Injuries are starting to play a bigger role and we have several wide receivers that we are still not sure of their status for Week 5. This is where people will find the salary to pay up for other positions. There are a handful of receivers near minimum salary that could see an increased role this week. Receivers such as Auden Tate, Javon Wims and KeeSean Johnson could be this week’s top value plays.
Saquon Barkley is ahead of schedule in his ankle injury recovery. He would make for a high risk, high reward play at low ownership should he suit up in Week 5.
With the Chiefs and Lions having one of the highest totals on the board, we saw heavy ownership on both teams. Patrick Mahomes came in as the highest owned quarterback with 23% ownership in tournaments. He finished as the 9th highest scoring quarterback. However, he scored just 6 points less than the 2nd highest quarterback, Jared Goff who had 27.68. Matthew Stafford however came into the game with an injury tag and it affected his ownership. He came in at just 3% owned but finished as the 5th highest scoring quarterback. The highest scoring quarterback was Jameis Winston scoring 33.3 DraftKings points. The best value play was Joe Flacco with 26.02 DraftKings points. The biggest bust was Tom Brady scoring just 4.7 DraftKings points with the 4th highest salary at the position.
$DPP Value Plays
Chase Daniel CHI (DK: $4,800/$400 DPP — FD: $6,500/$542 DPP)
Mitch Trubisky will miss a few weeks due to a dislocated shoulder. In relief last week Daniel had 195 yards passing and a touchdown. This week he will have an easier matchup against the Raiders who rank 30th against the pass and allow 21.29 DraftKings points per game. 20 points from a near minimum priced quarterback is pretty good. This game is in London which will eliminate the home crowd advantage for the Raiders.
Joe Flacco DEN (DK: $4,700/$313 DPP — FD: $6,600/$440 DPP)
With Flacco’s 26 point performance last week, he is now averaging 16 DraftKings points per game. That is nothing exciting but at his depressed salary he would need to just exceed his average to be a good GPP play. He has been locked in to Emmanuel Sanders as he has been targeted 34 times in the first 4 games. Flacco’s matchup this week against the Chargers is a better one than he had last week as the Chargers rank 28th against the pass and have allowed 8 passing touchdowns this year. The Broncos are 0-4 and Flacco will need to have a good game in order to avoid joining Eli Manning on the retirement line.
Kirk Cousins MIN (DK: $5,300/$331 DPP — FD: $6,800/$425 DPP)
Cousins has played awful this season as he is throwing for just 183 yards per game with only 3 touchdowns. He makes for a great GPP option this week against the Giants that are still ranked 31st in passing defense despite a big game last week against the Redskins. The Vikings have better talent at receiver and will be a mismatch for the Giants cornerbacks. Cousins has a high ceiling as we’ve seen him put up 30+ fantasy points twice last season.
Melvin Gordon ended his holdout and returned to the Chargers but it didn’t keep ownership of Austin Ekeler down as he ended up being the highest owned player at 29% in tournaments. He was the 4th highest scoring running back with 29.2 DraftKings points. The top scorer at the position was Nick Chubb who went under owned at just 3% but put up 42.3 DraftKings points. The biggest bust was Marlon Mack with 22% ownership scoring just 3.9 DraftKings points. The value play was Wayne Gallman who finished with 28.8 DraftKings points at $4,800 and below expected ownership.
$DPP Value Plays
David Montgomery CHI (DK: $5,200/$473 DPP — FD: $5,800/$580 DPP)
Montgomery is averaging just 10 fantasy points a game so far this season but that is only due to the fact that he has yet to score a touchdown. Montgomery out snapped Tarik Cohen last week 50-28 and with Chase Daniels taking over, he has seen his targets go up. Last week he was targeted 5 times and should see an increase in targets should Taylor Gabriel miss this game. The Raiders are 16th against the run and allow 16.7 DraftKings points to the position. If the Bears get ahead early, Montgomery could rack up more stats.
Ronald Jones TBB (DK: $4,600/$383 DPP — FD: $6,200/$517 DPP)
Jones got into the endzone last week for the first time this season putting up his best fantasy game. He out snapped Peyton Barber 36-19 and received 19 carries compared to just 9 for Peyton Barber. He will face the Saints defense who are ranked 29th in rushing DVOA. This game has the second highest implied total on the slate at 46.5 points. Hopefully he sees more targets in this game.
Carlos Hyde HOU (DK: $4,300/$500 DPP — FD: $5,500/$1,375 DPP)
Hyde has quietly stepped in and taken more of the lead role in Houston. Through 4 games he has averaged 13 carries a game averaging 4.8 yards per carry; Duke Johnson is only getting 5.8 carries per game. Hyde fits the offense better and should be used more in this game against a Falcons defense giving up 109.5 yards rushing per game with 5 touchdowns on the ground. This game has the highest implied total on the slate with 49 points.