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THE DIVE: Week 16 “Naughty or Nice?”

Week 15 seemed to have more surprises than recent weeks with some “nice” starts which helped fantasy owners earn a victory while others were quite “naughty” with performances significantly under expectation! In only his second NFL start, Jalen Hurts put on a clinic with 338 passing yards, 63 rushing yards and four total touchdowns. Other quarterbacks including Ryan Tannehill, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen and Kyler Murray also helped their fantasy owners secure a ticket to the final round of the playoffs in most league formats. In other news, there is no longer a winless NFL team as the New York Jets shocked the world with a road victory against the Los Angeles Rams.

If you are still competing, you are likely in a championship match or potentially vying for third place. There is not a Thursday matchup scheduled, but rather games on Friday and Saturday so set your lineup accordingly. Weather does not appear to be a factor in most games this week except for rain expected for the New England/Buffalo matchup on Monday night. Good luck this week. It’s do or die!

Baker Mayfield, QB, Cleveland

His start to the season was unimpressive, he lost Odell Beckham Jr., and then played in a few games with inclement weather. But now? Now it’s time to count on him! He has thrown for at least 258 passing yards and two touchdowns in four straight games. With 10 touchdowns over his past four games, only one other quarterback has thrown more. With a road matchup against the New York Jets, which have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, Mayfield will continue be a QB1 this week especially if your current starter has been struggling or faces a tough defense.

Week 16 forecast: 275 passing yards, 15 rushing yards, 2 TD

Salvon Ahmed, RB, Miami

EDITORS NOTE: Gaskin has been activated off the Covid-IR list.

When Myles Gaskin went down several weeks ago, Ahmed entered the fantasy radar and quickly made a name for himself. In fact, he just posted his biggest career stat line with 122 rushing yards and a score against New England last weekend. Although there is a chance Gaskin returns for Week 16 and his workload is also shared with DeAndre Washington as well as Matt Breida, Ahmed should be the lead back in a road matchup against Las Vegas, which has given up the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Keep an eye on the statuses of Miami’s running backs, but Ahmed has low-end RB2 and Flex appeal for this week.

Week 16 forecast: 80 total yards, TD

Jarvis Landry, WR, Cleveland

Never underestimate the value of a consistent wide receiver in fantasy football, even if they do not always post huge “boom” games. Landry has at least six catches and 52 receiving yards in four straight games, and also caught touchdowns in three of them. He may be overlooked in your league and has a high floor with a decent ceiling especially in a juicy matchup against the New York Jets secondary that surrenders the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Consider Landry a low risk WR3 or Flex with high floor.

Week 16 forecast: 75 receiving yards, TD

Dan Arnold, TE, Arizona

There’s a chance you’ve never heard of this tight end, but familiarize yourself with his name as he has averaged almost 50 receiving yards and a touchdown over his last three weeks. Though his stat lines may not be jaw-dropping, tight end is as a shallow as it gets this season. Arnold may be an option as TE3 in a home matchup against San Francisco, which has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends over the last four weeks

Week 16 forecast: 50 receiving yards, TD

Chicago D/ST

Although the Chicago defense was likely drafted in your league, there’s a strong chance it was dropped at some point since the offense was struggling mightily. Now that Mitchell Trubisky has the offense moving the ball fluidly and with more efficiency, its defense should be back on the table again and may be available in your league. Chicago has an attractive road matchup against Jacksonville, which surrenders the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing defenses this season. If Chicago is available in your league, add immediately!

Week 16 forecast: 12 points

About Marc Griffis

Marc Griffis has competed in fantasy football, baseball, and basketball leagues since 2005. Marc has written "The Dive" for Fantasy Sharks since 2010. Additionally, his expertise is featured in David Gonos' E-books "101 Fantasy Baseball Tips" and "101 Fantasy Football Tips". Lastly, Marc competed in the Fantasy Sports Trade Association SiriusXM Fantasy Baseball experts' league from 2012-2014.