Wednesday - Nov 13, 2019

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RED LIGHT, GREEN LIGHT: Week 10

Welcome back for the Week 10 edition of “Red Light, Green Light”, your matchup guide for all of this weekend’s NFL contests. While the information conveyed below piece is not intended to be solely a start/bench list, it can be used to evaluate those decisions as well.

In each NFL Week 10 game profile below, players mentioned in the green light sections have a great matchup, and can be counted on as rock solid options. Players mentioned in the yellow light sections have just an okay matchup and/or usage concerns, meaning they are passable fantasy options but don’t expect them to set the world on fire. Players in the red light sections have serious matchup/usage concerns, require lowered expectations lowered for the week, and/or should be avoided if possible. Remember, seeing your stud listed in the yellow or red light section isn’t necessarily grounds to bench them, but more of an indication they may not be the guy(s) carrying your team to victory.

Note: Fantasy points allowed statistics are based off of the Fantasy Sharks default PPR scoring system. Point Spreads and Over/Unders are based off the Fantasy Sharks consensus analysis.

Bye Week Teams: Denver, Houston, Jacksonville, New England, Philadelphia, Washington

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2019 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Ravens Bengals
Quarterback 19th 6th
Running Back 25th 4th
Wide Receiver 8th 21st
Tight End 26th 29th
Defense/Special Teams 30th 6th
Vegas Line: Ravens -9.5
Vegas Over/Under: 45.5
green-light
  • Lamar Jackson – Fantasy’s overall QB3 rushed for a season-high 152 yards when he last faced the Bengals in Week 6.
  • Mark Ingram – The Ravens’ run game should feast against a Bengals’ defense ranked 21st.
  • Ravens D/ST – The Bengals have benched long-time starting QB Andy Dalton, and handed the reins over to rookie fourth-round pick Ryan Finley. Blood is in the water.
yellow-light
  •  None of note.
red-light
  • Marquise Brown – Returned last Sunday evening after missing two games due to an ankle injury. Ravens’ head coach John Harbaugh admitted earlier this week that Brown may not be completely healthy at any point this season, and the Ravens likely won’t need to pass much in this contest.
  • Mark Andrews – Since Week 3, Andrews has eclipsed 45 receiving yards just once after going for 100+ in each of the Ravens’ first two games to open 2019.
  • Joe Mixon – The Ravens allow the 4th-fewest rushing yards per game to opposing running backs, a number that includes just a 8-10-0 line on the ground against them in Week 6.

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2019 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Bills Browns
Quarterback 29th 15th
Running Back 15th 10th
Wide Receiver 31st 22nd
Tight End 31st 13th
Defense/Special Teams 9th 5th
Vegas Line: Browns -2.5
Vegas Over/Under: 40.5
green-light
  • Devin Singletary – Putting up 140 total yards and a score on 20 touches last Sunday against Washington, Singletary’s big breakout should solidify him as the Bills’ top backfield option over Frank Gore.
  • Bills D/ST – The bumbling Browns have committed 17 giveaways and are -8 in turnover differential.
yellow-light
  • Josh Allen – The Browns have allowed at least two touchdowns to all but one opposing quarterback they’ve faced.
  • John Brown – He’s put up at least 50 receiving yards in every game this season. Cleveland has allowed the 6th-fewest receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts, however.
  • Nick Chubb – The Bills run defense (ranked 29th) has been their Achilles heel all season. Though Chubb is the NFL’s fourth-leading rusher (807 yards) at the moment, Kareem Hunt returns from suspension, and could carve out a meaningful role immediately.
  • Jarvis Landry – Appears to at least have volume back on his side, totaling 23 targets since the Browns’ Week 7 bye.
red-light
  • Baker Mayfield – Has just one QB1 (top-12) fantasy finish all season (Week 6 against Seattle).
  • Odell Beckham – He’s logged double-digit targets in just 3 of 8 games played with the Browns, as compared to 8 in 12 with the Giants in 2018. Beckham will likely be assigned to stud CB Tre’Davious White‘s coverage.

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2019 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Lions Bears
Quarterback 7th 27th
Running Back 1st 9th
Wide Receiver 12th 28th
Tight End 11th 4th
Defense/Special Teams 21st 7th
Vegas Line: Bears -2.5
Vegas Over/Under: 42.5
green-light
  • David Montgomery – He’s totaled 223 total yards and four touchdowns on 48 touches over the Bears’ past two contests as Chicago’s passing offense has cratered. The Lions have allowed the second-most total yards to opposing backfields.
yellow-light
  • Kenny Golladay – Chicago is one of the NFL’s toughest on opposing wideouts, though Golladay did fare well against them in two 2018 contests, going 11-168-1.
  • J.D. McKissic – Totaling 72 yards and a score on just 7 touches, McKissic is starting to emerge as a viable weapon in the Lions’ passing attack. Chicago has allowed the third-most receptions to opposing backfields.
  • Ty Johnson – Leads the Lions with 16 carries across the two games the team has played without Kerryon Johnson (knee, IR). If Detroit wants to win, they’ll likely feed Johnson a few more carries considering the Bears’ are most vulnerable on the ground.
  • Lions D/ST – The Bears’ passing offense looks broken at the moment. As a whole, the Bears’ are the NFL’s 6th-lowest scoring team (17.8 points per game).
  • Allen Robinson – Witnessed his bubble burst last Sunday, catching just one of five targets for 6 yards. As the lone dependable pass catcher on the Bears, Robinson faces a Lions secondary allowing 174.4 receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts.
red-light
  • Marvin Jones – A volatile fantasy option as it is, the Bears allow just 131.7 receiving yards to opposing wideouts, so there likely isn’t room for Jones to produce this week.

New York Giants at New York Jets

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2019 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Giants Jets
Quarterback 8th 13th
Running Back 13th 3rd
Wide Receiver 3rd 6th
Tight End 24th 28th
Defense/Special Teams 4th 1st
Vegas Line: Giants -2.5
Vegas Over/Under: 43
green-light
  • Saquon Barkley – If the Giants can finally get Barkley going in the pass game, watch out. The Jets have allowed the 4th-most receptions to opposing running backs.
  • Golden Tate – He’ll be the man in the Giants’ passing attack with the team reportedly mulling over placing Sterling Shepard (concussion) on injured reserve. Tate has recorded at least 6 receptions in four straight games.
  • Robby Anderson – Anyone who watched the Giants’ waxing at the hands of the Cowboys last Monday night knows how mightily they struggle to cover opposing wideouts. There’s opportunity for an Anderson eruption if the Jets can just get him the ball downfield.
  • Jamison Crowder – Leads the Jets with 7.3 targets per game, and appears to have the best connection with QB Sam Darnold at the moment.
yellow-light
  • Le’Veon Bell (knee, ankle) – Sat out practice Wednesday, though so far the Jets have little concern over his Week 10 availability. The Giants have allowed the 4th-most rushing yards to opposing running backs.
  • Sam Darnold – Yes, Darnold hasn’t really looked good at any point this season outside of the Jets’ Week 6 win over the Cowboys. That said, the Giants’ are an ultra-favorable matchup, allowing 280 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks.
red-light
  • Rhett Ellison – Won’t be a worthy streamer in the absence of Evan Engram (foot) considering how little production the Jets allow to opposing tight ends.
  • Both D/STs – These stop units have been so bad this season, it’s going to be hard to trust either, even when they go against each other. Take the Giants if you must, considering they are favored and this contest is only an away game in name.

About Will Weiler

An NFL Red Zone addict and all-around data nerd, I've been obsessed with the NFL and stats ever since I started playing the virtual pigskin game in 2005.