If you disagree with me, that's fine, but you're wrong and I hate you.
Tier 0: Cheat code
1. Christian McCaffrey, CAR
Tier 1: Decent shot of being overall RB1
2. Saquon Barkley, NYG
3. Alvin Kamara, NO - Everything went wrong last year, and he was still RB12. He should return to being a TD monster, and if he regains his per play efficiency - woo boy.
4. Ezekiel Elliott, DAL
5. Dalvin Cook, MIN
Tier 2: Not quite the combination of carries/catches as the T1 guys, but still plenty of upside and comfortable having them as my RB1
6. Kenyan Drake, ARI - Only reason he's not in Tier 1 is the lack of history doing it. His situation can't be denied. The Oline, and offense as a whole, looks better. Wheels up.
7. Derrick Henry, TEN
8. Nick Chubb, CLE - Some people are down on him because of the lack of receiving work. I actually think some positive regression is in order on that front. Should see even more usage with Stefanski, and the Oline is MUCH better. Might be the best pure runner in the league, so I'm buying him the same way you'd buy Derrick Henry.
9. Josh Jacobs, LV - Forgive me for not giving a bakers f00k about Lynn Bowden or Jalen Richard. I think he has a solid shot of being in the top 5 when all is said and one. Too good at football to not receive more touches.
10. Miles Sanders, PHI
11. Joe Mixon, CIN - It tells you something about the RB1 crop that you can get away with ranking Joe Mixon here. If I could get him+Chubb/Sanders/Jacobs/Ekeler at the turn, I'm feeling good.
12. Austin Ekeler, LAC
Tier 3: Relying on any of them as an RB1 is a little rich for me, but the upside+volume is there to finish much higher than this.
13. Leonard Fournette, JAC - Zero carry competition, and I'm hardly worried about Chris Thompson eating too many 3rd down snaps. Positive touchdown regression inevitable.
14. Todd Gurley, ATL
15. Aaron Jones, GB
16. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC - We know what the positives are. It's just worth keeping in mind that Damien Williams is much faster and a better pass blocker. This is not a Kareem Hunt situation. Yet.
17. Jonathan Taylor, IND - You really think Marlon Mack is going to convince Frank Reich to split carries? LOL
Tier 4: Consensus RB2s. You're not excited drafting them, the downside is obvious, but their situation is impossible to ignore.
18. James Conner, PIT - Of all the guys in this tier, Conner has the best combination of workload+Oline. I don't think he's particularly talented, but if the Steelers offense event faintly resembles 2018 Conner could be back in the RB1 conversation.
19. Melvin Gordon, DEN
20. Le'Veon Bell, NYJ
21. David Montgomery, CHI
22. David Johnson, HOU - The situation is juicy. The talent seems juiced. But maybe, just maybe, he backs into a top 12 season.
23. Mark Ingram II, BAL
24. Chris Carson, SEA
Tier 5: Upside flex plays. If I have a couple solid RBs already, I could tilt the league in my favor if one of these guys pan out.
25. Tarik Cohen, CHI - His reception efficiency last year was abysmal. He's going to get his targets, and he has the talent to return to RB1.5 form like in 2018.
26. Cam Akers, LAR
27. D'Andre Swift, DET
28. Ronald Jones II, TB - I'm an RJ Truther. I'll admit it. I don't think he has RB1 upside due to the lack of targets, but he is a very good runner and should have some good TD opportunity in this offense.
29. Devin Singletary, BUF
30. Derrius Guice, WAS
31. Raheem Mostert, SF
Tier 6: Not as interesting as the Tier 5 guys, and I would take some of the Tier 7 guys over them if I'm set at RB.
32. Kareem Hunt, CLE
33. James White, NE - Everything about the Patriots offense is ugly, so find beauty in the guy who will get you 60 catches.
34. Jordan Howard, MIA - Can definitely finish much higher than this. But are you willing to draft him higher? I doubt it.
35. Sony Michel, NE
36. Matt Breida, MIA
Tier 7: RB1 potential pending an injury. Would love to have a couple of these guys on the bench. Comfortable taking them ahead of Tier 6 guys if I'm set at RB.
37. Tony Pollard, DAL
38. Latavius Murray, NO - I think it's possible that both he and Kamara become better fantasy plays this year regardless of injury. Decent standalone value.
39. Damien Williams, KC
40. Chase Edmonds, ARI
41. J.K. Dobbins, BAL - Could have some standalone value very quickly in that offense.
42. Alexander Mattison, MIN - Don't think he has the upside of some other guys in this Tier. The receiving work isn't there and the offense isn't as enticing. Don't confuse him as a like-for-like with Dalvin Cook. That's absurd.
43. Boston Scott, PHI
44. Anthony McFarland Jr., PIT - Shhhh.
Tier 8: RB2 potential pending an injury. Probably wouldn't pass on Tier 6 guys for them, though.
45. Phillip Lindsay, DEN
46. Kerryon Johnson, DET
47. Tevin Coleman, SF
48. Marlon Mack, IND
49. Ke'Shawn Vaughn, TB - His ADP is nonsense. Major stay-away for me.
50. Zack Moss, BUF