Monday - Oct 19, 2020

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DFS VALUE PLAYS: Week 10

This week it will be tough to fit in the top studs. Christian McCaffrey is priced up to $10,500 on both DraftKings and FanDuel while Lamar Jackson is at $7,300 on DrafKings and $8,600 on FanDuel. If you add Michael Thomas to the equation who is $8,300 on DraftKings and $8,700 on FanDuel, that leaves you with very little salary to spend on the rest of your lineup. Rostering those 3 players leaves you with under $4,000 on DraftKings. In addition, it will force you to miss out on other top studs such as Julio Jones against the Saints, Mike Evans against the Cardinals and Saquon Barkley against the Jets. I think we will see some spread out ownership outside of the top 3 plays this week which will make for an interesting Sunday of DFS.

Quarterbacks

The highest owned players on the main slate were Russell Wilson and Matthew Stafford. Separated by $300 on DraftKings, Wilson put up 42.22 DraftKings points versus Stafford who scored 29.84 DraftKings points. Both were good plays but Wilson leaped you far ahead. The best value play was Ryan Tannehill at $5,300 scoring 28.04 DraftKings points. The biggest bust was Aaron Rodgers scoring 12.94 DraftKings points.

$DPP Value Plays

Ryan Tannehill TEN (DK: $5,100/$319 DPP — FD: $7,200/$450 DPP)

Tannehill was the best value play last week and he is $200 cheaper. Facing the Chiefs who are a better match-up than the Panthers, Tannehill has another chance to throw for over 300-yards passing. The Chiefs allow 229.8 passing yards per game (11th ) with 14 touchdowns allowed. Over the last 4 games they have given up 21.29 DraftKings points per game. If you plan on paying up for Christian McCaffrey, it would be better to pay down at quarterback than at running back or wide receiver.

Daniel Jones NYG (DK: $5,700/$335 DPP — FD: $7,400/$463 DPP)

Jones took a step back last week after posting his second best game of the season in Week 8. He gets a good match-up this week “on the road” against the Jets who are 24th in passing defense allowing 263 yards per game with 12 touchdowns given up. Over the last four weeks, the Jets are allowing 20.34 DraftKings points per game. The Giants should be up for this game as stadium bragging rights are on the line and perhaps even the head coaching job.

Kyle Allen CAR (DK: $5,100/$340 DPP — FD: $7,000/$500 DPP)

Since his first start of the season, Allen has failed to reach 20 fantasy points yet he has won 5-of-6 starts this year. The team put Cam Newton on injured reserve which will allow Allen to start for the rest of the season without the controversy of Newton coming back into play. Allen will face the Packers on the road which is a neutral match-up as the Packers allow 255.2 passing yards per game (21st) but have only given up 11 touchdowns through the air. If he can throw more to Christian McCaffrey and Greg Olsen, it should open up more plays for Allen. Last week McCaffrey saw just 3 targets, his lowest of the season.

Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey was the first player this season priced at $10K on DraftKings and he was still 25% owned. He finished with 40.6 DraftKings points, the most at the position and 3rd highest score on the slate. The biggest bust was Aaron Jones at 25.2% ownership scoring 3.9 DraftKings points. Jaylen Samuels was 50% owned on the slate and scored 20.3 DraftKings points. He narrowly beat out Devin Singletary and Melvin Gordon for best value at the position due to his price.

$DPP Value Plays

David Montgomery CHI (DK: $5,300/$331 DPP — FD: $6,400/$427 DPP)

Montgomery is the one bright spot of this Bears’ offense. Over the past two games he has three rushing touchdowns and has scored over 20 DraftKings points in each game. He faces the Lions who are 27th in rushing defense allowing 135.8 yards per game with 9 scores on the ground. The Lions have allowed the 3rd most DraftKings points over the last four games to the position with 36.52 points per game.

Devin Singletary BUF (DK: $5,000/$385 DPP — FD: $6,700/$558 DPP)

Singletary last week out-carried Frank Gore 20 to 11 as he rushed for 95 yards and touchdown. He has also seen 10 targets out of the backfield over the last two weeks after not seeing any in his two games before that. He faces the Browns this week who are 30th in rushing defense. They allow 141.2 rushing yards per game with 6 touchdowns given up. Over the last four weeks, they have allowed 26.25 DraftKings points to the position.

Kareem Hunt CLE (DK: $3,000/$273 DPP — FD: $4,500/$450 DPP)

Here is a player we haven’t spoken about since the off-season as Hunt recovered from sports hernia surgery and served an 8 week suspension. This play is a wild card as no one knows the role Hunt will play in this offense given the presence of Nick Chubb and the teams struggles this season. He could see 4-8 touches as they ease him back into the offense or he could split the running back duties with Chubb. Backup running back Dontrell Hilliard has seen about 30 snaps the last two weeks. Assuming those snaps go to Hunt, we still don’t know what the touches will be. At his price tag he makes it worth a GPP flyer as it will allow you to fit in Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas and a good quarterback. He faces the Bills who are 20th against the run allowing 116.5 rushing yards per game with 9 touchdowns. They have allowed 30.37 DraftKings points to the position over the last 4 weeks. I know that I will be rolling the dice this week.

About Walter Collazo

Writer for Fantasy Sharks since 2006. Member of FSTA. Winner of the 2014 Fantasy Football Article of the Year Online award, awarded by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.