und2006 wrote:In redraft its Gurley or a 1st round talent. In a keeper situation its Gurley or a 3rd round talent.
Not the same situation.
3rd round is where I see Gurley as a reasonable pick; but I'll still be avoiding him till the 4th which means I'll probably own Gurley in 0 leagues, and I'm ok with that.
Everyone keeps talking, "upside, upside, upside". Besides the fact that I don't think his upside is nearly as high this year as years past (there's been far too much smoke this season for there not to be at best a reduced workload); is his upside really that much higher than Chubb, Dalvin, Mixon, Gordon? I don't think so. Even without all of these knee issues I wouldn't have batted an eye if those guys finished above Gurley this year. Hell even Damien Williams, Derrick Henry beating them out wouldn't have surprised me all that much. The reason Gurley would've been chosen ahead of them is the likelihood
he'd be higher than them.. with all of this uncertainty surrounding him that chance has been reduced dropping his value position for this year
. As far as Dynasty is concerned, there's no way in hell he should be a 2nd round pick over these guys.
Some zig when others zag. I zug.