As always - if you disagree with me, that's fine, but you're wrong and I hate you.
Tier 1: Premium production for a premium price.
1. Lamar Jackson, BAL
2. Patrick Mahomes, KC
Tier 2: Dual-threats with the upside to finish in the top 3 - and maybe higher.
3. Dak Prescott, DAL
4. Deshaun Watson, HOU - It feels like Deshaun is often ranked last in this group, and I understand why. Losing Hopkins sucks. But this team has a bunch of above-average receivers, good receiving RBs, and a bad defense. If Houston is constantly trailing, I think Deshaun can set your fantasy league on fire.
5. Kyler Murray, ARI
6. Russell Wilson, SEA - #FreeRuss. Please.
Tier 3: Rock-solid QB1s I'd take if they're available after rounds 7/8.
7. Josh Allen, BUF - Feels like he's replaced pre-breakout Dak as the unflashy dual-threat whose redzone upside will keep him comfortably in the top 10.
8. Matt Ryan, ATL
9. Carson Wentz, PHI
10. Matthew Stafford, DET - On pace for nearly 5,000 and 38 last year before the injury. Seems to have taken a step forward with his development as a legit top-shelf QB. Benefited from the most vertically-oriented play-calling in the league - and he has the weapons to keep the good times rolling.
11. Tom Brady, TB
12. Aaron Rodgers, GB
13. Drew Brees, NO - Buyer beware. There's been a 3-year trend with the Saints becoming much more run-oriented, but Brees has been able to overcome it with an incredible TD rate (SEVEN 3-TD games in the second half of 2019). With the addition of Manny Sanders, maybe he keeps it up. But I'd rather bet on higher-volume options paired with worse defenses.
Tier 4: Potential top-12 QBs who have their warts. Double-tap a couple of these guys late and play the matchups.
14. Ryan Tannehill, TEN
15. Teddy Bridgewater, CAR - I'm a big fan of everyone involved in Carolina's offense this year. Teddy pulls the strings, and Teddy gonna eat.
16. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
17. Joe Burrow, CIN - If everyone is projecting good things from Cincy's skill players, then you can't ignore Burrow's potential to play for you right away. Provides nice rushing upside too.
18. Daniel Jones, NYG - You're going to have withstand a rough start to his schedule. The weapons and rushing upside are there to make him a QB1.
19. Kirk Cousins, MIN - The defense doesn't look quite as good as last year and Cook may hold out. He's good enough to return to QB1 status.
20. Gardner Minshew II, JAC - If I'm a big fan of Teddy, I have to be a fan of Minshew too. Godawful defense paired with an interesting offense. Underrated runner too.
21. Jared Goff, LAR
22. Philip Rivers, IND - Interesting to note how little attention his move to Indy has received. He'll play behind the best OL he's ever had and he never shies away from taking shots downfield. Paired with an average defense, he can definitely retain QB1 status.
23. Jimmy Garoppolo, SF
24. Baker Mayfield, CLE
Tier 5: If you're a Late Round QB Guy...this might be a little too late (but I actually think a few have some QB1.5 upside)
25. Drew Lock, DEN
26. Sam Darnold, NYJ - I believe in his talent, and if Gase is fired that'll be a bonus. Surrounded by nice receiving options and a better oline.
27. Derek Carr, LV
28. Tyrod Taylor, LAC - If he actually keeps the job, his rushing ability alone will keep him hovering between QB12-18
29. Nick Foles, CHI
30. Dwayne Haskins, WAS
31. Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA - Same as Tyrod. If the job is his, he's definitely a Tier 4 guy.
32. Jarrett Stidham, NE