LaSean4Heisman wrote:Thanks for putting this out there, sir. Couple questions/concerns/comments (and all of this in mind with a 2/2/2 RB WR Flex lineup so that makes my thinking a bit different than yours)..
-It's probably just flip the three sided coin and you're fine regardless, but Barkley being 3rd surprised me. Interested to hear your thought for CMC 1 Kamara 2.
It's a hedge against the Giants. Barkley will probably go Barry Sanders anyway, but I think their season is going to be a disaster.
LaSean4Heisman wrote:-What's the play at the 2/3 turn? I agree Aaron Jones is probably 1 of 2 targets, but the WRs there don't excite (Allen, Hilton, AB, Cooper, MIN WRs) and the other RBs are looking like Damien, Mack, Kerryon, Fournette etc... meh. I feel like I want some floor to counteract the Jones volatility but who the F offers that here. Hilton I guess. Almost want it to be Carson but feels like that might be too early but health seems like his only issue at the moment.
I'm really not opposed to starting 3 RBs either, I feel like doing that and then drafting 3 or 4 WRs in a row and ending up with something like Lockett ARob and Samuel feels fine.
Anyone you don't expect to make it to the 4/5 is in play. In this sorta format a lot of RB's early has some merit. There are some good ones available outside the top 60 or so, but none you really want to start week 1. I wouldn't expect Carson to fall, so if things don't break right and you prefer him to Freeman, Mack, Jones, etc. then go for it. If you think there's a reasonable chance he falls then I'd risk it though.
LaSean4Heisman wrote:-Mack doesn't seem like a true difference maker but if it's not him then who the F is it for them at RB? Hines isn't taking those between the tackles touches. He could have a ton of + game scripts in Indy though if Luck's healthy b/c I think they might be the best team in the AFC right now. The way they've rebuilt that entire team is just so F'n right.
-Freeman is such a tough one because I think it's clear there probably isn't much left in the tank but if there's enough for 2019 then he'll be a + pick in that offense w/out any real competition.
-Singletary seems like such an obvious late round RB that's at least a flex play by midseason but balancing how good the situation looks with the meh opinion pre-draft on him is a tough balancing act. Buffalo spent a decent pick on him though.
Volume matters. This is why I inquired about Mack upstream. I'm willing to open my mind on him if his role is less stable than I thought it was.
I have a hard time envisioning Freeman as anything more than average, but Ito Smith and Brian Hill aren't going to eat into his snaps. I could see Ollison eat into obvious run down work, but he's starting off so far behind in the pass game I can't argue for much more before 2020. Freeman doesn't have to be who he was, he just has to be functional. Although with him being a marginal athlete to start his room for error isn't much and maybe the injuries were enough. We'll see, but it's a risk I'm comfortable with.
In lock step with you on Singletary. Between his offense as a whole and the lack of volume I expect early in the season I'm not prioritizing him right now
. If I end up needing to dig down the well then I will, but I'd rather wate until Sep/Oct on him. I know what I saw on tape, but...those metrics were beyond bad. Metrics do two things to an eval - cause you to reconsider because they're just that bad/good or no change. He was in the former group and obviously not of the good variety.