2019 Sleepers/Breakout Candidates

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With the draft out of the way, let's kick off the new fantasy season with everyone's favorite off-season topic: Sleepers and Breakout Candidates :thumbright:

Let's avoid the new hotness that every site out there is already talking about; the Kenny Golladay/Chris Godwins'

Post Hype sleeper:

Corey Davis for instance is a name most are familiar with, he had a mini-breakout last season with 65 REC, 946 total yards and 4TDs. An injured Mariota, the worst pass blocking guard play in the NFL (According to ESPN's pass block win rate stat Josh Kline finished dead last in the NFL, Quinton Spain finished 5th worst) prevented the offense from consistently using Davis where he excells-- in the intermediate to deep passing game. The addition of Roger Saffold (who finished #3 in that stat) and one of Stinnie, Levin, Nate Davis should add talent to the O-line (who still needs to prove they can play well together before I recommend reaching for any TEN player). Additional weapons added this season should also help defenses from keying in on him allowing for more consistent production.

Standard Sleeper:
Keke Coutee: Stormed onto the scene last year breaking the NFL record for most receptions in a debut with 11 receptions for 109 yards. An injury hampered him the rest of the way limiting his production. He's got high ppr potential, especially if Will Fuller goes down for significant time again next season (as he has basically his entire career thus far).

Deep Sleeper:
Corey Coleman : OBJ's departure leaves a gaping void at receiver for the Giants. Most people are pointing at Sterling Shepard to take his place here; however he's more of a slot receiver without the athleticism necessary to survive as their #1 WR... the Receiver most physically equipped to replace him is this long forgotten fantasy dead man. He was productive in Hue Jackson's CLE Browns with some of the worst QB play in recent memory before a couple of freak broken hand injuries. Many people dropped him from their minds after he was cut from the Bills during preseason; but he got a late start there and was cut for not knowing the playbook. Odds are he just stinks, but there's a narrative that exists where he's a victim of circumstance and he still has the tools that made him a first round pick several years ago ready to seize what is likely his last opportunity.

Some Flyers:

Kenny Stills, Devante Parker, Albert Wilson - I know, I know. But this could be the year. MIA fields one of the least talented rosters in the NFL which means these guys could be garbage time bargains. Add to this, both Rosen and Fitz aren't gunshy at all and this could finally be the year to invest in MIA receivers.

Albert Wilson is the exception here as I just think he's really good and was criminally underutilized at KC. He has Golden Tateish YAC ability and was breaking out in a big way prior to his season ending injury.

Trey Quinn - Kelvin Harmon? Josh Doctson? Don't care. Trey is by far their best slot receiver, and he's going to be Haskins security blanket as he learns the ropes in the NFL. Quinn outproduced Courtland Sutton after transferring out of LSU's WR deathzone to SMU. When you outproduced a specimen like Sutton you're probably pretty good. A lot better than his Mr. Irrelevant draft capital would say otherwise.

Speaking of SMU receivers... Courtland Sutton is a huge sleeper. What got my attention last offseason was coaches raving about how coachable the kid was. He came out extremely raw last season and the coaching staff still saw enough out of him to ship out Demaryius Thomas. He somewhat fell flat on his face after receiving WR1 treatment after Sanders went down and never proved to be more than a Vertical threat in year 1; but let's go back to the "extremely coachable" narrative from last off season. If the guy is indeed the quick learner he was made out to be, he could be in store for some big things this season. He will be one of my favorite flyers wherever his ADP happens to land.

DaeSean Hamilton gets an honorary notice here as well. My enthusiasm for him will largely depend on how well Sanders comes back from injury.

Tre'quan Smith - Will Fuller makes his bones as the explosive deep threat specialist on a high octane offense. Smith is also an explosive deep threat on a high octane offense. Ted Ginn's presence looms; but that guy's wheels have to fall off sometime; and the history of 34 year old speed receivers is not pretty.

Quincy Enunwa - This guy is a monster. He pulled an elite marketshare last season when healthy.. but that's the problem. The guy always seems to be dinged up. Is that bad luck or is his body not made for this type of abuse? Only time will tell, but after Darnold posted the highest QBR of any QB in teh month of December there exists a case where he's the number 1 receiving threat on a high octane offense. In this best case scenario, Robby Anderson would enter Tre'quan Smith levels of sleeper appeal. I don't believe Robby will overtake Enunwa's target share but I could see a Hopkins-lite/Fuller-lite scenario here.

Christian Kirk: After entering the NFL with a spectacular production profile in college (1,000 yards as a true freshman at Texas A&M!) he put to rest the claims that he couldn't play outside as a rookie. Many people will be gunshy about this guy after the recent acquisitions of Andy Isabella and Hakeem Butler... but those guys are both rookies, and have significantly less impressive resumes coming into the NFL. Larry will still command targets.. but Kirk is the guy to own here.

Honorary mentions: John Brown (BUF), John Ross (CIN), Keelan Cole/Dede Westbrook (JAX), Marquise Goodwin (SF)

And for those who just want a consolidated list of names:

RB:
Latavius Murray
Rojo *gags*
Darwin Thomas (R)
Alex Barnes (R)
Rashaad Penny

QB
Josh Allen *gags*

WR
Dante Pettis
Michael Gallup
Dylan Cantrell
Robert Foster
Deon Cain
Anthony Miller
Antonio Callaway


TE
Hunter Henry
Mark Andrews
Kahale Warring (R)
Last edited by zuggyawesome on Thu 05.30.2019, 14:18, edited 7 times in total.
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+1 Good thread.

Just back froma night out. Willa dd some (likeless useless) names in sobriety
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Zero RB hero:

Latavius Murray.
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Deon Cain
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FWIW, I'm firmly in the Keke coutee camp.
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TheJayCutlers wrote:Zero RB hero:

Latavius Murray.


getdownmmmmkay wrote:Deon Cain

I'm firmly in the Keke coutee camp.


I like both of these picks quite a bit, Murray is going to enter the Mark Ingram role and comes into it as a much more explosive player.

Cain was getting a lot of hype last season before the ACL injury. He should be fully recovered at this point and although there's quite a bit more competition for targets this year in IND he's got as good a shot as Campbell, and Funchess to emerge as an Andrew Luck weapon.

Glad I'm not the only one with a draft crush on Keke. He's my hope for the next great slot receiver, but with speed
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QB Josh Allen. i think he will breakout this year. im targeting him and Lamar Jackson as my QBs. Love what they add with their legs.

Wr Dante Pettis - probably just the homer in me but i can see this guy being the wr1 in SF. SF has alot more weapons this year but Pettis is the best WR on the team imo. If he can stay healthy i can see big things for him.

TE Hunter Henry- hes due. if he can stay healthy hes going to eat.

just a few guys ill probably be targeting ...ill add on to this list for sure
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I'll be looking for Bebe as a late scoop sleeper
People are on the Geronimo Allison fence.. I like him more this season with the new regime.
I'll be taking a poke at Foster making himself an improved player.

All I can chew off the top of my head rt now
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I am still hot on a couple of guys I liked last year as rookies, Christian Kirk and Michal Gallup.

If Kingsbury's offense if going to work out, Kirk should benefit as much as anybody. Might just be that Cliff prefers all the shiny new toys cuz they were his choices though.

I liked the fit with Gallup initially. He seemed to run well and showed the ability to get open. Wasn't on the same page as Dak though. If that comes together this year he will break out. Also won't be surprised if Witt doesn't get as much work as anticipated in the end and Jarwin does well.
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Deep sleeper: Dylan Cantrell

Also a fan of Herndon this year, and I think he will go pretty much ignored in drafts.

And for those in deep dynasty leagues, I've been on the Kahale Warring train since way before the draft, and I'm still on board. He's Todd Heap 2.0 once he completely figures the game out.

And with all this Darwin Thompson talk, by the time drafts roll around I think Damien Williams will be a tremendous value. Darwin is Wendell Smallwood, not a 3 down NFL back.
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SJSwarm wrote:Deep sleeper: Dylan Cantrell


most definitely. y'all need to monitor this guy through offseason and camp. he was turning some heads in camp last year until he got a really bad bone bruise.
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SJSwarm wrote:Darwin is Wendell Smallwood

Oh, that's just mean.
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getdownmmmkay wrote:Deon Cain


I own a lot of this stock
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OarChambo wrote:
SJSwarm wrote:Darwin is Wendell Smallwood

Oh, that's just mean.

And inaccurate

Dont care what level of football youre playing in college, when you can run w/ 3guys draped over you?




Smallwood is a sppedy, finesse guy. Thompson invites contact & his balance is something else.

Think i counted 5 hurdles. Just this season.

If im making a comp? Its MJD not Smallwood
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jamcutpost wrote:
OarChambo wrote:
SJSwarm wrote:Darwin is Wendell Smallwood

Oh, that's just mean.

And inaccurate

Dont care what level of football youre playing in college, when you can run w/ 3guys draped over you? Youre fine.


Level of competition though? For your sake I hope you're right, but I watch a lot of Mountain West football and I don't think you are. Pretty sure he would have gone higher than round 6 if more people agreed with you.......but it is a good landing spot as we all know Damien Williams is JAG.

Utah State only played 2 actual football teams last year:

Darwin vs Michigan State: 10 carries 28 yards (2 TD's tho! =D> )

Darwin vs Boise State : 11 carries 61 yards (my guy Mattison had 37 carries 200 yards 3 TD in the same game)

If you want to make a dynasty pick based on what he did vs San Jose State and North Texas, be my guest.

Even diving into their cupcake schedule a little deeper you find Darwin vs Colorado State (a 3-8 team): 13 carries 47 yards. Yikes.
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