So I went with a high-risk-high-reward approach at the top of the draft:
Gronk (TE-first is scary, but his expected points over other TEs is huge)
Bell (suspended 4 games, but expected to shine on his return)
Edelman (injured at the time, and no Brady, but a PPR monster when healthy)
Aaron Rodgers (coming off a down year, but getting Jordy back)
Jordan Matthews (injured at the time, and shaky situation, but a clear-cut #1 WR)
I ended up really unhappy with my draft, swearing never to do that again, and expecting to be demoted. Bell didn't get his suspension reversed (which was my secret hope). Also, the Eagles shipped Sam Bradford to Minnesota, which did not bode well for Matthews. Things got worse when Gronk went out week 1 (and I had no backup TE because "Hey, I got Gronk, so I'm "too smart" to draft a second TE to ride the bench! "
). I assumed I'd lose the first 3 games, and then hope for a comeback season.
But surprisingly, things have gone OK. I've lucked into two victories I really did not deserve. My points-for and points-against numbers are frighteningly bad, and I'm due for a fall in week 3. But if I can reach week 4 with a 2-1 record, and Gronk-Bell come back into form, I might hold on by the skin of my teeth. Still not expecting great things though, and still regretting my high-risk draft approach though.
I need to come back to read this post again before next year's draft, so I can remember to avoid the risk rather than embrace it.
Good luck to all this season!