Wednesday - Mar 3, 2021

Home / Wagering / HITTING PAYDIRT: Week 4


Welcome back to Hitting Paydirt for Week 4, a weekly article that looks at the touchdown scorers this week. When looking for touchdown scorers, value is important. Some sites offer in-game betting on touchdown scorers so if you can hold off on taking a star player like Derrick Henry at -250 to score, wait until late in the first quarter or second quarter to place a bet at a better number if he is still scoreless.

I am not suggesting to play all of these touchdown scorers below, but if there is value, they will be listed. You should not bet the same amount per player and depending on your book, you may also be able to parlay some of these. I’ll use the lines from DraftKings and Fanduel. Be sure to shop your books for the best lines as they can be drastically different from site to site.

The best price from each site is listed next to each player as of Saturday at noon.

Ravens @ Redskins

Lamar Jackson +120

The drought has to end for the Ravens QB who was a rushing TD machine in 2019. Look for this to be the week he bounces back after a tough home loss to the Chiefs.

Saints @ Lions

Latavius Murray +210
Taysom Hill +340

The Saints are now also missing Jared Cook so the offensive weapons are dwindling. The price on Kamara is way too high so the value is here on one of these two Saints to score. Just need one to cash to net a nice profit.

Browns @ Cowboys

Amari Cooper +115
Michael Gallup +210

Cooper is due to score so the + price in a game that has a total of 56.5 is appealing. Gallup cashed last week at +285 on Draftkings and they are not respecting him again this week at +210. He is just +140 on Fanduel. Act quickly.

Chargers @ Bucs

Austin Ekeler +200
Rob Gronkowski +350

I don’t love Ekeler’s chances to score, but the price is too good to pass up on Draftkings (+155 on Fanduel). Gronk had a better game last week and is bound to score in one of these games. He gets a boost with Godwin out and Miller banged up. Huge value again on Draftkings compared to Fanduel’s +200 price.

Colts @ Bears

Cordarrelle Patterson +700

With Tarik Cohen out for the year, Patterson could get some of Cohen’s work out of the backfield.

Cardinals @ Panthers

D.J. Moore +190

I’ll go back to the well with Moore at this price point. He is the most talented offensive player the Panthers have right now with CMC on the shelf.

Jaguars @ Bengals

As of Saturday afternoon, Mixon has been listed as questionable. If he sits, keep an eye on Giovani Bernard‘s price. He is currently listed at +125 on Draftkings. With Mixon in, that is a pass, but if he is out, punch Gio in on any + price.

Giants @ Rams

Golden Tate, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram +300

All three Giants top pass catchers are +300 each. You would think one should score, but with the Giants you never know. If you had to narrow it down, I would rank the two WR’s first, then Engram.

Eagles @ 49ers

Zach Ertz +225

I can’t pass this number up with Goedert out and all of the Eagles receiving weapons banged up.

Follow @nicky_stats on twitter for any live plays or primetime picks. Good luck this weekend…



About Nick Pagliuca

Nick has been competitively playing fantasy sports for over 15 years and has been very active in sports betting analysis. Nick participates mainly in fantasy football and offers gambling advice on all major sports.