Thursday - Apr 25, 2019

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DFS VALUE PLAYS: Week 3

In Week 2 the salaries were a little tighter and not all of the chalk hit for big scores. Players such as Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon and Patrick Mahomes came through as high owned players but several others players like Antonio Brown, Houston’s defense and Dante Pettis kept many lineups from cashing.

With Week 3 upon us we have some interesting scenarios to think about. We are seeing injuries change lineups that will open up new value plays. We have to consider Josh Gordon’s addition to the Patriots and if we want to use him in his first game with his new team or take a wait and see approach. I’m probably not going to use him on my main team but like most people, will throw him on a low dollar GPP lineup.

Quarterbacks

Jimmy Garoppolo, Ben Roethlisberger and Patrick Mahomes were by far the highest owned players last week with Garoppolo disappointing with 16.64 DK points at 12% ownership across tournaments. Mahomes finished with 41.84 DK points and Roethlisberger edged him out as the top scoring player overall with 41.98 DK points. Tyrod Taylor and Drew Brees were other quarterbacks which generated a fair amount of ownership but disappointed. Blake Bortles provided the best QB value at $5,400 generating 36.54 DK points. Ryan Fitzpatrick was also a great and under owned QB at $5,500 scoring 33.98 DK points and was only 1.34% owned. I wonder if this is the week people jump on him too late?

$DPP Value Plays

Matt Ryan (DK: $5,700/$317 DPP — FD: $7,700/$411 DPP)

Ryan played well last week against the Panthers scoring 31.68 DK points at 7% ownership. Despite a quiet day from Julio Jones, he still had a decent day passing for two scores; it was his two rushing touchdowns that made the difference. This week he faces the Saints who are giving up 331 passing yards per game and have allowed 5 touchdowns. I expect a bounce back game from Julio Jones with Tevin Coleman starting again to catch 4-5 passes out of the backfield.

Alex Smith (DK: $5,800/$276 DPP — FD: $7,100/$388 DPP)

Smith grades out as our top DPP value QB. After posting 19.6 DK points in Week one he had a subpar performance last week against the Colts posting just 13.08 DK points as he failed to throw a touchdown. He is still targeting RB Chris Thompson a ton as he hit him for 13 passes on 14 targets. His next highest targeted player is Jordan Reed who he completed 6-of-8 passes. He is still not targeting his wide receivers enough. This week he faces the Packers who were torched by Kirk Cousins for 425 yards and two touchdowns. In this matchup, Smith is guaranteed to make value.

 

Running Backs

As expected, James Conner and Tevin Coleman were the highest owned RBs as they provided salary relief as the starters in Week 2. They both scored 19.5 DK points but Coleman came at a $1,400 discount. The next four RBs in Alvin Kamara, Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon and Christian McCaffrey all garnered about the same 18%-19% ownership. All except Kamara generated 30+ DK points. T.J. Yeldon was the highest owned bust while David Johnson came out as the most expensive bust. So far through two weeks, Johnson has failed to meet value. Matt Breida was the best value play on the board scoring 27.9 DK points at $4,800. He was just 1.28% owned across tournaments.

$DPP Value Plays

Corey Clement (DK: $4,300/$430 DPP — FD: $5,800/$644 DPP)

This play depends on the status of Jay Ajayi who is dealing with a back issue. If he is unable to go, expect ownership to go up on Clement. Last week Clement stepped in to score a touchdown and catch 5 passes out of the backfield. He could easily match that production if Ajayi sits. Darren Sproles is also missing time due to a hamstring injury. The Colts last week were killed by Chris Thompson receiving which would play tight into Clement’s strength. The Colts are allowing 29.1 fantasy points per game to the position.

Phillip Lindsay (DK: $4,600/$329 DPP — FD: $6,400/$492 DPP)

Lindsay is a surprise fantasy player as he has led the Denver backfield out producing Royce Freeman and Devontae Booker. In fact Lindsay ranks 3rd in the league with 178 rushing yards. He is averaging 16.65 DK points per game which is decent value considering the number of available RBs at this price range. He faces the Ravens this week who have not allowed a rushing touchdown but gave up 111 yards last week to the Bengals.

About Walter Collazo

Writer for Fantasy Sharks since 2006. Member of FSTA. Winner of 2014 Fantasy Football Article of the Year Online, awarded by FTSA.