Sunday - Feb 28, 2021

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HITTING PAYDIRT: Week 6

Welcome back to Hitting Paydirt for Week 5, a weekly article that looks at the touchdown scorers this week. When looking for touchdown scorers, value is important. Some sites offer in-game betting on touchdown scorers so if you can hold off on taking a star player like Aaron Jones at -250 to score, wait until late in the first quarter or second quarter to place a bet at a better number if he is still scoreless.

I am not suggesting to play all of these touchdown scorers below, but if there is value, they will be listed. You should not bet the same amount per player and depending on your book, you may also be able to parlay some of these. I’ll use the lines from DraftKings and Fanduel. Be sure to shop your books for the best lines as they can be drastically different from site to site. The best price from each site is listed next to each player as of Saturday at noon.

First, let’s get into the games with the highest totals on the board. There are eight games where the total is 50 points or higher. Some of the books have adjusted for 2020’s high scoring numbers, but there is still plenty of value with the anytime touchdown scorers, especially on Fanduel’s Same Game Parlay.

High Totals

Falcons @ Vikings (54.5)

Browns @ Steelers (50.5)

Lions @ Jaguars (54.5)

Texans @ Titans (53.5)

Packers @ Bucs (55.5)

Rams @ 49ers (52)

Chiefs @ Bills (57.5)

Cardinals @ Cowboys (55)

Now let’s get into the picks for Week 6..

Week 6 Picks

Broncos @ Patriots

Cam Newton +100

Cam is even money on Fanduel, but a bigger -150 favorite on Draftkings to score. I think he will be aggressive after having to sit due to testing positive for the virus. He will be hungry to score this week.

Falcons @ Vikings

Mike Boone +240

Calvin Ridley +120

Julio Jones +140

Mattison will be the lead back, but Boone will get some carries as well and at a +240 price vs. Mattison’s -250 on Draftkings, he’s worth a look. The Falcons have been a mess, but I like either Falcon to score at a plus price. Just need one to score to make a profit.

Lions @ Jaguars

Kenny Golladay +105

Golladay is my favorite play of the week against the Jaguars secondary.

Chiefs @ Bills

Josh Allen +130

John Brown +250

I would also play a few Fanduel Same Game Parlays for this game. Kelce and Hill are both -150 and can be added to a parlay.

Parlay: Kelce, Hill, Allen, Brown pays +2466

Cardinals @ Cowboys

Kyler Murray +150

Michael Gallup +285

The Kyler number feels like stealing against a Cowboys defense. There should be fireworks on MNF. Gallup is +285 on DraftKings and Dalton went to him on two big plays to clinch the Giants victory. Maybe there is something there. Here are a couple long shot parlays:

Parlay: Hopkins, Murray, Gallup pays +1763

Parlay: Kirk, Zeke, Schultz pays +1883

Parlay: Murray, Zeke, Wilson pays +3685

Parlay: Kirk, Schultz, Gallup pays +4370

Follow nicky_stats on twitter for any live plays or primetime picks. Good luck this weekend …

About Nick Pagliuca

Nick has been competitively playing fantasy sports for over 15 years and has been very active in sports betting analysis. Nick participates mainly in fantasy football and offers gambling advice on all major sports.