Monday - Apr 19, 2021

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REAR-VIEW: Week 10

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Jimmy Garoppolo finally had the good game we were all expecting with a line of 317/4/0 but it was against one of the easiest quarterback matchups. If anything, we remembered how easy of a matchup this is despite having Patrick Peterson on the field. Peterson has not been himself so far this year so continue to start all of the wide receivers against the Cardinals. Emmanuel Sanders (7/112/1) showed right away he is the default number one receiver in this offense as no one else has stepped up. He can be a start-able option as a WR2 on a weekly basis. George Kittle continues to make a case for the top tight end spot this year with a line of 6/79/1. Every other receiver showed to be irrelevant as has been the case this year. Matt Breida was actually the leading running back with 15 carries to Tevin Coleman’s 12 this week. It seems both receive decent volume regardless of the team but there is no way to predict who will receive more touches and each running back has a lot of risk each week. Matt Breida lead the team with 76 yards but neither back had a touchdown.

This is the kind of performance we have come to expect from Kyler Murray on a weekly basis but it shows he has a solid floor. Murray had 241 yards and 2 touchdowns this week and helped his value with 34 yards. The story of the day is Kenyan Drake balling out as soon as he was off the Dolphins. He had 162 all-purpose yards with 4 receptions and a touchdown. No other player received more than one carry indicating he is the leader until others return from injury. Even then, 7.3 yards per carry for this game is much higher than David Johnson ever had this year. We may have a timeshare once he comes back. Andy Isabella had another one catch performance and continues to see no real volume outside of this so he is not a waiver candidate. This is a brutal matchup for receivers so the performances can mostly be thrown out. Either way we now know Larry Fitzgerald had fizzled out since the first two weeks and is now dead in fantasy. Christian Kirk has sneaky upside as the leader in targets when both are on the field.

Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Chargers

As a Packer fan I hope this game can be thrown out and we never see this side of the offense again. It makes no sense to run only 11 times against a run funneled defense that sells out to stop the pass. It seems we can not trust Aaron Jones on a weekly basis and Jamaal Williams has a high floor each week from his passing game usage. Williams is an every-week starter clearly and so is Jones but with more risk. Aaron Jones had just 3 fantasy points this week while Jamaal Williams had 13.9 points. Davante Adams had a rough matchup but received a massive 11 targets which bodes well for starting status entering future weeks. He had just 7 catches for 41 yards however as Aaron Rodgers held on to the ball forever and did not take any chances. No other receivers are notable for the Packers as we have come to expect and everyone is able to be dropped besides Allen Lazard.

Phillip Rivers had an okay game against a difficult matchup. His 294 yards for the game suggest it was good but having all touchdowns taken away from the running game could be a dangerous sign for anyone trying to start him. Melvin Gordon returned to his old form in an excellent way with a line of 20/80/2 rushing and 3/29/0 receiving. He will now return his 1st round pick status for the remainder of the season. Austin Ekeler may now be on the back burners and took a major hit to his value. He only managed 12 carries due to the garbage time the team was in and was down to just 4 catches. Hunter Henry again had an excellent 10 targets and had 7 catches for 84 yards. He is the clear top receiving option when he is back. Mike Williams finally had a 100-yard game but this mostly came on one long catch. Keenan Allen had just 4 targets while Mike Williams had just 3 targets. The receiving clearly goes through Hunter Henry and the running backs for now.

Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos

The Browns had another typical day with Baker Mayfield having a poor showing again (273/1/0). Nick Chubb has continuously declined as the season has gone on in terms of efficiency. He had 20 carries again but had just 91 scrimmage yards. Odell Beckham saved his fantasy day with one long reception of 39. He had 5 catches for 87 yards in a difficult matchup and Jarvis Landry had 6 catches for 51 yards. Jarvis Landry had 13 targets to Odell Beckham’s 6.

Brandon Allen should have never been started to begin with and he did not have a breakthrough game (193/2/0). Phillip Lindsay continues to be extremely efficient (92 yards) with the limited carries (9) he had but continues to see low volume. Royce Freeman is even worse with carries (5) and yardage (15). It seems until Joe Flacco is back, the rushing game is useless. Courtland Sutton was easily the leading receiver with 8 targets and 5 receptions for 56 yards. He had a touchdown along with Noah Fant who had a long 75 yard catch but did not have much else. Sutton is easily the leading receiver and we will see if Fant continues to see production.

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Deshaun Watson had a harder matchup but still produced (201/2/0). Carlos Hyde continues to have a massive workload (19 carries) and great production (160 yards) each week in good matchups. Duke Johnson continues to be borderline useable each week as he had 5 receptions for 68 yards. DeAndre Hopkins disappointed again this week after having some better weeks as he had 8 catches for 48 yards and a touchdown. Darren Fells had another touchdown reception but other receivers were not relevant.

Gardner Minshew is coming to an end as Nick Foles is back and healthy. Remember that his main target was Dede Westbrook and not D.J. Chark. Leonard Fournette should continue to have good production once he is back but he had a bad game today rushing (11/40/0) and receiving (5/32/0). We can not have much information on the receiving distribution until Nick Foles comes back.

About Justin Weigal

Medical professional turned fantasy football pro... I hope. Love best ball and the Packers.