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RED ZONE: Target Analysis – WEEK 11

Week 11 is in the books. We had seven teams score more than 30 points and Baltimore was the only team to score more than 40. We didn’t get any standout performances as we’ve had in previous weeks, but there are several names that could help fantasy squads making a playoff push.

Legend
Scoring Opportunities The play started inside the 10- or ended inside the 5-yard-line
Red Zone Opportunities The line of scrimmage was inside the 20-yard-line
Heart Breaks The play ended inside the 5-yard-line
All statistics in this report include plays that were nullified by penalty.

Running Back

RANK PLAYER TEAM SCORING OPPORTUNITIES RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES HEART

BREAKS

OPPS TDS OPPS TDS
1 Jacobs, Josh OAK 3 0 7 0 0
2 Kamara, Alvin NOS 5 1 7 1 1
3 Hill, Brian ATL 3 1 6 1 0
4 Elliott, Ezekiel DAL 3 2 5 2 1
5 Coleman, Tevin SFO 2 0 5 0 0
6 Williams, Jonathan IND 2 0 4 0 1
7 Singletary, Devin BUF 0 0 4 0 0
8 Cook, Dalvin MIN 1 1 4 1 0
9 Guice, Derrius WAS 2 1 4 0 0
10 Hill, Justice BAL 0 0 3 0 0

Dalvin Cook, Minnesota

Cook has stayed healthy this year and has produced at an RB1 level that we have been waiting for since he came into the league. He finished the day with 26 yards on 11 carries and scored one touchdown on four red zone opportunities. He also added five catches for 31 yards in the passing game and now has at least one touchdown in all but two games this year. Minnesota was down for most of the afternoon and was trailing Denver 20-0 at the half before mounting a comeback. Cook’s touchdown run came in the fourth quarter from about the 2-yard line. He took the hand-off and bounced it outside while Kyle Rudolph set the edge and was able to get in for the score. Cook has been as steady as they come this year and is no doubt one of the most reliable options in fantasy football. Minnesota gets its bye in week 12 so plan accordingly as Cook will not be available.

Jonathan Williams, Indianapolis

The former Buffalo running back now with Indianapolis got an opportunity to play in this one. Marlon Mack went down with a hand injury early in the third quarter and was immediately ruled out. When a player is injured and comes out of a game, it’s usually never good news when he is ruled out right away. This turned out to be true again as we would later find out that Mack fractured his hand. He underwent tests Monday to confirm the diagnosis and he’s been ruled out for Thursday’s game, but the injury is not believed to be season-ending according to the team. Tough break for the league’s fourth-leading rusher who was having a great year. This brings us to Jonathan Williams, who got most of the work after Mack went down. Though he didn’t get into the end zone, he did run for 116 yards on 13 carries. Williams, who is a third-year player out of Arkansas, never really got a fair shot with his previous two teams, Buffalo and New Orleans. He might not be the most talented guy, but with four more teams off next week, he might be worth the add if you need running back help. The volume he should receive is worth the gamble as Indianapolis averages 31 rushing attempts per game. 

Wide Receiver

RANK PLAYER TEAM SCORING OPPORTUNITIES REDZONE OPPORTUNITIES HEART

BREAKS

OPPS TDS OPPS TDS
1 Patrick, Tim DEN 1 0 4 0 0
2 Brown, John BUF 3 2 4 1 1
3 Allen, Keenan LAC 2 1 3 1 0
4 Sutton, Courtland DEN 1 0 3 0 0
5 Thomas, Michael NOS 2 1 3 1 0
6 Edelman, Julian NEP 2 1 2 1 0
7 Jones, Julio ATL 2 0 2 0 1
8 Cooper, Pharoh ARZ 2 1 2 1 0
9 Grant, Jakeem MIA 2 1 2 1 1
10 Cobb, Randall DAL 1 1 2 1 0


John Brown
, Buffalo

John Brown is having his best year as a pro as he seems to have found a home in Buffalo with Josh Allen. He’s provided a decent floor in fantasy lineups this year, as he has has 50 or more receiving yards in each game so far. Brown had himself a day on Sunday catching nine balls on 14 targets for 137 yards and two scores. His first score was from outside the red zone from the Miami 40-yard-line with just over 13 minutes left in the second quarter. Brown ran a fly route and blew right by the corner and because the safety was late over the top, it left Brown virtually wide open on the play. Later in the fourth quarter from the 9-yard line, Allen found Brown again off a play-action bootleg as Allen threw a strike to hit him in the end zone. Brown ran his route off the line, but no defender covered him as it was definitely a blown coverage. Although the ball was tipped at the line, Brown showed great concentration tracking the ball to make the catch.

Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans

Thomas is playing on another level right now as he just had his fourth straight game with more than 100-yards receiving. He finished the day catching eight balls on 11 targets for 114 yards and a touchdown on three red zone opportunities. With just seconds remaining in the first quarter from the 11-yard line, Thomas ran a slant off the line and was wide open as Drew Brees hit him on a lofty pass in the end zone. It was a miscommunication by Tampa Bay on defense, but there’s no way you can let Thomas get that wide open. Thomas should continue to perform at a high level the next two weeks as well, with matchups against Carolina and Atlanta up next. Thomas and New Orleans are on a roll right now and things are starting to click at the right time.

About Nick Lemma

Being from New York Nick is loud and persistent. Known as the Hot-Headed Italian within his circle, his opinions are bold with facts and stats to back them up. While playing across multiple leagues and serving as commissioner of his hometown league for the past 12 years, he’s been consumed by football. Being a seasoned player, he’s had success in various formats and league setups. When he’s not reading or writing about football he can be found spending time with his wife and son.