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RED LIGHT, GREEN LIGHT: Week 11

Welcome back for the Week 11 edition of “Red Light, Green Light”, your matchup guide for all of this weekend’s (and Monday’s) NFL contests. While this piece is not intended to be solely a start/bench list, it can be used for some of those decisions as well.

In each NFL Week 11 game profile below, players mentioned in the green light sections have a great matchup, and can be counted on as rock solid options for the week. Players mentioned in the yellow light sections have just an okay matchup and/or usage concerns, meaning they are passable fantasy options but don’t expect them to set the world on fire. Players in the red light sections have serious concerns, and need to have expectations lowered for the week, and/or should be avoided if possible. Remember, seeing your stud listed in the yellow or red light section isn’t necessarily grounds to bench them, but more of an indication they may not be the guy(s) carrying your team to victory this week.

Note: Fantasy points allowed statistics are based off of the Fantasy Sharks default PPR scoring system.

Bye Week Teams: Buffalo, Cleveland, Miami, New England, New York Jets, San Francisco

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2018 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Bengals Ravens
Quarterback 1st 25th
Running Back 2nd 32nd
Wide Receiver 5th 28th
Tight End 3rd 13th
Defense/Special Teams 15th 21st
Vegas Line: N/A*
Vegas Over/Under: N/A*
green-light
  • Ravens D/ST – They are fresh off a bye and the Bengals’ offense is slumping at the wrong time. Playing at home doesn’t hurt either.
yellow-light
  • Michael Crabtree/John Brown – Neither have caught more than three passes or gone for more than 32 yards in the Ravens past two games, though they should be able to rebound here. Since Week 7, no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing wideouts on a per game basis.
  • Willie Snead – Quietly leads the Ravens in receptions with 45. Snead has at least five catches and fifty receiving yards in three of his last four games played.
  • Alex Collins – Hasn’t surpassed 68 rushing yards in a game this season, though with seven total touchdowns through 9 games, Collins has already surpassed last season’s total. The Bengals have allowed 8 running back scores over their last four games played.
  • BONUS: Lamar Jackson – This is wholly contingent upon Jackson earning the start at quarterback for the Ravens. Joe Flacco (hip) is trending towards sitting, however, the Ravens could just as easily hand the reins to Robert Griffin III. If Jackson starts, he’ll bring mouth-watering rushing upside to the table against a Bengals defense that continues to cede yardage in bunches.
  • C.J. Uzomah – Has the best individual matchup of all Bengals’ offensive players, as the Ravens allow the 10th-most receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends. Just be wary of the fact Uzomah has disappeared at times, having caught two or fewer passes in six of nine games played.
red-light
  • Ty Montgomery – The expectation is that Montgomery will start eating into Javorius Allen‘s playing time right away as the Ravens’ primary backfield pass-catching option.
  • Ravens Tight Ends – The competition has evolved into more of a two-horse race between rookies Mark Andrews and Hayden Hurst. Maybe one will emerge after the bye.
  • Andy Dalton – Was held to less than 160 passing yards for the second time in three games last Sunday, as the Bengals were thoroughly dominated by the Saints. The Bengals
  • Joe Mixon – Comes off a season-low 13 offensive touches last Sunday as the game script completely got away from the Bengals in that contest. Expect this one to be a bit tighter, though the Ravens have been one of the best in the business at limiting opposing running backs all season, including limiting Mixon to 87 scoreless yards in Week 2. Update: Mixon popped up on Thursday’s practice report as being limited with a knee injury. If Mixon can’t go, Giovani Bernard would likely start in his place, though the outlook for the Bengals’ running game would not change.
  • Tyler Boyd – Was held to three catches for the third time this season (against the woeful Saints secondary no less), as A.J. Green‘s absence turned out to not necessarily be a good thing for Boyd. Things don’t look rosy for Boyd this week either, as the Ravens allow just the second-fewest receiving yards per game.
  • John Ross – Caught his third touchdown on the season last Sunday, though those scores have come on just 9 catches.
  • A.J. Green – Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis issued comments earlier this week indicating Green may be able to play this week, though he’s looking doubtful at best after missing practice all week.

*Note – Line and over/under are unavailable, likely due to the uncertainty around who will be quarterbacking Baltimore.

Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions

Tale of the Tape – Ranks for Most 2018 Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
Position Panthers Lions
Quarterback 5th 15th
Running Back 26th 8th
Wide Receiver 15th 22nd
Tight End 1st 18th
Defense/Special Teams 22nd 9th
Vegas Line: Panthers -4
Vegas Over/Under: 
49.5
  • Cam Newton – The crumbling Lions defense has allowed two or more touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks in all but two games this season.
  • Christian McCaffrey – The release of C.J. Anderson only confirms what most us already knew a month ago: Christian McCaffrey is more than capable of handling a workhorse backfield role. After scoring just one touchdown through the Panthers first six 2018 contests, McCaffrey now has six over his last three.
  • Greg Olsen – Saw his three game touchdown streak snapped in Week 10 against the Steelers. Olsen’s target numbers (5.6 per game) should keep his fantasy value afloat in a matchup that doesn’t figure to be terribly tight end friendly.
  • Panthers D/ST – While yes, this unit is coming off a brutal Week 10 loss to the Steelers, look for them to rebound against a deflated Lions squad that has lost their last three contests by a combined score of 86-45.
  • Kenny Golladay – His 6-78-1 on 13 targets last Sunday marked the first time Golladay scored or went over 50 receiving yards since Week 5. With teammate Marvin Jones likely less than 100 percent, Golladay should be the focal point of the Lions’ passing attack against a shaky Panthers’ secondary.
  • Marvin Jones (knee) – Appears to have avoided a major injury, but his status for Week 11 is still up in the air. Jones has been targeted 15 times over the Lions’ last two contests.
  • Matthew Stafford – Averaging 236.5 passing yards per game with two touchdowns and three turnovers in his last two games, Stafford has not been good. However, the Panthers’ pass defense has been an abomination over that span, giving up a whopping 9 passing scores.
  • Kerryon Johnson  – Had his best fantasy output of the season (89 total yards and two scores) last Sunday against a very stout Bears defense. The Panthers are similarly tough on opposing running backs, though they’ve allowed four touchdowns to the position over the last month.
  • Theo Riddick – With Jones and tight end Michael Roberts (shoulder) banged up, the Lions are in dire need of able bodied pass catchers behind Kenny Golladay. Riddick has caught 13 passes on 15 targets since returning from injury in Week 9.
  • Devin Funchess – Is averaging just 3.3 catches for 34.3 yards per game over his last three contests, and has not scored in that span as the Panthers appear content spreading the ball throughout their talented wideout corps. Additionally, the Lions will be welcoming back their top CB in Darius Slay from injury.
  • D.J. Moore – Has totaled just 5-36-0 in two games as the rookie first rounder has been unable to build on his big Week 3 breakout. If there’s any silver lining, however, it’s that Moore’s snap count has remained equal to Fucnhess’ over that same span.

About Will Weiler

An NFL Red Zone addict and all-around data nerd, I've been obsessed with the NFL and stats ever since I started playing the virtual pigskin game in 2005.