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THE PROGNOSTICATOR: Week 12

Welcome my fantasy brethren to another edition of The Prognosticator, may it be as good as Thanksgiving Day leftovers.
Passing Rushing
Team Score Team Score
ATL 277 CLE 143
PHI 276 ARI 140
KC 269 NE 139
LVR 268 MIN 133
HOU 266 BAL 132
IND 266 LAC 128
LAC 259 DET 127
BUF 254 SEA 127
CAR 254 WAS 126
MIA 251 NO 124
GB 251 NYG 123
DET 250 LVR 120
ARI 246 TEN 120
SEA 244 DAL 119
MIN 241 NYJ 116
LAR 241 TB 116
TB 241 LAR 116
JAX 239 GB 116
NO 236 IND 115
CLE 235 CAR 114
PIT 231 HOU 112
DEN 230 PIT 109
WAS 229 ATL 107
CIN 228 BUF 106
SF 227 PHI 106
CHI 227 MIA 103
NE 227 SF 102
NYG 225 CIN 101
TEN 218 JAX 101
DAL 215 CHI 96
NYJ 208 DEN 95
BAL 193 KC 93

How to read the table: The table shows how a team will do Passing and Rushing in the upcoming week of the NFL. Red is HOT, Yellow is WARM, White is NORMAL, Light Blue is COLD and Dark Blue is FREEZING COLD. Play players from teams that are Red and Yellow, avoid players from teams that are Light or Dark Blue and expect average days from teams that are White.

All Times are Eastern

Houston Texans at Detroit Lions – Thursday 12:30pm
Things have not started out well for us this week but that can happen too. We expected a little more Detroit offense against a very porous Houston defense and a little less Deshaun Watson against a granted, bad Detroit defense. Given that Matt Patricia was a defensive coach in New England before joining Detroit I just have to ask.. “Why?”

 

Favorite: Houston Texans by 2.5
Prediction: Detroit Lions 24 – Houston Texans 21
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Washington Football Team at Dallas Cowboys – Thursday 4:30pm
Washington was the pick against the spread and that was a winner. We had the wrong team winning this game but a close game was expected. Which it was, until some questionable play calls were made and a quick pick-six sunk the Cowboys.

 

Favorite: Dallas Cowboys by 3
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys 23 – Washington Football Team 21
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers – Thursday 8:20pm
This game has been moved to Tuesday (currently). Without Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram or J.K. Dobbins things just got “real” in a hurry for Baltimore. It’s just too much for Robert Griffin III to handle against a Pittsburgh defense that is arguably, the best in the business right now. The matchup is brutal for Gus Edwards and I wouldn’t blame you if you sat him but he’ll turn in an unexpectedly good fantasy performance here. Expect for the Baltimore defense to play well against Pittsburgh and for this to ultimately be a game of smash-mouth football where the hits are big and the turnovers are plentiful.

 

Favorite: Pittsburgh Steelers by 4
Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers 30 – Baltimore Ravens 23
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills – Sunday 1:00pm
There’s an outside chance that Austin Ekeler could return in this game but after a nasty hamstring tear, it will take a few games before he’s given back the reigns. With or without him, expect the Chargers to run the ball well here and for both teams to throw the ball well too. In fantasy, it’s the Chargers that make for the better plays, get what you can in. While you most certainly can and should play whatever you have from Buffalo’s passing game, it’s the Buffalo defense that will cause a string of turnovers that will vex the Chargers this day.

 

Favorite: Buffalo Bills by 5.5
Prediction: Buffalo Bills 27 – Los Angeles Chargers 23
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts – Sunday 1:00pm
You know the drill, play Derrick Henry and anyone that gets to play the Tennessee defense. Tennessee has shifted from contender to pretender on defense so roll out your Colts this week. But wait, the problem is, Indianapolis gets it done by spreading the ball around. It was nice to see a solid bounce-back game from Jonathan Taylor last week but no Indianapolis receiver is really worth a start based on how Indianapolis schemes. They are all about trying to isolate an open man and they get that done in a variety of ways which opens up a variety of receivers. It just means that they all have some value as they all have a good floor, it’s just impossible to predict exactly which receiver or tight end is going to see a few more balls than the rest to push them over into fantasy start-worthy territory.

 

Favorite: Indianapolis Colts by 3.5
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts 30 – Tennessee Titans 23
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

About Tony Holm

Founder and President of FantasySharks.com. Five-time nominee for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Started publishing fantasy content on the web in 1993 and hasn't stopped yet.