Saturday - Jun 15, 2019

Home / Lineup / RED ZONE: Target Analysis Week 4

RED ZONE: Target Analysis Week 4

At the end of week 4 we will reach the 1/4 mark of the NFL season. Some of the trends that we have been tracking this year are starting to become more fact than trend. Let’s take a look at the Wide Receiver targets for the season so far and see what the trends are telling us.

 

WIDE RECEIVER RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES
Rank Player Team Scoring Opportunities RedZone Opportunities Heart
Breaks
Opps touchdowns Opps touchdowns
1 PIT 7 1 11 1 2
2 LAR 7 2 10 1 1
3 NOS 7 3 9 3 2
4 CIN 7 4 7 2 0
5 GBP 3 3 7 3 0
6 HOU 7 2 7 1 1
7 DET 6 2 6 3 0
8 Godwin, Chris TBB 7 4 6 3 0
9 IND 4 2 6 2 0
10 CHI 4 0 6 0 0

 

As we examine the top 10 wide receiver in red zone opportunities there hasn’t been much change in the Top 5 with Smith-Schuster, Kupp, Thomas, Green, and Adams still having the most targets. What is interesting is what players are doing with those targets. Davante Adams, Marvin Jones, and Chris Godwin are all making the best of their opportunities. All three of these wide receivers have caught 3 touchdowns inside the 20 yard-line. On the other end of the spectrum is Allen Robinson. While he has had 6 opportunities to score while in the red zone he hasn’t been able to cash in on any of those opportunities. When you compare these numbers you can see that while Robinson is 2nd among them in yardage and catches, he is 4th in actual fantasy points. The fact that Robinson isn’t cashing in on his red zone opportunities is hurting his overall fantasy value, making him an interesting player to target.

 

RUNNING BACK RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES

Rank Player Team Scoring Opportunities Redzone Opportunities Heart
Breaks
Opps touchdowns Opps touchdowns
1 NOR 14 5 29 5 2
2 LAR 14 5 21 5 2
3 OAK 8 3 14 3 1
4 WAS 5 3 12 3 0
5 BAL 5 2 10 2 0
6 LAC 5 4 10 4 1
7 CIN 6 1 9 1 1
8 Hyde, Carlos CLE 8 5 9 5 1
9 NYJ 6 4 9 3 0
10 HOU 5 1 9 1 0
11 NYG 7 2 9 1 1
12 CAR 6 0 9 0 0
13 CHI 3 1 8 1 0
14 Hunt, Kareem KC 7 3 8 3 0
15 Elliott, Ezekiel DAL 3 2 8 2 0

It’s time we started the grand old men of the Running Back position, Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch. While neither of them are the game breakers they were 5 years ago, they both are still getting their opportunities to contribute. Both of them are getting opportunities in the Red Zone and are cashing in on those opportunities. With the fact that neither of them are being asked to have a large work load, you can count on them both continuing what they have been able to do for the rest of the season.

I want to talk about Ezekiel Elliott because when I looked at where he ranked as far as red zone opportunities it was shocking to me. I knew that Zeke was going to have a difficult time this year being a Top 3 running back but it wasn’t expected to be this bad. The fact is, that without anyone contributing on offense he just isn’t getting the opportunities he needs to be a Top 3 running back. Unless something changes in the Cowboys offense, consider examining your trade options.

 

TIGHT END RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES

Rank Player Team Scoring Opportunities Redzone Opportunities Heart
Breaks
Opps touchdowns Opps touchdowns
1 OAK 6 1 6 1 1
2 Ebron, Eric IND 3 2 6 1 0
3 KCC 3 0 6 1 1
4 PHI 3 0 5 0 0
5 HOU 1 0 5 0 0
6 SFO 3 1 5 1 0
7 BAL 2 1 4 1 0

 

Is it finally time to buy-in on the Jared Cook and Eric Ebron hype trains? In the leagues where I own Jordan Reed I am picking up one of these two in all of them. I will use them this week and when Reed finally does get hurt again. They are both out producing their expectations and I don’t see any reason why they should drop off. They are the perfect players to stream because you don’t have much invested in them and if they do crash, you can simply drop them and pick up the next flavor of the month at TE.

About Michael Carline

Mike is an avid fantasy football player and competes in keeper leagues that are open year round. He is an elementary school teacher by trade so we can only assume that he must also have the patience of a Saint. We hope you enjoy his viewpoint.