Tuesday - Jan 15, 2019

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THE GRIND: DFS Week 3

Another high scoring week in the NFL, as league-wide the quarterback position completed over 70 percent of their passes. Passers and pass catchers have showcased their importance early in the season in both season long fantasy football and DFS. I don’t see this trend changing anytime soon. One key I will focus on in the coming weeks here on The Grind is rostering ‘pass catchers’ every chance I get. Sounds obvious, I know, but after we lock in one stud RB and one value RB each week in our daily lineup, filing out the lineup with receptions galore is the goal, especially at the flex position.

We are going to chalk up Week Two as a loss for us here on The Grind. Week One we cashed both lineups in large field tournaments and Week Two we fell short. Both streaming QB options I targeted faltered vs bottom half of the league defenses and our value RBs of James Conner and T.J. Yeldon didn’t quite return the value I was looking for. There were some bright spots of course, but not enough to warrant a victory lap by any means. Let’s move on to Week number three.

And as always, this lineup is for the 13 game main slate Sunday.

DRAFT KINGS

QB Cam Newton (6000) – Simply just too cheap to pass up on at home vs a middling defense like Cincinnati. Don’t expect him to throw it 45 times again like he did last week, but his floor, if the team is leading is still 3x value (18 points for a 6000 player).

RB Matt Breida (5400) – I am absolutely willing to chase some points here with the explosive Breida in a shootout football game. If the 49ers want to keep pace, they will have to give Breida even more than the 15 touches he had last week. The 49ers are one of the three best offensive lines in the NFL when it comes to yards before contact for their RBs and I don’t see that changing much vs a Chiefs team that has given up plenty of yards and points thus far.

RB Dalvin Cook (7100) – The Dalvin Cook is fully back game. If cramping was in fact the issue late in the game last week and it was nothing else, he will be in a prime spot to exceed 100 yards rushing and get in the endzone vs a reeling Bills defense. The only item of concern in this game is if the Bills can even keep it close.

WR T.Y. Hilton (6700) – Hilton is clearly the most trusted option in the passing game still, receiving a 35% target share last week in Washington. Hilton played very well and now gets an even easier secondary in the Eagles. It really is the only weak spot on the Eagles’ team as a whole, Frank Reich knows this well and will take advantage.

WR Nelson Agholor (6100) – Pass catchers, that is what we are looking for in a full PPR format. Agholor has caught 8 balls in each of the first two games. Now with Carson Wentz healthy, while the tide should raise all ships as far as the Eagles’ offense goes, Wentz will still be hesitant to hold the ball too long; Agholor will be the beneficiary.

WR Donte Moncrief (3800) – Who led the Jaguars in targets in Week 2? It was Moncrief. He has always showed well in the redzone and for a mere 3800 it creates a lot of salary relief. The Titans pass defense leaves plenty to be desired, don’t be surprised if Moncrief hits them up for a big play similar to what we saw Will Fuller do a week ago.

TE George Kittle (4500) –  The Lions had a solid gameplan vs Kittle this past Sunday… hold him. Kittle drew 3 total penalties and the filmed showed that he was held plenty more. It may seem like Kittle has a low floor, but truly, what tight end doesn’t? In a game with the over under already at 56 in Kansas City, Kittle will hit pay-dirt.

FLEX Chris Thompson (6300) – The cheapest option on the DK site with the highest likelihood of getting 20 points. 21 total targets in two weeks. If the Redskins are up in the game, Thompson will ‘only’ finish with about 6 catches. If they trail, all bets are off as the total will be monstrous. Thompson was targeted an incredible 14 times in Week Two. This week, an even better offense in the Green Bay Packers come to town.

DEF Jaguars (4000) – We either get a banged up Marcus Mariota or Blaine Gabbert throwing against the premiere defense in the NFL. I will take my chances here.

Check Page 2 for the FanDuel lineup..

About John Lanfranca