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RED ZONE: Target Analysis – Week 14

Week 14 had some games that went according to plan and some games that left much to be desired. New Orleans put up 46 points against one of the best defenses in the league, but Alvin Kamara was again a no-show with just 43 total yards and a fumble lost. Chicago dominated Dallas, while New England finally lost at home, snapping a 21-game home winning streak. As we breakdown the scoring from last week, we are keeping an eye on next week’s matchups looking for an edge.

Legend
Scoring Opportunities The play started inside the 10 or ended inside the 5-yard-line
RedZone Opportunities The line of scrimmage was inside the 20-yard-line
Heart Breaks The play was more than 5 yards down the field and the play ended inside the 5-yard-line
All statistics in this report include plays that were nullified by penalty

Running Back

RANK PLAYER TEAM SCORING OPPORTUNITIES REDZONE OPPORTUNITIES HEART

BREAKS

OPPS TDS OPPS TDS
1 Mixon, Joe CIN 4 1 7 1 1
2 Elliott, Ezekiel DAL 5 2 6 2 0
3 Gurley, Todd LAR 2 1 6 1 0
4 Freeman, Devonta ATL 1 1 5 1 0
5 Lindsay, Phillip DEN 2 2 5 2 0
6 Laird, Patrick MIA 0 0 5 0 0
7 McCaffrey, Christian CAR 2 0 4 0 2
8 Snell Jr., Benny PIT 2 0 4 0 0
9 Ingram, Mark BAL 3 0 4 0 0
10 Henry, Derrick TEN 2 2 4 2 0

Joe Mixon, Cincinnati

Mixon was the lone bright spot for Cincinnati in the one, rushing for 146 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries while adding three catches for 40 yards. He found the end zone after a turnover in the second quarter. Cincinnati moved the ball to the 1-yard-line and Mixon punched it in with about 12 minutes left in the half. He could’ve had a bigger day if it weren’t for inefficiencies in the red zone as Cincinnati had four field goals on the afternoon. Cincinnati has been out of it for a while now and with each passing week, is getting closer and closer to locking up the first overall pick in next year’s draft. He’s off the radar next week as Cincinnati will host New England.  

Todd Gurley Los Angeles Rams

Gurley put together a solid effort Sunday as the Rams pulled out a victory in Seattle. He rushed for 79 yards on 23 carries and a touchdown while also catching 4-of-4 targets for an additional 34 yards. It took a while, but he finally found paydirt in the fourth quarter with about 11 minutes left in the game. He took a handoff from the 6-yard-line, bounced it outside and made a nice stiff arm play to get into the end zone. Gurley has come alive the past few weeks and has been making the most of his touches just in time for teams to make their playoff runs. He did lose a touchdown to Malcolm Brown earlier in the game and was stuffed a few times inside the 5-yard-line, so it was a relief when he finally got in.

Wide Receiver

RANK PLAYER TEAM SCORING OPPORTUNITIES REDZONE OPPORTUNITIES HEART

BREAKS

OPPS TDS OPPS TDS
1 Hopkins, DeAndre HOU 3 1 4 0 1
2 Kupp, Cooper LAR 2 1 3 1 0
3 Kirk, Christian ARZ 2 0 3 0 0
4 Sutton, Courtland DEN 2 0 3 0 1
5 Robinson, Allen CHI 2 2 3 2 0
6 Samuel, Deebo SFO 3 0 3 0 0
7 Watson, Justin TBB 2 1 3 1 1
8 Ward, Greg PHI 3 1 3 1 1
9 Wims, Javon CHI 2 0 3 0 0
10 Johnson, Diontae PIT 2 1 3 1 1

Deebo Samuel San Francisco

This game came as advertised, with two high-powered offenses going head-to-head that put up a combined 94 points. Samuel was tied for second on the team with eight targets and caught five balls for 76 yards, but was held out of the endzone for the first time in three weeks. He did make a nice grab on a slant route during San Francisco’s opening drive to set up a touchdown to Kendrick Bourne. Later in the fourth quarter, he picked up a critical first down to get San Francisco into the red zone which would again lead to a Bourne touchdown. It was an encouraging game for the rookie who obviously has the trust of his quarterback as the targets are there. Samuel gets a matchup with Atlanta next week which sets him up with WR3/FLEX value.

Allen Robinson, Chicago

Robinson has been on fire the past three weeks, with touchdowns now in three consecutive games while averaging 10 targets per game during that span. This is the production we thought we’d be getting all year when drafting Robinson this past summer and it’s better late than never. He finished this one catching five balls on eight targets for 48 yards and two touchdowns. His first score came in the second quarter with just over 12 minutes on the clock. He ran a post route from the 10-yard-line and Mitchell Trubisky threw the ball away from the defender, to a spot where only Robinson could make the grab. His second score came late in the quarter with just seconds remaining in the half and wasn’t without controversy. Trubisky hit him again on a slant from the 8-yard-line and it was ruled a simultaneous catch. After a conference by the referees they ruled it a touchdown for Robinson and Chicago. Chicago went into Dallas and won in convincing fashion. Chicago gets Green Bay next week in what is always a good divisional showdown.

About Nick Lemma

Being from New York Nick is loud and persistent. Known as the Hot-Headed Italian within his circle, his opinions are bold with facts and stats to back them up. While playing across multiple leagues and serving as commissioner of his hometown league for the past 12 years, he’s been consumed by football. Being a seasoned player, he’s had success in various formats and league setups. When he’s not reading or writing about football he can be found spending time with his wife and son.