Sunday - Jan 24, 2021

Home / Commentary / RED LIGHT, GREEN LIGHT: Week 10


Welcome to the Week 10 edition of “Red Light, Green Light,” a matchup guide for all of this weekend’s NFL contests (and Monday night).

In each NFL Week 10 game profile below, I will choose a total of 3 players to highlight as green, yellow or red light options.

green-light Green Light: Players who have a great matchup. These guys are rock solid fantasy options, and can be counted on as a strong source of fantasy production.
yellow-light Yellow Light: Players with just an OK matchup and/or usage concerns. These guys are passable fantasy options but don’t expect them to set the world on fire.
red-light Red Light: Players with serious matchup/usage concerns, thus requiring lowered expectations lowered for the week, and/or should just be avoided altogether if possible.

Remember, seeing your stud listed in the yellow or red light section isn’t necessarily grounds to bench them, but more of an indication they may not carry your team to victory.

As always, the information conveyed below is not intended to be solely a start/bench list, but can be used to evaluate those decisions as well.

Note: Fantasy points allowed statistics are based off of the Fantasy Sharks default points per reception (PPR) scoring system. Point Spreads and Over/Unders are based off the Fantasy Sharks consensus analysis.

Bye Week Teams: New York Jets, Kansas City, Dallas, Atlanta

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2020 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Eagles Giants
Quarterback 19th 22nd
Running Back 27th 10th
Wide Receiver 17th 10th
Tight End 3rd 24th
Defense/Special Teams 3rd 2nd
Vegas Line: Eagles -2.5
Vegas Over/Under: 43

Green Light – Eagles D/ST

The last time these two teams met (Week 7), Philly generated three sacks and three turnovers. Not much has changed with the Giants personnel-wise since then as they continue to be one of the more mistake-prone teams in the NFL.

Yellow Light – Evan Engram (TE, New York Giants)

Having seen target counts of 9, 10, and 10 in his last three games, Engram finally got the monkey off his back and scored for the first time all season in Week 9. The Eagles allow 59.5 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends, though Engram has topped that mark just once in 2020.

Red Light – Darius Slayton (WR, New York Giants)

After averaging 8 targets per game over the Giants’ first five to start the season, Slayton is averaging just 4.25 per over the last four. The Eagles held Slayton to just 3-23-0 on three targets back in Week 7.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2020 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Jaguars Packers
Quarterback 3rd 25th
Running Back 5th 2nd
Wide Receiver 15th 26th
Tight End 4th 29th
Defense/Special Teams 10th 29th
Vegas Line: Packers -14
Vegas Over/Under: 51

Green Light – Aaron Jones (RB, Green Bay)

Jones (calf) returned for Green Bay’s Week 9 victory over San Francisco, and looked just fine as he started the game and racked up 79 total yards on 20 touches while playing 61 percent of the team’s offensive snaps. The Packers’ starting running back is in an eruption spot against the lowly Jaguars.

Yellow Light – James Robinson (RB, Jacksonville)

As expected, Chris Thompson‘s return to the lineup cut down on Robinson’s receiving opportunities last week (he was targeted just twice, catching neither). Given Green Bay are heavy favorites, Robinson is in danger of getting scripted out of the game if he can’t put together some production early on.

Red Light – D.J. Chark (WR, Jacksonville)

Chark enjoyed his best game of the season (7-146-1 on 12 targets) against a Texans defense that was missing CB Bradley Roby. Not coincidentally, Laviska Shenault (hamstring) exited that contest early as well. Chark will likely be getting the business end of Packers CB Jaire Alexander.

Update: Chark (illness/non-COVID) missed practice Thursday, but appears good to go. Meanwhile Shenault has been ruled on while Alexander (concussion) on the Packers side is doubtful. The Jaguars’ no.1 wideout should be upgraded.

Washington Football Team at Detroit Lions

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2020 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Football Team Lions
Quarterback 21st 11th
Running Back 25th 1st
Wide Receiver 32nd 18th
Tight End 5th 21st
Defense/Special Teams 4th 15th
Vegas Line: Lions -4
Vegas Over/Under: N/A

Green Light – T.J. Hockenson (TE, Detroit)

The second-year tight end has 18 targets in two games sans WR Kenny Golladay (hip). Expect Hockenson to continue serving as a passing game focal point for Detroit while their star wideout is sidelined (at least another week if not longer).

Yellow Light – J.D. McKissic (RB, Washinton)

The veteran scat-back’s role in the Washington offense keeps growing at the expense of Antonio Gibson (shoulder), whose pass-blocking struggles keep him off the field on third downs. Quarterback Alex Smith‘s affinity for checking down will make McKissic a cheap source of PPR fantasy production against a Lions defense that has allowed the 7th-most receiving yards to opposing backfields.

Red Light – Marvin Jones (WR, Detroit)

While he’s scored three touchdowns the past two weeks, Jones has just 82 receiving yards over that same span. Only the L.A. Rams have allowed fewer receiving yards to opposing wideouts than Washington.

Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2020 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Texans Browns
Quarterback 9th 10th
Running Back 3rd 18th
Wide Receiver 7th 4th
Tight End 9th 11th
Defense/Special Teams 14th 16th
Vegas Line: Browns -3.5
Vegas Over/Under: 52

Green Light – Kareem Hunt (RB, Cleveland)

Even with the Browns’ backfield essentially all to himself over the Browns’ last four games, Hunt has not taken the league by storm the way he did during his first two NFL seasons with the Kansas City Chiefs. Fortunately, Houston is a cure for Hunt’s struggles, as they have allowed the most rushing yards to opposing backfields.

Update: Nick Chubb (knee) has returned to practice, but his status for Sunday is still questionable at best. If Chubb suits up, he would be the preferred Browns’ running back play over Hunt.

Yellow Light – Duke Johnson (RB, Houston)

Duke, the other Houston Johnson is in like to start with teammate David (concussion) unlikely to be cleared in time. The Browns have allowed just the 9th-fewest rushing yards to opposing backfields, though it is Duke’ proficiency as a receiver that will keep his fantasy production respectable.

Red Light – Browns D/ST

While Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson can be a sack magnet at times, their offense has many talented pieces and can put up points in a hurry when they need to. With this contest sporting one of the higher over/unders of the week, the Browns D/ST makes for a weak streaming option.

About Will Weiler

An NFL Red Zone addict and all-around data nerd, I've been obsessed with the NFL and stats ever since I started playing the virtual pigskin game in 2005.