ubertaco wrote:I have Gordon too...
And he is a more talented back than Ekler and/or Jackson.
But the 'problem' the Chargers have doesn't seem to be related to their ability to have an effective running game with those guys. Would Gordon help them? Sure. Is he worth the money to the Chargers to get him back now?
I don't blame the Chargers at all for handling this situation the way they are. I don't blame Gordon either. It kind of sucks as a fan, and as a fantasy owner, but meh, the league and the players union need to figure out a better way to manage contracts and holdouts.
Not that I have any expectation they will. RBs are just not considered to be worth big contracts by most teams it seems.
My entire point is that the Chargers are incorrect in assigning too little value on Gordon. I think that he would spark their offense, not just their rushing game, and the team as a whole would improve.
But let's just tackle the value part first -- let's assume that the Chargers have little chance to win their division, but are contending for a WC spot. Making the playoffs makes the team as a whole a lot more money that missing the playoffs. I don't know specifics, but just in terms of their share of the TV contract I bet they would make a big chunk, plus the overall goodwill of their brand and jersey sales and all the rest.
If making the playoffs gives the team a lot of revenue/income plus goodwill with fans and ability to attract FA talent, it should be the main priority and you plan around that. The difference between Ezekiel Elliott money and what the Chargers are offering Gordon is like $2M a year. I get that RBs as a whole shouldn't be worth $15M or whatever because they are replaceable, but you spend an extra $2M/year and you increase your odds of making the playoffs this year? Money well spent.
Ekeler fumbled at the goal line, costing the team a chance to score and win. Even separate from that, I think having Gordon in the starting lineup increases the scoring and production of other players -- it isn't as simple as a "net yards for RB" comparison. Opposing defenses scheme to shut Gordon down, opening up passing lanes for the WR. They aren't scheming to shut Ekeler down, they probably take the approach that they want the Chargers to flow their offense through Ekeler because they think they can stop him when it matters.
That's the part of the analysis that bothers me -- people just add up the yards Ekeler gets and considers it a successful replacement. But if he is getting yards between the 20s but not on third down or in the red zone, he isn't successful and the Chargers aren't scoring as many points. If he is getting yards because the defense is only spying him with 1 player and using the other players to cover the WRs, he isn't as successful as Gordon forcing two defenders to spy him (freeing up single coverage somewhere).