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QUARTERBACKS: Late Round Bargain Shopping

In fantasy, quarterbacks score the most points. That means you need to grab a heavy hitter early, right?

WRONG! While it’s true that quarterbacks score the most points, that doesn’t make them more valuable. It actually hurts their value. Let’s take 2018 for example. In 0.5 points per reception (PPR) leagues, quarterbacks made up 17 out of the Top 26 scorers in fantasy. Eli Manning (QB17) outscored guys like Antonio Brown, DeAndre Hopkins and Melvin Gordon. And very few general managers in fantasy were even rostering Manning last season. This means that you can find great value late into your draft (even league-winning value). In 2018, Patrick Mahomes and Matt Ryan were being drafted at the end of the tenth and ninth rounds, respectively. They finished as the No. 1 and No. 2 quarterbacks in fantasy.

Here are some quarterbacks you can acquire late in your draft who could be the next Mahomes/Ryan pair.

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills – 13th Round ADP

The Bills have improved the number and quality of weapons for Allen this offseason by adding wide receivers John Brown and Cole Beasley along with running back T.J. Yeldon. Beasley should act as a target-machine for Allen with John Brown being a reliable deep-ball threat. Yeldon’s pass catching skills make him a great third down target too.

Let’s also not forget that Allen was the QB2 from Weeks 11-16 in 2018.

In my opinion, Allen’s ADP is preposterous. With his running ability and improved targets on offense, he could easily crack the Top-10 quarterbacks list this year.

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys – 11th Round ADP

After the addition of Amari Cooper mid-season, Prescott went from averaging 202 passing yards per game to 274. His passing touchdowns went up as well (from 1.14 to 1.55 per game). Ezekiel Elliott has also proven to be a threat in the passing game and Michael Gallup looks lined up to have a better second season.

Although his rushing numbers might take a small hit, Prescott has shown he can throw-down with the big names in the NFL. He’s also entering the final year of his rookie contract and he’ll give his everything to earn a fat-stack of cash next offseason. It all adds up to enormous value for an 11th-round pick.

Kirk Cousins , Minnesota Vikings 13th Round ADP

Since earning the starting role for Washington in 2015, Cousins has started in every game, averaged more than 4,300 passing yards and nearly 28 passing touchdowns per season. In 2018, Cousins threw 30 touchdowns and completed 70.1 percent of his attempts — both career highs. Also, Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen and Kyle Rudolph make for some really good targets.

The biggest knock on him in fantasy is the talk that Minnesota is looking to do more running. That’s not really a bad thing, as it will let Cousins think out his throws a little more instead of being forced to throw as much as last year. Circle Cousins on your cheatsheet as a late round addition and you’ll be glad that you did.

Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders 14th Round ADP

There’s still a case to be made that Carr could have been a former league MVP. With 28 touchdowns, nearly 4,000 yards and six interceptions in 15 games, he had my vote in 2016. Since his season-ending injury that year, he hasn’t been the same.

And now he has Antonio Brown. Need I say more? Well, I will anyway.

In 9-of-16 games last season, Carr threw for more than 250 yards and/or two-plus touchdowns. Solid numbers. His first two games this season are against Denver and Kansas City, which were the 22nd and 31st ranked defenses in 2018, respectively. Carr’s 231.25 yards per game against those two teams last year make him a good end-of-the-draft selection while you load up on depth at other positions.

About Benjamin Ditlevson

I may be new to the Fantasy Football writing game, but I've been giving winning advice to friends and family for years. I have run numerous leagues including my league of record for 17 years. If I'm not working/studying Fantasy Football, I'm spending time with my wife and my furry, long-eared kids, Cinna and Grayson.