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Patrick White’s First Fantasy Mock Draft of 2016

Ok, yeah, I’ve got a problem. Well, if we’re playing the honesty card, I guess I’ve got a couple I can at least admit to. The most glaring at the current time though, seems to be my willingness to subject myself to both ridicule and criticism. It’s WAY too early to be mock drafting. For the love all things holy, we don’t even know how the draft and draft day trades will shake out for another 8 days or so. But has that stopped the “hunger?” Of course not. So here is the first full-on mock of the season featuring a ten team round-robin, PPR, flex approach. And sadly, the team I loved at the end, wasn’t my own.

Here’s how the rounds went down, RnF is at the 8 spot:

First Round

Odell Beckham Jr.
Le’Veon Bell
Antonio Brown
Todd Gurley
Julio Jones
Adrian Peterson
Rob Gronkowski
DeAndre Hopkins
Dez Bryant
David Johnson

-Hopkins made the most sense given his production, the sudden value flux at the position, and that he gets more to bank on thanks to Brock Osweiler. David Johnson made sense but it’s just too risky to pass on a receiver who could finish as the No. 1 fantasy WR.

Second Round

Devonta Freeman
Allen Robinson
A.J. Green
Jamaal Charles
Lamar Miller
Thomas Rawls
Amari Cooper
Eddie Lacy
Doug Martin
Jordy Nelson

A.J. Green fits neatly into the old RnF adage that you lose far more drafts in the first two rounds than you win. That translates into “Don’t get cute, and bank on reliable production.” It doesn’t get much more reliable than Green here as the running backs become more and more risky as the picks fly by. Green and Hopkins make a nasty little 1-2.

Third Round

Alshon Jeffery
Brandon Marshall
Mark Ingram
Sammy Watkins
Mike Evans
DeMarco Murray
Matt Forte
LeSean McCoy
Jeremy Langford
Kelvin Benjamin

LeSean McCoy isn’t what we were hoping for here but it could be much, much worse. RnF really wanted DeMarco Murray to continue to slide but McCoy isn’t a slouch by any regard. The more troubling component here is the Karlos Williams factor but that isn’t enough to deter the selection of a player who, just last year, was a first round selection. Not a bad running back to land after going WR-WR to kick things off.

Fourth Round

Julian Edelman
Keenan Allen
C.J. Anderson
Cam Newton
Demaryius Thomas
Latavius Murray
Jordan Reed
T.Y. Hilton
Brandin Cooks
Aaron Rodgers

-We’ve got two stone cold killers at WR, so the biggest need looked to be RB2 and thankfully that’s where the value still was. C.J. Anderson could be a top-12 producer as long as he avoids his early season slumping. RnF is banking on both in the fourth round as Anderson could suddenly become a top 10 RB.

Fifth Round

Carlos Hyde
Dion Lewis
Andrew Luck
Jeremy Hill
Tyler Eifert
Jarvis Landry
Doug Baldwin
Randall Cobb
Jonathan Stewart
Tom Brady

-People seem to be more amped up for the return of Jordy Nelson for Jordy’s value than they are for Cobb’s value. It was quite evident last season that Cobb was not ready to be the lead dog in the Aaron Rodgers‘ driven offense. But he’s shown before that when Jordy is lead dog that he can excel as a secondary option. RnF is expecting a lot more 2014 Cobb than the 2015 version we saw when it was simply too much too soon. Cobb makes for a PPR steal a full round after Edelman went off the board.

Sixth Round

Josh Gordon
Greg Olsen
Ezekiel Elliott
Golden Tate
Jeremy Maclin
Ben Roethlisberger
Ryan Mathews
Matt Jones
Allen Hurns
Justin Forsett

Ezekiel Elliott is being spoken of in a higher regard than Todd Gurley was heading into the NFL Draft. The same Todd Gurley that missed 4 games and still broke 1,000 yards on the season. This isn’t saying that Eazy E is going to bring home the MVP in his rookie year, but you have to love the potential. Imagine if a team like the Dolphins land him. His immediate impact would be amazing. Big gamble this early on but the pay out could be HUGE.

Seventh Round

Delanie Walker
Chris Ivory
Travis Kelce
Russell Wilson
Melvin Gordon
Drew Brees
Emmanuel Sanders
Blake Bortles
Jay Ajayi
T.J. Yeldon

Blake Bortles is one of the biggest buy-into names in 2016 and he’s still going as late as the 7th round? That’s value on top of value. Quarterback is starting to thin out quickly so this makes for a great move.

Eighth Round

Gary Barnidge
Carson Palmer
Jordan Matthews
Ameer Abdullah
Tyler Lockett
Michael Floyd
Eric Decker
DeSean Jackson
Steve Smith
Darren McFadden

-No lie here, RnF froze when the clock started. This is probably the worst round as the gamble outweighs the payoff more so than any other round really. Is Steve Smith going to be a healthy 36-year-old? Will Eric Decker have Ryan Fitzpatrick? Will Gary Barnidge become Peyton Hillis 2.0? Staying conservative, WR was is still a need and Jordan Matthews should still be a highly targeted WR. Tough call but based on roster needs and available talent, Matthews made sense.

Ninth Round

Alfred Morris
Denver Defense
DeVante Parker
Larry Fitzgerald
Gio Bernard
Julius Thomas
John Brown
Danny Woodhead
Karlos Williams
Arian Foster

-This is a PPR, flex league, so Danny Woodhead should figure to be an all out fantasy beast. He’s the flex dream and can be a bye week hero so the move spoke for itself. Also, RnF isn’t sold on what they saw from Melvin Gordon in 2015. Woodhead could be featured more in the running game than most are forecasting.

Tenth Round

Arizona Defense
Kevin White
Michael Crabtree
Frank Gore
DeAngelo Williams
Stefon Diggs
Philip Rivers
Duke Johnson
Jimmy Graham
Seattle Defense

-This was the round of frustration for Risers and Fallers. We waited and waited and waited and then BOOM, one round too long and we missed out on the comeback of Kevin White. Crabtree is still a WR who will flirt with 1,000 yards and 8 TDs, but White could potentially lead the league in receiving, where Crabtree has a zero percent shot at that. Not a wasted pick but also not what we were hoping for.

Eleventh Round

Travis Benjamin
Andy Dalton
Derek Carr
Carolina Defense
Kansas City Defense
Houston Defense
Dorial Green-Beckham
Coby Fleener
Donte Moncrief
Markus Wheaton

Coby Fleener can potentially finish as  top-5 TE with Brees calling the shots. Just look at what Ben Watson was able to accomplish and remember that Fleener is far younger and more athletic than Watson. As upset as we were about Kevin White, we’re that happy about Fleener.

Last Round

Tony Romo
Eli Manning
Kirk Cousins
New York Jets Defense
Ladarius Green
Marvin Jones
Javorius Allen
Tavon Austin
Laquon Treadwell
Willie Snead

Kirk Cousins is the ultimate trade piece this deep into a draft. Multiple top-end QBs are going to get dinged up and that’s when you strike. It could be our own QB, Bortles, that misses time, and you just plug and play. The value is through the roof for him given his surrounding cast, his 2015 leap, and his weak division.

So, this is how the meat and potatoes shook down for a majority weekly basis

TEAM FIRST PICK

Aaron Rodgers
Carlos Hyde
Justin Forsett
Odell Beckham Jr.
Jordy Nelson
Alshon Jeffery
Delanie Walker
Flex: Darren McFadden

TEAM SECOND PICK

Andy Dalton
Le’Veon Bell
Doug Martin
Brandon Marshall
Brandin Cooks
Allen Hurns
Jimmy Graham
Flex: Dion Lewis

TEAM THIRD PICK

Andrew Luck
Eddie Lacy
Mark Ingram
Antonio Brown
T.Y. Hilton
DeSean Jackson
Travis Kelce
Flex: Matt Jones

TEAM FOURTH PICK

Russell Wilson
Todd Gurley
Jeremy Hill
Amari Cooper
Sammy Watkins
Eric Decker
Jordan Reed
Flex: Larry Fitzgerald

TEAM FIFTH PICK

Ben Roethlisberger
Thomas Rawls
Latavius Murray
Julio Jones
Mike Evans
Michael Floyd
Tyler Eifert
Flex: Melvin Gordon

TEAM SIXTH PICK

Drew Brees
Adrian Peterson
Lamar Miller
DeMaryius Thomas
Jarvis Landry
Jeremy Maclin
Julius Thomas
Flex: DeMarco Murray

TEAM SEVENTH PICK

Cam Newton
Jamaal Charles
Matt Forte
Doug Baldwin
Golden Tate
Emmanuel Sanders
Rob Gronkowski
Flex: Ameer Abdullah

RISERS N FALLERS

Blake Bortles
LeSean McCoy
C.J. Anderson
DeAndre Hopkins
A.J. Green
Randall Cobb
Coby Fleener
Flex: Ezekiel Elliott

TEAM NINTH PICK

Carson Palmer
Jeremy Langford
Jonathan Stewart
Dez Bryant
Allen Robinson
Keenan Allen
Greg Olsen
Flex: Jay Ajayi

LAST PICK TEAM

Tom Brady
David Johnson
Devonta Freeman
Kelvin Benjamin
Julian Edelman
Josh Gordon
Gary Barnidge
Flex: TJ Yeldon

Make your grades. Share your input. RnF’s self-graded mock champ is: TEAM 6 with AP, Lamar Miller, and DeMarco on a weekly basis. Risers and Fallers comes in second in their own humble opinion, and third place doesn’t matter because there’s no trophy for being the third best at anything. But still, let us know, the tank is there for a reason.  More to come as things change.

About Patrick White

Have been with Sharks for seven years. Been printed and published. Have been copied by, faced off against, and beaten some of the fiercest competition and abbreviated outlets in football. If you read RnF and live by the old "If you're not first, you're last" mentality, you'll be just fine.