Thursday - May 25, 2017

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ROOKIE CLASS: Round 1 Fantasy Outlook

With the draft now in the books, it is now time to look at just how these new players are going to affect our fantasy seasons.

1. Cleveland Browns: Myles Garrett, DE

For those leagues with IDPs, Garrett will be a monster addition to any team. On a team that is tragically bad, he will be an immediate starter and due to his skill will compile a large amount of tackles and sacks in his first year. I expect him to be in the Top 15 of all Defensive Linemen in scoring.

2. Chicago Bears: Mitchell Trubisky, QB

In a redraft league, I would wager he has very minimum value unless the Bears start 0-8. After the contract given to Glennon, it seems the Bears will want Trubisky to learn and ease him in much like Jared Goff last year. In a Dynasty league, I value him very highly if you can stash him for a year.

3. San Francisco 49ers: Solomon Thomas, DE

This one is difficult because the 49ers desperately needed help everywhere but they are particularly atrocious on the defensive level. In a Fantasy Rookie Draft, I would target him maybe somewhere at the bottom of the 2nd or top of the 3rd as I believe he will finish in the top 25 of all Defensive Linemen in scoring but it will be close.

4. Jacksonville Jaguars: Leonard Fournette, RB

He is probably going to be the 1st rookie off the board in all formats. With all the pieces the Jaguars have added this year, LSU product Leonard Fournette should finish as an RB1 in fantasy somewhere in the Top 15 across all league formats.  With the Jaguars seemingly dedicated to the run this year, it will be Fournette that will get those reps.

5. Tennessee Titans: Corey Davis, WR

It’s hard to get excited about this pick because the Titans already have Rishard Matthews in place and Corey Davis is very similar to him. I can see them both getting a fair share of targets but as far as production goes, I see him putting up low WR3 numbers and finishing somewhere between the Top 25 and Top 40.

6. New York Jets: Jamal Adams, S

This is a draft pick I can get behind. In my dynasty league that has IDPs, I fully expect Adams to go in the Top 10 rookie picks. Adams is a monster on the field and will scoop up a lot of tackles and interceptions in a defense that has lacked play makers at the position. I can see Adams finishing in the Top 15 of DBs.

7. Los Angeles Chargers: Mike Williams

This one is to another difficult one because Williams joins a loaded receiving core with Keenan Allen, Travis Benjamin, and Tyrell Williams. One injury could shoot him into fantasy relevance but as it stands I would say he finishes somewhere between the Top 20 to Top 30 in the receiver group. I would wait until after the 3rd Round to draft him in full drafts and 2nd Round in rookie drafts.

8. Carolina Panthers: Christian McCaffrey, RB

McCaffrey is set to make a big impact in a role where he will be similar to a Danny Woodhead type of player. He will still split carries with Jonathan Stewart but his role will be a rushing and receiving hybrid. He will probably finish as a RB2 or RB3 and I would look to draft him in the 4th Round in full drafts or even bottom of the 1st in rookie drafts.

9. Cincinnati Bengals: John Ross, WR

Not excited about this pick at all. Personally I had thought they should have gone defense instead of a receiver but here we are. Ross will fight LaFell and Boyd for playing time and while he may get some, it’s a very crowded depth chart. He will likely be a low end WR4 in most leagues but will still be drafted by people because of the buzz of being the 9th overall pick and being a WR with speed, but as a redraft league pick I would stay away from him, however in a dynasty league he could have value in the future.

10. Kansas City Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes, QB

Don’t be fooled, Alex Smith is still the starter. Out of all the QBs drafted, Mahomes is probably the least likely to start and should be avoided at all costs in redraft leagues. In dynasty leagues, his value is great as he could definitely take the job in 2018, so in a dynasty rookie draft I would take him in the low 2nd-high 3rd Round.

11. New Orleans Saints: Marshon Lattimore, CB

Look for Lattimore to start right away and and more than likely finish in the Top 60 of all DBs. As far as production for value it would depend on your league. In my league, we start 2 DBs (can be 2 cornerbacks, 2 safeties, or 1 corner and 1 safety) and almost 90% of the time safeties outperform corners so I won’t really target Lattimore till the later rounds of the drafts but he still provides decent value.

12. Houston Texans: Deshaun Watson, QB

Out of all the QBs drafted in this round, Watson has the most immediate fantasy value. Watson will more than likely start right away and finish as a high end QB2, but I could see him sneaking into the Top 10 at the end of the season due to his run-pass potential. In a rookie draft, I would grab him in the 1st round but in a redraft league I would look for him in the later rounds.

13. Arizona Cardinals: Haason Reddick, LB

The Cardinals defense is good and Reddick just makes it better. In a rookie draft, I would grab him in the 2nd round. As far as LBs, I can see him finishing in the Top 40 depending on how many snaps he plays.

14. Philadelphia Eagles: Derek Barnett, DE

Barnett is going to get a good amount of tackles and sacks but being that the Eagles still need a lot of work defensively, I can’t really justify taking Barnett too high. Going with my gut right now, I would say he finishes somewhere in the Top 60 of Defensive Ends.

15. Indianapolis Colts: Malik Hooker, S

Hooker is an awesome player who I am expecting to get a lot of tackles, especially playing in the AFC South. I am projecting him to finish in the Top 20 for Safeties and feel safe in drafting him in the top of the 2nd round of rookie drafts and top of the 4th round in full drafts.

16. Baltimore Ravens: Marlon Humphrey, CB

Humphrey is going to be an interesting play because the Ravens have a loaded secondary. The skill is there but the playing time is questionable. I would avoid drafting him till low rounds in all formats and expect him to finish in the Top 80 of cornerbacks.

About Chase Crampton

Chase is one of our guest writers for the summer that is hoping to catch on as a new Fantasy Sharks writer. If you've ever wondered just who writes the news that scrolls by on the ticker at the bottom of your television screen, it's Chase, who currently works for one of the major sporting networks as a.. ticker writer.