Los Angeles Rams (Jared Goff, Robert Woods, Josh Reynolds)
The Rams will battle the Seahawks this Sunday in an incredibly important NFC West matchup. A win for either team will undoubtedly have playoff seeding implications when the season comes to a close. Both have had inconsistencies, though on opposite ends of the field. While Seattle’s defensive woes have been well publicized, their offense has been one of the best in the league. Meanwhile, Los Angeles has been steady defensively, and wildly inconsistent on offense. Much of that blame falls on Jared Goff, whose roller-coaster like play has been the story of his career. However, in the right matchup for a reasonable salary, Goff can provide great fantasy value. This game against the Seahawks fits into both categories.
Seattle’s secondary has been absolutely dreadful all season, mostly due to injury. Though Jamal Adams returned last week, other much needed players remain questionable for Sunday. Even if they play, some rust should be expected after such a long layoff. On top of that, the Seahawks aren’t all that great at rushing the passer. They’ve compiled only 19 sacks this year, good for about league average. Jared Goff is much worse under pressure compared to when he’s got time in the pocket, giving him a nice floor in this matchup. His talented crop of receivers will have no issues getting open, which elevates Goff’s ceiling to the 30 point range. With an affordable salary, Goff makes a lot of sense for both tournaments and cash games.
Stacking with the Rams can be tough, as each week either of the primary receivers could go off. This week, I’m banking on the perennial underrated Robert Woods to outperform his salary. Woods currently holds a 20% target share in this offense, but that number could rise on Sunday. Cooper Kupp is coming into this game banged up, and could be on a snap limit if he plays. That should open the doorway for an increased workload for Woods, who is due for positive regression in the touchdown department. With only two scores on the season, I like his chances to find the endzone.
Josh Reynolds is an interesting name for a bargain bin receiver. With inconsistent play from their tight ends, the Rams have been running much more 11 personnel as of late. This explains Reynolds averaging five targets per game, and an impressive 14.6 yards/catch. At a dirt cheap price, he deserves strong consideration as a boom-bust play in this stack. If Kupp doesn’t play, Reynolds will easily double or triple his value.
Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers (Tua Tagovailoa, DeVante Parker, Mike Williams)
This weekend’s game in Miami will be a fun contest between two budding rookie quarterbacks. Both were taken in the first round, and Justin Herbert has looked like an absolute steal for the Chargers. Herbert has started every game since week two and has flashed superstar potential. Meanwhile, this will be the third start for Tua Tagovailoa, who had a nice outing against the Cardinals last week. He threw for almost 250 yards, two touchdowns, and boasted a completion percentage over 70%. Fantasy points came on the ground as well, with his 35 yards rushing on 7 carries. In the past, facing the Chargers defense was a daunting prospect for most quarterbacks. That’s not the case this year, as L.A. continues to struggle with injuries throughout their defensive unit.
The Chargers can still get after the quarterback with stud pass rushers Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram. Outside of that department, this defense has had it’s struggles. They rank in the top five for the most fantasy points allowed to opposing passers. This raises Tua’s floor, making him a solid option in cash games. Miami’s offensive line has struggled this season, meaning Bosa and Ingram should have no trouble putting pressure on the young signal caller. Fortunately, this could work in Tua’s favor in terms of fantasy production. He will be forced outside of the pocket to throw and to make plays with his legs. This elevates his ceiling, and a touchdown scored while running is certainly a possibility. At his price, it’s hard to argue against taking a shot with Tua in all formats.
DeVante Parker continues to be underpriced when considering his target share and role on the offense. Parker has turned around a career that had the bust label all over it. Many attribute his success due to Ryan Fitzpatrick’s performing well for the Dolphins. That’s certainly a factor, but Parker deserves credit for persevering through all his injury history. Tua should target him heavily in what sets up to be a high scoring game. 100 yards, double-digit targets, and a score are all on the table this Sunday.
To make this a game stack, Mike Williams complements Parker’s skill set perfectly. He’s a big play threat as opposed to Parker’s possession style, and regularly has one of the highest ceilings on the slate. With an averaging of over 17 yards reception, Williams has the ability to rip off chunks of yardage whenever he’s targeted downfield. Herbert has been gaining more chemistry with him as well, targeting him 15 times in the last two games. With all the attention on Keenan Allen, Williams sets up for a big outing. Multiple touchdowns and 100 receiving yards are baked into his ceiling against this soft secondary.
Green Bay Packers (Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, Allen Lazard)
If you like to spend up at quarterback, look no further than Aaron Rodgers. The Packers are facing off against the woeful Jaguars, and are the strongest favorite of the week. Jacksonville doesn’t have much positivity going for them lately, including their defensive production. Long gone are the days of “Sacksonville”; now they give up some of the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and receivers.With the inability to cover or rush the passer well, the Jags are giving Rodgers a spectacular matchup. 300 plus yards, multiple touchdowns and possibly a scoring touchdown are within the realm of possibility for the former MVP.
Davante Adams really needs no introduction. He’s an elite wide receiver, and is on an incredible hot streak right now. In the past three games, he’s accumulated 422 yards and scored five touchdowns. He’s priced up this week, but could be viable based on your roster construction. Jacksonville has no one who can cover him, so I’d expect him to reach 100-yards and one score. Allen Lazard is set to return from IR this Sunday, and should carry hardly any ownership. He’s a bit pricey, but early in the season he showed great chemistry with Rodgers. Lazard should be the secondary option if Adams faces double coverage. Running back Aaron Jones projects to be a popular play, making Lazard a natural pivot with plenty of upside.