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FANTASY IMPACT: Week 11

Last week we saw the end of the trade deadline in some leagues but there are many that are still open. This week will talk about the biggest movers in the rankings which can lead to some trade targets. Each of the players below also have become every week starters and should be started with confidence.

The listed points are in 1/2-point per reception leagues.

Immediate Trade Targets and New Starters

D’Andre Swift, RB, Detroit

His Week 10 snap percentage is now up to 73 percent which is ahead of Miles Sanders, Alvin Kamara and Aaron Jones – just for reference. There were only six running backs ranked ahead of him this past week; this brought Kerryon Johnson down to 15 percent and Adrian Peterson down to 12 percent. Last week, they all sat fairly evenly at between 27-40 percent. The previous week (Week 8), Swift had a 62 percent share and had a 45 percent share before that (Week 7). That Week 9 game was out of hand very quickly against Minnesota so it is not a good game from which to sample. After the bye week in Week 6, he started to have over five carries for the first time. He has had 14, nine, six, 13 and 16 carries since the bye and at least three catches in each. The Atlanta and Indianapolis games were the ones with under 10 carries as those run defenses are difficult to say the least. Depending on your metric, Indianapolis was actually first in run defense at that point. With a schedule including Carolina, Houston, Green Bay and Tennessee, it is difficult to find a reason not to trade for him. Season-long and dynasty teams should both target him as there will likely be a new coaching staff next year that will utilize him better. Swift ranks sixth in fantasy points since Week 7.

Wayne Gallman, RB, N.Y. Giants

Anyone that follows these articles or my Twitter page knows I have been calling for Gallman to be picked up and started for weeks now. Devonta Freeman is on Injured Reserve and no other running back is close in terms of opportunities or talent. Gallman ranks third in points since Week 7. Since the injuries, he has had a list of terrible matchups and succeeded in each. He has 10-plus carries and one touchdown in each week since Week 7. He played Philadelphia twice, Tampa Bay and Washington. After the bye, he has the privilege of playing Cincinnati, Seattle, Arizona and Cleveland. He is a very poor man’s Aaron Jones of last year in that the offense feeds him the touchdowns. His touches have increased from 10 to 12 to 14 to 18 over the last four weeks.

Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh

This does not require a lot of explaining. He is the clear No. 1 receiver in the Pittsburgh offense when healthy. In his healthy games, he had 15, 10 and 11 targets while averaging one touchdown per game. He also averaged over 85 yards in those games. In several games this year he was actually knocked out of the game with an injury in the first quarter or did not play at all. On the surface, he had three games of 1-2 targets but that was mostly due to injury, luck and a low playing weight (183 pounds). He should be an every-week starter for you.

Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati

Despite some overall difficult matchups, he has had at least five catches and 70 yards since Week 6. It is clear A.J. Green has taken a backseat to Higgins already and this offense has plenty of pass attempts to go around. The defense has allowed 30 points in 3-of-4 games recently against questionable offenses. Here are Joe Burrow’s pass attempts the last four weeks: 39, 47, 37, 40. There is a lot to go around in this offense and Joe Mixon returning should help him. Higgins is averaging the seventh-most fantasy points since Week 7.

Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco

He is the low-key version of Tee Higgins and should come at a cheaper price. In the last three weeks he has averaged 10 targets and 90 yards. The matchups were not hard in these games but the usage is encouraging since George Kittle has been out. He also had touchdowns in 2-of-3 games recently. Kendrick Bourne coming back will definitely cut into his playing time so do not pay too high of a price. Regardless, the outcome is encouraging especially for dynasty leagues.

Anyone in the Cleveland/Houston game last week

The weather was as bad as it could get for passing. Jarvis Landry, Duke Johnson and Brandin Cooks were my rest-of-season sleepers and it still stands this way. With stronger than 25 mph winds and 50 mph gusts, the game was bound to be a disappointment. It has not changed the rankings moving forward for these players and makes them easier to buy now.

Players that Dropped in the Rankings

The Denver Backfield

With all three running backs healthy, Melvin Gordon led the group with 4.6 fantasy points as the RB39 on the week. Royce Freeman was the RB45 and Phillip Lindsay was the RB78. Last week, Melvin Gordon led the group with 3.2 fantasy points (RB51) while Phillip Lindsay had 2.3 fantasy points (RB57). Last week I was calling for all pieces of the backfield to be sold and that has not changed.

The Baltimore Backfield

This group falls into the same mess listed above. Gus Edwards actually led the group with 7.8 fantasy points last week (RB28) while Mark Ingram (RB42) and J.K. Dobbins (RB58) were left with irrelevant production. With all three healthy, this is a mess to avoid. I actually dropped Ingram in one league.

Golden Tate, WR, N.Y. Giants

I will admit to being a fan of his in the offseason for this year but the usage has not been good. Five targets were the best it has been since Week 5 against Dallas for him. Since Sterling Shepard has been back, Tate is irrelevant.

Robby Anderson , WR, Carolina Panthers

He had some insane stats the first five weeks of the season but his talent level has caught up to him and D.J. Moore/Curtis Samuel are both overtaking him. What if I told you he has not scored a touchdown since Week 1? He has not had over 80 yards since Week 5. He is still averaging eight targets per game and is best suited for a points per reception league format. Outside of that, he is an immediate sell for the rest of the season. The yardage goes down as the weeks go on; he has not had a catch of over 30 yards for four weeks now.

About Justin Weigal

Medical professional turned fantasy football pro... I hope. Love best ball and the Packers.