Saturday - Jan 19, 2019

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THE GRIND: DFS Week 5

The National Football League is setting records for high scores week after week, which translates to high scores being the norm across DFS sites as well. Gathering information as the week progresses is paramount to our success and this week will be no different.

In Week 4 last week, players at the wide receiver position such as Tyler Boyd, Corey Davis, Sterling Shepard and Geronimo Allison all shot to the top of the lists when it came to cash games as the week progressed. Getting these players into your lineup was key because it saved enough salary to be able to pay for Alvin Kamara. Most people then took the free and inexpensive points from both Andy Dalton and Giovanni Bernard to round out their lineup. It was the correct roster construction, and as Sunday neared, it became clear what most people’s strategies would be in cash games.

In Week 5, there are five more games with over/unders of OVER 50 points(on the main slate) including the focus of many players – Atlanta at Pittsburgh boasting a massive total of 57.5. Keep this in mind as we move through potential plays today. Let’s get to it.

DRAFT KINGS

QB Matt Ryan, Atlanta (6600) – Right off the bat we are grabbing a major piece of the highest total of the week. Ryan has scored over 30 points on DK every week since the opening night of the season and now will have to shoot it out with the Steelers if he wants to give his team any path to victory. If you watched the Falcons defense recently, they simply do not have the horses to get stops on a consistent basis. Expect this trend to continue all season, making Ryan a viable QB play almost every week in Daily Fantasy.

RB Christian McCaffrey, Carolina (8000) – At a slight discount from Todd Gurley and Melvin Gordon, expect the Panthers coming off their bye to feature CMC once again. The Giants were destroyed by the talents of Alvin Kamara a week ago, and while McCaffrey and the Panthers offensive line isn’t quite at that level, this is a player who is independent of game-flow and should be schemed plenty of opportunities in space receiving out of the backfield. Get him in your lineups on Draft Kings.

RB David Johnson, Arizona (6300) – Believe it or not, the Cardinals offense is improving. Johnson’s team should be able to hang around with the C.J. Beathard led 49ers all game long, simply making Johnson at 6300 too cheap. Johnson for all his struggles this season, has cleared 16 points on DK in three of four outings. How many other players can you grab for around 6000 with this much talent and a projection of 18-22 carries plus 3-5 receptions? The answer is none.

WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, Pittsburgh (7500) – While many we for paying up for Antonio Brown this week, I love the play pivoting to JuJu. Pretty much any player in the Steelers passing attack is a viable option this week, but I will gladly go with the one that has gotten an insane 41 targets over the past three weeks who still costs less than Keenan Allen and Odell Beckham Jr.

WR Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati (5700) – Going to the well one more time? Sure am. Boyd was a dynamo on third down last week, and was one of the main reasons the Bengals came out of Atlanta with the victory. Breakout star corner Xavien Howard of the Dolphins will be plastered all over A.J. Green for the duration of the game Sunday, leaving plenty of opportunities for Boyd to shine once again.

WR Donte Moncrief, Jacksonville (4100) – It doesn’t taken an extremely keen eye to realize the Chiefs are “attack-able” outside the numbers. Courtland Sutton of the Broncos could have easily walked away from Monday’s game with a couple touchdowns matched up with Orlando Scandrick. Now Moncrief will get his turn and I am willing to bet the Jaguars will be throwing the ball plenty at Arrowhead Stadium Sunday afternoon. Moncrief has only seen under 5 targets once in a game thus far in 2018 and is coming off his best performance. With Kendall Fuller possibly being able to slow down Dede Westbrook in the slot, both Moncrief and fellow WR Keelan Cole are great options.

TE Vance McDonald, Pittsburgh (3700) – The cheapest tight end with big play ability in a high scoring affair, I’m in. Vance receives zero attention from the defense, hence his 90% catch rate early in the year. In this spot, vs this defense, this is a no-brainer play at the given price. Tyler Eifert was well on his way to a huge game last Sunday before his untimely and unfortunate injury to start the second half.

FLEX WR Marvin Jones Jr., Detroit (4700) – Still being targeted on average over 7 times per game, Jones has yet to truly breakout. At home vs a team that can put points on the board, I love Jones as a play that might be going overlooked this week because he has not really taken off yet in 2018. The Packers D gave up massive output to both Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs just two weeks ago when they faced a non-rookie QB, and now traveling to face Matt Stafford, don’t be surprised if Jones walks away with a line of 6-105 and a TD.

DEF Carolina Panthers (3300) – The Giants offense is in major trouble in this spot. The Panthers defense has had two weeks of preparation and despite having a tough outing in the dome in Atlanta, when they are at home, they play much better. Putting up a 4 INT performance in Week 3 and boasting a 6 sack outburst their other home game back in Week 1.

About John Lanfranca