Top 5 Pick ‘Em
Season record: 16-24
Chicago -9.5 (at Buffalo) – It is Nathan Peterman time again. He will be leading a Buffalo offense that is averaging less than 11 points per game. Can Chicago score 20 points? Why yes, yes they can.
Kansas City -9 (at Cleveland) – Kansas City covered the spread in all eight games this season and the streak is unlikely to end this Sunday. While Cleveland can’t get much worse with the departure of Hue Jackson and Todd Haley, it’s unlikely to improve under Gregg Williams.
Carolina -6.5 (vs. Tampa Bay) – Carolina has established a home field advantage as it has won nine straight at Bank of America Stadium. The bottom line is that it doesn’t matter who plays quarterback for Tampa Bay as he will have some magical drives with a lot of turnovers mixed in. Ryan Fitzpatrick is good for at least a couple turnovers against a Carolina team that is already boasting a steamy plus-6 turnover differential.
Washington -1.5 (vs. Atlanta) – Atlanta has been decimated with injuries all year and it even continued throughout its bye week. Washington is leaning on the ageless Adrian Peterson, who is averaging more than 100-yards per game in the team’s last three victories.
Green Bay +7 (at New England) – This is a very similar story to last week when Aaron Rodgers was a sizeable underdog going into Los Angeles. The small key differences are that New England just isn’t as good as the Los Angeles Rams on either side of the ball. Tom Brady has to do it all as there is clearly no support from a ground attack while Sony Michel is out.
Top Survivor Pick
Chicago (at Buffalo) – See above. The obvious and safest choice this week.
Dallas (vs. Tennessee) – Dallas is undefeated at home and Tennessee is reeling despite all of its talent.
Miami (vs. New York Jets) – Miami is a popular pick this week with so many teams on bye, but you never want to put your hopes and dreams on Brock Osweiler or even a returning Ryan Tannehill if that’s what happens.
Kansas City (at Cleveland) – Kansas City is not in danger of losing this game! However, you should consider saving Kansas City for later in the season (Arizona, either game against Oakland).