Friday - Dec 14, 2018

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THE GRIND: DFS Week 7

We are into the meat of the NFL season, with each and every week bringing new information to our attention. Treading through all of it while fighting recency bias can be a difficult endeavor. It is important to keep the process simple when building your DFS lineups, in that finding good values trumps everything. Once you can spot those values and capitalize on them, you are putting yourself in a position for success. It may not come this week or even in the next four weeks, but over time, success will find you if you create a good process of lineup building for yourself. It is all part of the grind that is the 20+ week DFS season in football.

Let’s dive into some players to consider this weekend:

DRAFT KINGS

QB Joe Flacco (5400) – We get the perfect match-up for pretty much any QB and we get it at a steep discount. The Saints have been incredible against the run only allowing 2.85 yards per carry and have been terrible in pass defense. The Saints defense isn’t known for traveling well either and as long as the weather holds up, Flacco is a great bet for 4 times (4x) his value on the main slate Sunday.

RB Todd Gurley (9800) – Reminded of the 2016 days when you pretty much plugged in David Johnson and LeVeon Bell, then started filling out the rest of your roster. Gurley has 11 total touchdowns through 6 games, is actually cheaper than last week and is always the best bet on any slate to reach 30 points.

RB Tarik Cohen (5100) – It may feel like chasing points to some, but honestly, how can you not fit this PPR dynamo into your lineup when everything is trending in his direction. His snap count and involvement has risen each and every week of the season in relation to Jordan Howard. Now the Bears face off with a team that a) have a slow LB core and b) will put up points on the Bears solid defense. If Chicago is going to keep pace, Cohen is going to have to catch a minimum of 5 passes. With his price what it is currently, I love him as a RB2 or flex in pretty much all formats.

WR John Brown (5700) – In tournaments he becomes an even better play because of his down week last week. The Ravens are not going to sack Drew Brees 11 times and cruise to another victory. Joe Flacco is going to have to be aggressive and John Brown is the man he targets when he is of that mindset. Brown really only needs a couple big plays to pay off, and this week I believe he will get them.

WR Keke Coutee (4300) – The Jaguars defense is reeling right now, but if we can count on one thing this week, it should be a bounce back for their cornerbacks… at least on the outside. Coutee works almost exclusively in the slot and with the Texans offensive line still have problems in protection, getting the football out quickly will be key vs a team built to stop DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller.

WR Julian Edelman (6600) – Like I said, the Bears defense is solid, but it does have vulnerabilities. Julian Edelman remains a main cog in the dynamic Patriots offense and offers a great ceiling/floor combo on Draft Kings. The Patriots will implement a more pass oriented offense than we saw last Sunday night vs the Chiefs and Edelman has 10 catch upside in these types of games.

TE O.J. Howard (3600) – As fellow Fantasysharks genius Thomas Casale likes to discuss, Howard is a straight stud. Not only that, but he has been a consistent force all season long and offers one of the best floors at the TE position in fantasy football. Yet he is the 10th most expensive option on the main slate this week. Hmmm… I’ll bite.

FLEX Kenny Golladay (6000) – Becoming one of the most underrated all around football players in the NFL. Golladay is on pace for 131 targets, 1369 yards on 86 receptions and 9 TDs. The time of worrying about Marvin Jones and Golden Tate taking away too many targets from this man is over. Matthew Stafford has shown great trust in him and no matter how the Lions games have played out, Kenny G has been involved. His lowest scoring outing of the year was 4 receptions for 74 yards and he consistently goes overlooked on Draft Kings relative to his ownership percentage on Fanduel.

DEF Indianapolis Colts (3300) – The Colts are a defense that creates turnovers and they are taking on the Bills, what else needs to be said?

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