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The Fire Sale: I’m Down with ADP Part 2

In my first Fire Sale of the 2016 season I discussed players with Average Draft Positions (ADP) up to Round 9. In the second part of my ADP series, I’m looking at players with ADP of Round 10 or later. ADP changes quite a bit in August but these are my thoughts, as of now, regarding some players going deeper in drafts who have caught my eye.

I’ll have three new Fire Sales in August before the season starts. One will look at DraftKings salaries for Week 1 after they’re released. One will be my sleepers column that hammered Allen Hurns last year. I have no idea what the other one will be. Most likely nonsense no one cares about. Don’t miss that barn burner.

One quick note: I’ll be giving out both traditional and DFS advice in The Fire Sale this year. If you have any questions or comments hit me up on Twitter @ThePigskinGuy.

Now on with The Fire Sale

ADP is taken from MyFantasyLeague.com as of July 19 and based on a 12-team PPR scoring system

Willie Snead, WR New Orleans Saints (ADP: 110) – Snead came out of nowhere to catch 69 balls last season. He currently has an appetizing Round 10 ADP for a couple of reasons. Snead only scored three times in 2015. The Saints also drafted Ohio State receiver Mike Thomas and signed tight end Coby Fleener, so conventional wisdom says Snead’s production will take a dip. I don’t buy it. I’m a big believer in the theory that elite quarterbacks like Drew Brees look for receivers they trust. Last year Brees and Snead built chemistry together. Snead saw at least seven targets in eight games last season and recorded at least 70 yards receiving seven times. I had Snead on my fantasy team and while I didn’t start him every week, he was a valuable bench player. Snead was a guy I felt confident inserting into my starting lineup when I needed him. I see him being the same kind of player this year, even with the additions to the Saints offense. The fantasy season is a long one. It’s hard to win a title without a deep bench. Snead is an excellent choice in Rounds 9-10 of fantasy drafts.

Tony Romo, QB Dallas Cowboys (ADP: 128) – Listen, I know Romo’s collarbone is being held together with duct tape at this point but in Round 11 you can get him as your QB2. The guy who has four 4,000+ passing seasons and throws to Dez Bryant can be your second fantasy quarterback. Does that interest you? It should. To put it another way: I have Romo and Kirk Cousins as my two fantasy quarterbacks in some leagues. I didn’t draft a QB until the ninth round. If they both stay healthy that’s about 8,000 yards and 60 touchdowns. I don’t have a degree in economics but I know those numbers are good.

Phillip Dorsett, WR Indianapolis Colts (ADP: 146) – You may want to pass on Boyd when I remind you that Dorsett was my top rookie receiver heading into last season. I’m still very high on Dorsett. As I stated in my last Fire Sale, nothing went right for the Colts in 2015. I expect a big bounce-back year from the Colts offense. I really like T.Y. Hilton in the third round if you can get him. Donte Moncrief is going just after Hilton but don’t forget about Dorsett later in the draft. The Colts had big plans for him last year before he got hurt in the preseason. With Coby Fleener gone, expect Dorsett to be much more involved in the offense under new coordinator Rob Chudzinski. I loved Dorsett coming out of Miami and I’m not going to change my opinion of him after one season where things didn’t go as planned. Dorsett is one of my favorite late-round picks.

Tyler Boyd, WR Cincinnati Bengals (ADP: 147) – Boyd will be the top rookie fantasy receiver in 2016. Mark it down. Boyd is the most polished rookie receiver coming into the NFL and he’s going into the perfect situation. The Bengals lost Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu. For some reason teams still think Brandon Tate can play in the NFL. You realize Tate played at North Carolina with Hakeem Nicks? That’s how long he’s been in the league doing nothing. Brandon LaFell is hot garbage. He’s always been hot garbage. Tom Brady just made him not look like hot garbage for one season. Boyd is in a great spot to come in and contribute right away. I’ve watched a ton of games/tape on Boyd and I believe he’s the best route runner of any receiver in this rookie class. Unlike a Corey Coleman, who has a semi-pro quarterback throwing him the ball, Boyd has Andy Dalton. Boyd will be well behind A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert for targets but I see him making enough of an impact to be fantasy relevant as a rookie. I normally pass on rookie receivers but Boyd is the one exception because of his combination talent/situation.

About Thomas Casale

Thomas began playing fantasy football back when owners had to mail in their starting lineups and work out trades over the phone. He started writing The Fire Sale in 1998. Since then his articles have appeared on numerous web sites sites including Fantasy Sharks, USA Today and SI.com.