This is the article, which is an interesting take on whether the Browns are viable Super Bowl contenders or about average:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/th ... wait-what/
For Super Bowl odds, I think it makes sense that the AFC East teams are devalued relative to similar opponents because the assumption is that they would have to win via Wild Card, which is a tougher road to the SB. However, I got to thinking about whether the Patriots continued success is part of the reason that the other AFC East teams haven't been very good.
How much of it is mismanagement, bad coaching, bad scouting, etc., and how much of it is that FAs don't want to be in the same division as the Patriots? BUF has additional issues attracting people due to the cold/snow, but the Jets are in NY and Miami has an amazing location. Yet all three of them seem to have to pay more to acquire talent in FA than other teams.
Is there some truth to this? Extend it beyond the Patriots, but looking at other strong teams-- do you think FAs avoid certain divisions because one team has a strangehold on the division? Or do you think they follow the money and it is just flukey?