another fantasy season. This week is traditionally the week where you’ll see a massive influx of players who just got bounced from their respective fantasy playoffs and find their way to the various daily fantasy (DFS) sites. It’s also the last week where we can expect the majority of teams to play all of their starters as Week 17 is almost always a wildcard in that regard. Take advantage of the newbies trying DFS for the first time and be sure to lay out as many lineups as your budget permits this week. We get a three-game Saturday slate this week along with a 10-game Sunday main slate. Don’t be afraid to go all-in on both slates in an effort to maximize at the tail-end of the season.

This week is a little weird with 10 teams off the main slate so we’ll need to get creative in places. At any rate, it should be a fun weekend of football so let’s dive right into it!

As a reminder, the rankings below indicate the corresponding team’s ranking in average DraftKings points allowed per game (YTD). The higher the number, the better the matchup. All info that applies to the recommended player will be displayed in bold.

I play on DraftKings exclusively so most of my takes will be slanted towards their scoring and pricing. The weekly Millionaire Maker contest is also focused on the Sunday daytime slate. For takes and advice regarding primetime, Saturday and London games hit me on Twitter @DavidO_DFS

Quarterbacks

QB Drew Brees, New Orleans (DraftKings $6,900, FanDuel $8,200)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
no -1.5 -1 26 20 6 26 11
ten 51 51 25 15 20 19 24

Brees is ballin’ out at the moment and despite the massive price tag, I’ll have a hard time keeping him out of my lineups this week. It’s a great matchup for the entire offense so despite the middling ranking against quarterbacks, Tennessee is very susceptible to the things this New Orleans attack does best. This game is going to be wildly popular but it should still pay off.

QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore (DraftKings $8,000, FanDuel $9,300)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
bal -7 -10 29.25 3 4 16 1
cle 49 48.5 19.25 17 19 14 12

I’m not going to regurgitate Jackson’s incredible stats on the season but he’s obviously a must-start every week in all formats. Don’t think of this as an $8,000 quarterback, think of it as a locked-in RB1 who can also drop bombs for $8,000. After all, his 159 rush attempts on the season would put him at RB22 in that category. If he’s on the slate, failing to have exposure is a mistake.  Note: It’s possible that Jackson may have nothing to play for based on the outcome of the Patriots game. Be ready to make a change if that happens.

QB Dak Prescott, Dallas (DraftKings $6,400, FanDuel $8,000)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
dal pk -2.5 24.25 13 14 8 26
phi 47.5 46 21.75 16 9 29 5

Both teams have been torched through the air lately each landing in the bottom third of the league in average DK points allowed to opposing receivers over the last four contests. With the way Dallas rates against tight ends on the season and the tight end friendly strategy Philadelphia has been forced to use with its entire receiving corps decimated, there is certainly an opportunity for some nice back and forth. I Like Carson Wentz ($5,800 DK) this week too if you want to flip the script a bit but if I’m picking one, give me the passer with the intact receiving corps.

QB Andy Dalton, Cincinnati (DraftKings $5,200, FanDuel $7,100)

Team O/U (open) O/U (current) Implied Team Total vs. QB vs. RB vs. WR vs. TE
cin 45.5 46.5 22.75 24 26 5 7
mia -3 -1 23.75 29 28 30 13

This one is dicey I’ll admit but the numbers add up! Miami is at the bottom of the barrel against quarterbacks and wide receivers, and Dalton is one of the least trustworthy passers in the league. That sort of thing is perfect for keeping ownership nice and low! At this price, it won’t take a Superman-like game to hit 4-5x return on investment against this soft opponent and it’s a nice bit of saving to stretch the budget.

About David Olivarez

David has been writing fantasy football content steadily since 2012 on the web and has been a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association since 2014. He focuses on Daily Fantasy Sports and Trade Analysis. Feel free to ask him questions on Twitter!