OarChambo wrote:James Washington is being criminally under valued in the Pittsburgh WR room.
16.7 ypr (10th in leeg)
9.2 ypt (22nd)
mediocre catch rate metrics but due to the dredge at QB a hliarious 1/3 of his passes were deemed uncatchable
He had a messy start with Big Ben in 18, but to make the progress that he did last year in that situation should have been a needle mover. And it hasn't.
So let's try to figure out his range of potential outcomes. This offense threw 689 times in 2018 with Big Ben at QB and James Conner the primary RB. That may be a stretch in an AB-less world, but he threw almost 600 times in each 2016 and 2017 and that was with a substantially more durable Le'Veon Bell in tow. So lets call the low end 600 attempts. Assume no growth in his target share (16%). But let's give him a 10% jump in catch rate in a Duck and Mason-less world. What happens? 59 receptions and somewhere between 900 and 975 yards. Then consider Big Ben threw for at least 28 TD's in each 2016, 2017, and 2018 and it's tough to imagine a 96 target player getting any less than a half dozen of them. And this is being conservative!
I'm punting theoretical upside to another day, but I am confident saying his WR67 adp ain't right. My only question about ranking him in the top 50 is how much of a priority to make him. Cause this is the sorta profile that screams potential breakout.
I don't know why I'm gonna die on this hill but what the hell
Deon Cain > James Washington