Monday - Jan 18, 2021

Home / Commentary / THE GRIND: DFS Week 9


Week 8 saw the best performance from “THE GRIND” thus far in 2018. Upon review of the Draft Kings (DK) lineup, we had major hits on James Conner, Todd Gurley and Larry Fitzgerald in combination with solid performances from Davante Adams and Matthew Stafford. If you followed the DK lineup directly you would have scored 187.5 points, putting you around 31st in single entry tournaments of $2,200 (as the largest single-entry tourneys of $100 and $50 are on the site). That would have put you in the top 1.4 percent of single entry tournaments across the site as well as in the top 1.2 percent of large field tournaments. Needless to say, a great week here on “The Grind.”

Moving on to Week 9, we see the highest game total of the entire season in the Rams vs Saints showdown. It obviously is a game to attack as almost all players involved are in play in some capacity. Again, I feel, like I did last week that there are numerous routes to victory on the 10 game main slate. Let’s attack it and build on last week’s big score.


QB Cam Newton ($6,600) – This will likely be the most invested I will be in a quarterback all season long. I will not shy away from playing Newton at home in this sparkling matchup. This is the week we are about to see Newton carve up a Tampa Bay defense that has no real way to stop him. Injuries have ravaged an already below-average defensive unit and now Tampa Bay goes on the road to face a hot quarterback who has an ascending score in each of the last four weeks. I will conservatively predict 272 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, 55 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown.

RB Todd Gurley ($9,500) – How much explanation is needed really? If we were setting an over/under for touchdowns scored in this game it would have to be two. You couldn’t set it at 1.5, because everybody would take the over for good reason. Gurley is the best bet on the slate to score 30 points as always, and his price has actually slipped down a little bit. Don’t overthink this one.

RB Alvin Kamara ($7,300) – Don’t overthink this one either. New Orleans is using Kamara perfectly and believe it or not, we have not even seen many of his trademark big plays. The only way the Los Angeles Rams defense can give New Orleans problems inside the dome is if it pressures Drew Brees. New Orleans coach Sean Payton is going to use Kamara in the passing game to make sure that does not happen. What will occur though? A minimum of 5-6 receptions and don’t be surprised if the penetrating Rams defensive line opens up a big lane once or twice that Kamara takes advantage of. At only $7,300, this is a bargain.

WR Kenny Golladay ($5,500) – Maybe I am going to be over-reactive to the trades that took place in the NFL this week, but at these prices it is too good of a deal to pass up. Golladay has cooled off a bit from his hot start to begin the season but I am willing to bet his targets rebound quite nicely. Starting this week, he is going to be featured alongside Marvin Jones, who also is definitely in play this week and pivoting to him is not a bad idea. Without Xavier Rhodes 100 percent healthy, I believe both wider receivers can still put up big numbers in a game that could go under the radar as far as high scores on the main slate go.

WR Courtland Sutton ($3,900) – The Houston corners are out-gunned in this game, simple as that. I don’t know if any of them have the speed to keep up with the talent of Sutton, let alone the size. If you have been waiting patiently for the blow up game from this rookie star in the making, this week is the best bet. Yes he will be chalky and highly owned, but at his price of $3,900, he is the best salary relief plus upside play on the slate. He is getting more comfortable every week and will have every opportunity in this game to make the big play.

WR D.J. Moore ($4,300) – Another true bargain who could hit value for us on only a handful of touches. The great news is that we are going to get more than just a handful as Carolina has came to its senses and started featuring Moore in both the short passing game and the running game. A smooth runner, Kamara-like, in the open field, he is both instinctual and explosive in his after the catch running style. I love him in all formats to light up the Tampa Bay defense on Sunday afternoon.

TE O.J. Howard ($4,300) – I am not going to stop playing Howard until they raise his price. It’s ridiculous. I can’t understand what the algorithm is telling the DK tech people to keep his cost suppressed, but I rather enjoy it. If his consistent scoring nature does not entice you, maybe this will: the Carolina defense ranks 32nd in points per game allowed to the tight end position.

FLEX Nick Chubb ($4,500) – We are betting he will get to 100-yards rushing and possibly punch in a short touchdown against Kansas City in a high-scoring affair. I am basically looking at what Phillip Lindsay was able to do in a game that Denver was trailing, and believe Chubb can do the same thing. If Cleveland interim coach Gregg Williams wants to give his defense the slightest of chances against the powerful Kansas City offense, he is going to have his new offensive coordinator pound the rock with Nick Chubb to alleviate some pressure (literally and figuratively) from Baker Mayfield.

DEF Chicago ($4,100) – Pay to play … against Nathan Peterman.

About John Lanfranca