Ok, yeah, I’ve got a problem. Well, if we’re playing the honesty card, I guess I’ve got a couple I can at least admit to. The most glaring at the current time though, seems to be my willingness to subject myself to both ridicule and criticism. It’s WAY too early to be mock drafting. For the love all things holy, we don’t even know how the draft and draft day trades will shake out for another 8 days or so. But has that stopped the “hunger?” Of course not. So here is the first full-on mock of the season featuring a ten team round-robin, PPR, flex approach. And sadly, the team I loved at the end, wasn’t my own.
Here’s how the rounds went down, RnF is at the 8 spot:
-Hopkins made the most sense given his production, the sudden value flux at the position, and that he gets more to bank on thanks to Brock Osweiler. David Johnson made sense but it’s just too risky to pass on a receiver who could finish as the No. 1 fantasy WR.
–A.J. Green fits neatly into the old RnF adage that you lose far more drafts in the first two rounds than you win. That translates into “Don’t get cute, and bank on reliable production.” It doesn’t get much more reliable than Green here as the running backs become more and more risky as the picks fly by. Green and Hopkins make a nasty little 1-2.
–LeSean McCoy isn’t what we were hoping for here but it could be much, much worse. RnF really wanted DeMarco Murray to continue to slide but McCoy isn’t a slouch by any regard. The more troubling component here is the Karlos Williams factor but that isn’t enough to deter the selection of a player who, just last year, was a first round selection. Not a bad running back to land after going WR-WR to kick things off.
-We’ve got two stone cold killers at WR, so the biggest need looked to be RB2 and thankfully that’s where the value still was. C.J. Anderson could be a top-12 producer as long as he avoids his early season slumping. RnF is banking on both in the fourth round as Anderson could suddenly become a top 10 RB.
-People seem to be more amped up for the return of Jordy Nelson for Jordy’s value than they are for Cobb’s value. It was quite evident last season that Cobb was not ready to be the lead dog in the Aaron Rodgers‘ driven offense. But he’s shown before that when Jordy is lead dog that he can excel as a secondary option. RnF is expecting a lot more 2014 Cobb than the 2015 version we saw when it was simply too much too soon. Cobb makes for a PPR steal a full round after Edelman went off the board.
–Ezekiel Elliott is being spoken of in a higher regard than Todd Gurley was heading into the NFL Draft. The same Todd Gurley that missed 4 games and still broke 1,000 yards on the season. This isn’t saying that Eazy E is going to bring home the MVP in his rookie year, but you have to love the potential. Imagine if a team like the Dolphins land him. His immediate impact would be amazing. Big gamble this early on but the pay out could be HUGE.
–Blake Bortles is one of the biggest buy-into names in 2016 and he’s still going as late as the 7th round? That’s value on top of value. Quarterback is starting to thin out quickly so this makes for a great move.
-No lie here, RnF froze when the clock started. This is probably the worst round as the gamble outweighs the payoff more so than any other round really. Is Steve Smith going to be a healthy 36-year-old? Will Eric Decker have Ryan Fitzpatrick? Will Gary Barnidge become Peyton Hillis 2.0? Staying conservative, WR was is still a need and Jordan Matthews should still be a highly targeted WR. Tough call but based on roster needs and available talent, Matthews made sense.
-This is a PPR, flex league, so Danny Woodhead should figure to be an all out fantasy beast. He’s the flex dream and can be a bye week hero so the move spoke for itself. Also, RnF isn’t sold on what they saw from Melvin Gordon in 2015. Woodhead could be featured more in the running game than most are forecasting.
-This was the round of frustration for Risers and Fallers. We waited and waited and waited and then BOOM, one round too long and we missed out on the comeback of Kevin White. Crabtree is still a WR who will flirt with 1,000 yards and 8 TDs, but White could potentially lead the league in receiving, where Crabtree has a zero percent shot at that. Not a wasted pick but also not what we were hoping for.
–Coby Fleener can potentially finish as top-5 TE with Brees calling the shots. Just look at what Ben Watson was able to accomplish and remember that Fleener is far younger and more athletic than Watson. As upset as we were about Kevin White, we’re that happy about Fleener.
–Kirk Cousins is the ultimate trade piece this deep into a draft. Multiple top-end QBs are going to get dinged up and that’s when you strike. It could be our own QB, Bortles, that misses time, and you just plug and play. The value is through the roof for him given his surrounding cast, his 2015 leap, and his weak division.
So, this is how the meat and potatoes shook down for a majority weekly basis
TEAM FIRST PICK
TEAM SECOND PICK
TEAM THIRD PICK
TEAM FOURTH PICK
TEAM FIFTH PICK
TEAM SIXTH PICK
TEAM SEVENTH PICK
RISERS N FALLERS
TEAM NINTH PICK
LAST PICK TEAM
Make your grades. Share your input. RnF’s self-graded mock champ is: TEAM 6 with AP, Lamar Miller, and DeMarco on a weekly basis. Risers and Fallers comes in second in their own humble opinion, and third place doesn’t matter because there’s no trophy for being the third best at anything. But still, let us know, the tank is there for a reason. More to come as things change.