Monday - Apr 22, 2019

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RED ZONE TARGET ANALYSIS: Week 13

We have hit that time of year. No more picking up sleepers, no more streaming and no more bye weeks. This is the make-or-break time of year. Some of us our jockeying for seeding in the playoffs and others of us are just hoping to get that miracle win and get into the playoffs. For many of us we will enter “THE MOST WONDERFUL TIME OF THE YEAR,” playoff time! So this week instead of focusing on sleepers or bye week fill in players, I will focus on those stud players who will win you a week. I am going to look at which players have averaged the most targets over the last three weeks and point out a few names that are good plays this week.

WIDE RECEIVER RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES
Rank Player Team Scoring Opportunities RedZone Opportunities
Opps Touchdowns Opps Touchdowns
1 LAR 2 1 3 1
2 DEN 2 0.5 2.5 0.5
3 NYJ 2 0.5 2.5 0.5
4 LAR 1.5 0.5 2.5 0.5
5 ATL 2.0 0.7 2.3 0.3
6 NYG 1.3 1 2.3 1
7 MIN 1.5 1 2 0.5
8 Smith, Tre’Quan NOR 3 1 2 1
9 DET 0.7 0.7 2 0.7
10 OAK 0.5 0.5 2 0.5

The obvious thing that jumps right out at you is the fact that Josh Reynolds leads the league in red zone targets over the last three weeks. He has averaged three opportunities and a touchdown per week. He took over for Cooper Kupp when Kupp went on Injured Reserve earlier in the year and the offense hasn’t missed a beat. Reynolds is the type of player who wins championships for teams. He comes out of nowhere and closes the season with several good games.

The three wide receivers who round out the Top 10 are players who have been on the rise over the last few weeks. Tre’Quan Smith has stepped into the WR2 position in New Orleans and has been very impressive. He missed last week due to injury but will return this week for Thursday night. Kenny Golladay is the clear No. 1 in Detroit and has put up very solid numbers in the lead role. He has been a target machine and with the amount of volume he is going to get he is a must start. The last one on the list is Brandon LaFell, a where-did-he-come-from player the last few weeks. It’s quite simple, someone has to catch the ball in Oakland besides Jared Cook and LaFell is that guy. Look for him to continue to put up solid numbers from week to week.

RUNNING BACK RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES

Rank Player Team Scoring Opportunities Redzone Opportunities
Opps Touchdowns Opps Touchdowns
1 NYG 3.7 1.7 7 1.3
2 CAR 4.7 1.7 6.3 1.3
3 DAL 3.3 1.3 4.7 1
4 JAC 4 1.7 4.3 1.7
5 BAL 1.5 0.5 4 0.5
6 TBB 2.3 0.7 4 0.7
7 NOR 2.7 1 4 0.7
8 Chubb, Nick CLE 2.5 2 4 1.5
9 BUF 2 1.5 4 1.0
01 GBP 2.3 1.7 3.7 1.3

I will start off by saying that I took Kerryon Johnson off of this list because he still hasn’t practiced yet and most likely will not play in time to help anyone. With that being said, LeGarrette Blount may be a guy worthy of a pickup, if he can build on last week’s performance.

The most interesting name on this list is Gus Edwards. He has taken over for Alex Collins and it looks like Collins won’t be getting it back. Baltimore is going to continue to run the ball a ton as long as Lamar Jackson is the quarterback and that is good for a workhorse back like Edwards. If you are lucky enough to have him on your roster you can plug him in at the flex position and have an advantage over anyone else.

Speaking of guys who you may have picked up late, Nick Chubb is finally paying off. He is now an every week starter and unless you have a ridiculous second running back he needs to be in your lineup over almost everyone.

TIGHT END RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES

Rank Player Team Scoring Opportunities Redzone Opportunities
Opps Touchdowns Opps Touchdowns
1 ATL 2 1 3 0
2 Ebron, Eric IND 2.5 2.5 2 2
3 ATL 1.3 0.3 1.7 0.3
4 KCC 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.5
5 LAR 2 1.5 1.5 1
6 MIN 0.5 0 1.5 0
7 LAC 1.3 0.3 1.3 0.3

The void left by Cooper Kupp is being filled by more than Josh Reynolds, Gerald Everett is also seeing more work over the last few weeks. As always the tight end position is not a very deep or productive position but it can also be the position that wins you a game. Just ask anyone who had Jonnu Smith last week. Everett is seeing most of his targets inside the 20-yard lines, which makes him a threat to score every week. If you can get a short score from him every week that will be enough to carry you at tight end, and if he scores twice like he did two weeks ago he can win the week for you.

About Michael Carline

Mike is an avid fantasy football player and competes in keeper leagues that are open year round. He is an elementary school teacher by trade so we can only assume that he must also have the patience of a Saint. We hope you enjoy his viewpoint.