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Guessing Games

My Week #5 Audibles


Week 5 is upon us and the bye weeks are as well. I have Tim Hightower on a bye. I’m not sure he even belongs on my roster with the guessing games required to find out what his role is. I’m going to stop guessing at some point.

I blame myself for not heeding the word.

Here are some things that don’t require much guessing.

Visanthe Shiancoe Vs. Kyle Rudolph at the Tight end position.

While Donovan McNabb isn’t lighting the world on fire with his stats, one can infer that they are on the rise. McNabb put in extra time this week with wide receivers Devin Aromashodu and Bernard Berrian after practice. McNabb has completed better than 60 percent of his passes in the last three weeks. This week he will utilize the tight end more facing an Arizona Cardinals’ defense that ranked 21st in fantasy points given up to tight ends in the first four weeks. While that number isn’t staggering there is a silver lining. One of those teams that the limited to a zero was Seattle, who clearly haven’t figured out how to use the tight end. Seattle has targeted the tight end a mere 12 times in 4 weeks.

McNabb has targeted Shiancoe 10 times in the last three weeks, and subsequently Rudolph has been targeted seven times in the last three weeks. While you may be familiar with one, Kyle Rudolph was the first drafted tight end in 2011 draft out of Notre Dame. If you look at that class of tight ends, you will recognize names like Lance Kendricks of the Rams, and D.J. Williams of the Packers. There is little question now that Donovan McNabb will be looking his way after making seven catches on eight targets. Rudolph looks solid with a 14.0 yards per catch on the young season. At 6’6″,  258-pounds, he has the size and look of Evan Moore from Cleveland. He creates match up problems. I expect both tight ends to be heavily involved this week.
Watch for yourself.

Start Brandon Pettigrew this week.

After a season high in catches in Week 3 (11), Pettigrew followed it up with six catches for 64 yards last week against a weak Dallas defense. This week at home versus a Chicago Bears’ defense, it should be the same story. Pettigrew should see plenty of targets as the Bears rank dead last in fantasy points given up to tight ends. Sometimes a player lines up with a great match up and you have to take advantage.
This is that scenario.

Need Running Back help this week?


Isaac Redman might just be the play. Forget that Rashard Mendenhall hasn’t been able to get it going. Forget that the offensive line has stunk it up lately. The fact is that Redman has run well. Tennessee has held some pretty good opponents like Maurice Jones-Drew and Ray Rice to pretty modest games. I will tell you that they give up even less to wide receivers. Expect the Steelers to work the tight end and pound the football. Latest word is that Mendenhall will go, but remember he won’t be near full health. Mewelde Moore is out leaving only Redman and Mendenhall.
A very risky play but you can do worse.

Thin at receiver?

Look no further than Brandon LaFell. He is the second best receiver in Carolina and with his size he should develop into a nice red zone threat. Cam Newton will throw the ball 40 times a week. Ten-to-fifteen of those targets belong to Steve Smith and the running backs are seeing five targets a week. This leaves 20 targets a week between the tight ends and other receivers. As teams plan to really lock down Steve Smith, look for LaFell to be the main beneficiary. He is available in almost all leagues and his competition Legedu Naanee simply has issues catching the ball. LaFell was targeted 6 times last week and I expect that number to go up against a Saints’ defense that can’t stop the pass.

Last Week’s Audibles


I offered some advice on grabbing Stevan Ridley in your league. I hope that you did as he was the most added running back in all leagues.  (
Great Audible)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Defense vs. Indianapolis Colts (
Poor Audible – 4 sacks, 17 pts allowed, 1 fumble recovered)

Washington Redskins WR- Jabar Gaffney(
Mediocre Audible – 4 catches, 62 Yards)

Donovan McNabb (
Correct Audible– He’s not quite dead yet. 2 TD’s, 18 for 30, 202 yards)

While I didn’t give you anything earth moving last week, I did identify a nice pickup. I have high hopes for Ridley. Maybe that is all that they are, but I have to believe at some point he will be relevant.  Thanks for the read folks!

Questions/Comments/Concerns to michaelfsarmento@gmail.com

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