Tuesday - Jan 15, 2019

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RED ZONE TARGET ANALYSIS: Trade Deadline Special

Entering Week 9 we have six teams on a bye this week, with several Top 10 players not being available. I also began looking at players who you should target if you are in a keeper or dynasty league. Last week those who used Dallas Goedert, Jalen Richard and Marquez Valdes-Scatling found some players you can keep for next year who were also able to help you win this year. The other thing to consider this week is how the trade deadline affects some players.

WIDE RECEIVER RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES
Rank Player Team Scoring Opportunities RedZone Opportunities Heart
Breaks
Opps Touchdowns Opps Touchdowns
1 PIT 10 2 18 2 3
2 HOU 17 7 17 5 2
3 CIN 14 7 16 5 2
4 NOR 12 4 15 4 3
5 CLE 8 2 15 2 2
6 LAR 13 5 15 3 0
7 GBP 8 6 15 6 1
8 Shepard, Sterling NYG 6 2 14 2 1
9 NYG 8 3 14 1 1
10 MIN 9 6 13 3 1
26 HOU 5 3 8 2 0
33 PHI 8 3 7 0 0

Philadelphia and Houston made the biggest splashes on deadline day by adding wide receivers who were getting pushed out by better younger wide receivers. It is clear that Kenny Golladay is the new WR2 in Detroit and the team needed to move either Marvin Jones or Golden Tate. Tate was the odd man out. I think this is a huge win for Tate because he is going see plenty of targets in Philadelphia. He immediately becomes the most consistent wide receiver on Philadelphia and an instant red zone target for Carson Wentz.

The other wide receiver who moved on Tuesday is Demaryius Thomas, who was replaced by Courtland Sutton. Sutton is the big winner in this trade because he is now the unchallenged WR2 in Denver. He was already a red zone target for Case Keenum and now he will be getting more targets outside of the 20s. As far as Thomas, he now steps in for Will Fuller and should also see an uptick in red zone targets.

RUNNING BACK RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES

Rank Player Team Scoring Opportunities Redzone Opportunities Heart
Breaks
Opps Touchdowns Opps Touchdowns
1 LAR 37 16 60 15 5
2 NOR 28 11 50 19 3
3 KCC 24 10 28 8 1
4 NYG 19 7 26 4 2
5 PIT 23 11 25 9 2
6 LAC 16 9 25 9 3
7 WAS 11 5 23 4 1
8 Johnson, David AZ 18 6 23 4 2
9 NEP 12 4 22 3 1
10 CHI 11 4 21 4 0
11 CIN 12 5 21 5 2
12 DAL 12 4 21 3 1
13 NEP 12 8 21 7 0
14 Lynch, Marshawn OAK 10 3 20 3 1
15 Miller, Lamar HOU 10 3 20 3 2
16 Collins, Alex BAL 12 6 20 6 0
25 Allen, Javorius BAL 9 5 16 5 0
70 Montgomery,Ty BAL 3 1 4 1 0

When Baltimore traded for Ty Montgomery it officially ended any impact Allen had in the Baltimore offense. Montgomery is by far the more talented player and will be a great third down back for Baltimore. This will also mean that Alex Collins, who is the better power running back, will no longer give way to Allen for short yardage touchdowns. I think this trade will boost the value of both Montgomery and Collins.

TIGHT END RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES

Rank Player Team Scoring Opportunities Redzone Opportunities Heart
Breaks
Opps Touchdowns Opps Touchdowns
1 IND 9 7 17 6 0
2 Ertz, Zach PHI 8 3 15 3 1
3 KCC 11 4 15 3 2
4 DEN 9 2 13 3 0
5 OAK 12 4 12 3 1
6 SFO 9 2 11 1 0
7 HOU 9 2 10 0 0
29 NYJ 5 4 4 3 1

Since no tight end was traded let’s drill-down on Chris Herndon of the N.Y. Jets. Over the last two weeks, Herndon has had four red zone opportunities and has scored three touchdowns off of those opportunities. He is looking like a player on the rise and with good tight ends being so hard to find, he is showing some potential as a fill-in player for those in need.

About Michael Carline

Mike is an avid fantasy football player and competes in keeper leagues that are open year round. He is an elementary school teacher by trade so we can only assume that he must also have the patience of a Saint. We hope you enjoy his viewpoint.