Wednesday - Jan 23, 2019

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JL’s Week 3 Observation Deck

First off, I want to speak about the Bruce Gradkowski affect. Louis Murphy, Zach Miller and Derius Heyward-Bey are all startable options. Gradkowski has taken a more aggressive approach, even targeting Heyward-Bey 11 times last week. In six quarters with Gradkowski under center, Murphy has more than 180 receiving yards and a touchdown. If you have either of these guys, start them this week against the worst pass defense in the NFL (Houston).

I am sure you have seen many ‘experts’ out there recommend to sell Austin Collie at his highest value, which would be right now. I am telling you the opposite. If you have him, keep him, and if you run into one of these owners who thinks a Marques Colston, Hakeem Nicks, Steve Smith or Chad Ochocinco holds more value. Pull the trade. Collie is actually playing the exact role Marvin Harrison and Brandon Stokley played back in 2004 for the Indianapolis Colts. Peyton Manning and him have incredible timing. Collie might not finish No. 1 at wide receiver in fantasy football, but finishing in the Top 10 and ahead of Reggie Wayne is easily possible.

A solid buy-low candidate is Ronnie Brown. You can probably get him for dirt cheap, and while he is averaging 5.4 per carry, Ricky Williams is putting the ball on the turf. Remember, this guy is in a contract year. I am not saying he is a RB1 by any means, but count on him as a RB2 from here out, when he is not playing the Minnesota Vikings and New York Jets on a weekly basis.

It’s really weird – as a Kansas City Chiefs’ fan, I used to despise LaDainian Tomlinson. Now he is one of my favorite NFL players. Maybe it is because the beating he has taken in the media over the past couple years. I can’t help root for the guy now, and generally get excited when he breaks off a big run, unless of course I am playing against him in fantasy.

If anyone in your league is ignorant enough to take Maurice Jones-Drew off your hands for a high price, get the deal done. Jones-Drew is the new version of Steven Jackson. Very good talent, on a terrible offense, who now deals with nagging injuries on a weekly basis.

Joshua Cribbs is most likely available in you league. He is going to be the Browns’ No. 1 offensive weapon in the passing game from here on out. He can create big plays, no matter who the Browns are playing. In a couple weeks, people will notice he can be counted on as a WR3 on your fantasy roster.

For anyone that thinks that the Green Bay Packers made the right call by not letting Matt Forte score is crazy. Think about which percent chance is higher. Aaron Rodgers‘ scoring a touchdown with around 50 seconds left and a timeout, or Robbie Gould, a top 3 all-time accurate kicker, missing a 20-yard attempt. Lesson learned.

After Mike Wallace has a down week this week, and then is on a bye, go ahead and acquire him from that team that can’t afford to eat his bye week. He is going to absolutely go off. I loved this guy at Mississippi, and he will score 7-9 more touchdowns this year, when Ben Roethlisberger gets back. In standard leagues, he will be a Top 10 wide receiver from Weeks 5-16.

Matt Forte has 108 rushing yards in three games, and less than three yards per carry. Beware.

Lastly, if you are 0-3 right now, do not worry about it. Think about who is in the final playoff spot, and it is probably a 1-2 team. You could be tied with them after this week, and if it is a 2-1; after this week, you will only be one game back. Stay positive.

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