theoutlawdekepatton wrote:Stafford is best when he can let loose. Not good when he is asked to game manage. That's was his problem this year, I think.
Is he though?
He had by far his most attempts in 2012 with 727 (10% higher than his next highest year, 12% above avg per 16 games) and he had a 20:17 TD:INT ratio. A 4-12 record, and actually (on paper) had decent protection with only 29 sacks (averages 37.3 per 16 games for his career). Incidentally, his 2018 yards per attempt were the same as 2012, he just didn't have 727 attempts to pad his stats. 2012 was also his worst full-season TD and INT rate of his career. (Only lower was his 10-game rookie season, which was...rough)
2017 and 2018 are his lowest attempt #s for a full season of his career, and they're his 2nd and 3rd best INT rates of his career. 2017 was also his best yard/attempt of his career.
His best INT rate was 2016, which was his 4th lowest attempts/season in his career (full season). His 2nd and 3rd best TD rates came in seasons he had less than 600 attempts (career average 651.3/`16 games). His best four seasons in completion % were all under 600 attempts. 3 of his top 4 season in QB rating were less than 600 attempts.
Basically Stafford had a really good (outlier) season in 2011 where he threw for over 5000 yards and 41 TDs and led a team that had always lost to a surprise 10-6 season in his first full season as a starter, and he's been coasting on that ever since. His TD rate that season was 41% above his career average, which is an insane outlier. (INT rate was right at career avg, FWIW.) It's also his only season over 600 attempts where he had higher than career-average completion percentage. His best statistical seasons, though, at least per-attempt (TD, INT, QB Rating, Completion %, Y/A, etc) are when he's been asked to do the least.
Well, his rushing yards were down in 2018. So there's that.
- count the number of wins over his career that he pulled out of his anus vs the number of losses that were his to own.
- 2018 was the first full season he's played in his entire career that he didn't throw for at least 4,000 yds.
- since 2015, his comp% has been at least 65%....including the down year of 2018.
- again.....count the number of wins over his career that he pulled out of his anus vs the number of losses that were his to own.
i mean, i get it. the whole bias thing. i'm guilty of it myself when it comes to bears, packers, and vikes. it's cool.