ubertaco wrote:I think it's totally reasonable to drop his spot in redrafts, but I can't really see changing much (right now anyway) in keepers.
I do think that if you have him in keeper/dyno you need to more strongly consider that he may only be 'good' for you through the first 10-12 weeks after which you need a reasonable 3rd option to replace him in your lineups with.
I'm not convinced that option is one of his handcuffs, but the value of those guys is likely to be higher than it 'should' be due to skepticism about how long Gurley will last this season. I know in my dyno where I have Gurley I'll be looking to add Henderson there, but the bench is pretty deep so it's not a bad thing to have a couple 'next year' guys kicking around. In leagues with shorter benches I think it's a harder add, but, as always, it depends on your team and league situation.
Gurley owners need to prepare for him to not be useful beginning week 2. Not week 10-12.
Any owner of any player needs to prepare for that.
But chances of Gurley going from 20+ touches a game to 12-15 is much more likely than him going to zero.
Yes, his value is diminished, but if he's already on your roster you're keeping him short of some new news which indicates otherwise.
Then again, I like to live a bit dangerously in FF I suppose. I'd rather take the flier on the high upside guy than just keep on handcuffing guys I have. Sometimes it works sometimes it doesn't.